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OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

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Re: OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

#511

The board seems truly incompetent here and looking at the member list it doesn't seem very surprising. A competent board should have asked for legal and professional advice before taking a drastic step like this. Instead the board thought it was a boxing match and tried to deliver a knockout punch before the market closes with blunt language. This might be the most incompetent board for an organisation of this size.

> Instead the board thought it was a boxing match

Or maybe chess[1].

[1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0cv9n0QbLUM

Re: OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

#512
post #438

It now seems to me that it was inevitable that something like GPT would take off - but it didn't necessarily have to come from OpenAI. Someone else would have filled their place. The collective ML knowledge and research were rapidly evolving, computing was getting faster and cheaper. The pressure was building and at some point, something somewhere had to pop off. They were a great but not a singular team. And it look…

Insanely based take.

Sam tries to sound smart while not really having any technical insight. He does a tremendous job with it though.

One way to think about this is: at some point in the next few years we'll have a few hundred GPUs/TPUs that can provide the compute the compute used to train GPT3.

This discovery was always going to happen. The question is if OpenAI made radical scaling possible unlike before. Answer there is also a no. There are clear limits to number of collocated GPUs, nVidia release cycles, TSMC capacity, power generation etc.,

So in the best case OpenAI fudged the timeline a little bit. Real credit belongs to the Deep Learning community as a whole.

Re: OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

#513

Satya be like, fine, it’s time for adults to take over.

Yeah, though he may have went, "I did nothing here, and my stock price went down 2% in ONE hour from it."

It’s 11% up over the month. He’s not obsessing over this 2%. It’s more strategic than that if he’s involved.

Re: OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

#514
post #190

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How are they leveraging them? My understanding is Microsoft has no power over the board.

Riddle me this: what is an AI research lab without access to exascale compute? Who’s cloud infrastructure do they depend on fully right now?

This is everything. MSFT has no de jure power but all the de facto power.

Re: OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

#515

Man, the board already looked reckless and incompetent, but this solidifies the appearance. You can do crazy ill-advised things, but if you unwaveringly commit, we’ll always wonder if you’re secretly a genius. But when you immediately backtrack, we’ll know you were a fool all along.

Option A: try to look good by hiding that you know you messed up Option B: try to fix mistakes as quickly as possible . This is that thing that somehow got the label "psychological safety" attached to it. Hiding mistakes is bad because it means they don't get fixed (and so systems that (do or appear to) set personal interest in favor of hiding mistakes are also bad).

It's funny, but option A is almost always best if you care about yourself, but option B is best if you care about the company or mission. Large organizations are chock-full of people who always choose option A. Small startups are better because option B is the only option as nothing can be easily hidden.

Re: OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

#516

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They are already the dumbest board in history (even dumber than Apple’s board firing Steve Jobs). So it’s not out of keeping with anything. Besides, those 2 independent board members (who couldn’t do fizz-buzz if their lives depended on it) won’t be staying long if Sam returns— nor are they likely to ever serve on any board ever again after their shenanigans.

Some of the board member choices are baffling. Like why is Joseph Gordon Levitt’s wife on the board? Her startup has under 10 employees and has a personal email address as the contact address on the homepage.

[flagged]

Re: OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

#517
post #438

It now seems to me that it was inevitable that something like GPT would take off - but it didn't necessarily have to come from OpenAI. Someone else would have filled their place. The collective ML knowledge and research were rapidly evolving, computing was getting faster and cheaper. The pressure was building and at some point, something somewhere had to pop off. They were a great but not a singular team. And it look…

[flagged]

It's related insofar that Sam or no Sam, OpenAI might be done with their part for good. It seems like they might have GPT-5 up their sleeve but after that, I can't be certain if they have a winning horse in this race to the bottom.

It might be like betting on electricity companies to become the biggest winners just because electricity is going to be everywhere.

Re: OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

#518

New developments faster than you can read the stories about them... https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/18/technology/ousted-openai-... ( https://archive.vn/4U6tu )

“He also spoke with Masayoshi Son, the chief executive and billionaire founder of the tech conglomerate SoftBank”

That made me laugh a knowing laugh even though I know nothing.

Re: OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

#519
post #409

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Any talented engineer or scientist who actually wants to ship product AND make money would head over to Sam’s startup. Any investor who cares about making money would fund Sam’s startup as well. The way the board pulled this off really gave them no good outcome. They stand to lose talent AND investors AND customers. Half the people I know who use GPT in their work are wondering if it will be even worth paying for if…

And any talented engineer or scientist who actually wants to build safe AGI in an organization that isn't obsessed with boring B2B SaaS would align with Ilya. See, there are two sides to this? Sam isn't a god, despite what the media makes him out to be; none of them are.

Sure, but without funding and/or massive support from MS this is not going to happen.

Re: OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO

#520

It's insane to me how easily Sam's side can spin the board firing him for violating the company's Charter and then not backtracking at all as "Within 24 hours the board has come crawling back, I- er Sam Altman might deign to return if they grovel hard enough and I'm given complete control." This is really, really clearly incestuous tech media stuff as part of a pressure campaign. Sam is the darlin of tech media and h…

There's nothing insane at all. The board has the freedom to make their choices, but they must own the consequences of those choices. This appears to be a choice they made which has had obvious consequences they miscalculated. Having to walk it back to some degree would prove their inability to effectively plan and govern.
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