511–520 of 734 posts
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China can just send cruise missiles to start and ignore beaches. A major power with 1.2 billion people can take an island of 20 million 80 miles away from its shores.
If they want to make a desert and call it peace, perhaps. Seems like a bad strategy to smash a crown jewel before you annex it.
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Yeah, I can't imagine he was happy with TSMC having to cancel all its sales to Huawei. But that wasn't really Tsai's fault; nobody is able to moderate the US, and the sanctions weren't a Taiwanese policy. I was thinking reunification was really the only path to saving TSMC, but if Chang agreed, he probably would've declined the invitation to the photo op; and obviously he knows more than I do about the issues. Instea…
hmmm....not sure I agree here. Tsai is not entirely a creature of the US, and has indirectly - perhaps initially, inadvertently - manipulated the US by pushing for an unendorsed independence, forcing the US to deal with a situation they hadn't before considered - a 'two china' outcome. However, now that US does sees this outcome, it cannot unsee it and is thus driving hard to secure that outcome, no doubt as a steppi…
We've reached or are approaching "peak tech". The other day we were discussing Pablo Azar, "Computer Saturation and the Productivity Slowdown" (Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics, October 6, 2022) [1] Simply reinventing systems and deliberately obsoleting stuff to create fake demand is over. The metaverse isn't hoing to happen. People are fatigued with tech. We're entering a different era in wh…
I have experienced a handful of magic products, Apple products which are the best example, that are built from incredibly capable software that takes cheap hardware components and makes them sing. All objects could be like this, deep software capabilities running on a few dollars of hardware. I have the idea that the demand for people that can create software is bottomless, that there will always be more thing to turn into perfect iThings.
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If they want to make a desert and call it peace, perhaps. Seems like a bad strategy to smash a crown jewel before you annex it.
They will take it without a fight
Now, if you're going to say economic pressures will lead to political settlements without conflict, then that's a discussion to be had.
To be perfectly honest, this is still within a 1000km radius circle that encompasses Taiwan, South Korea and Japan. That covers the majority of next-generation fabs that aren't Intel. It's great to legally diversify these fabs, but it does very little to mitigate geopolitical issues that are brewing in and around the east china sea.
How does it do little to diversify these fabs? The current situation is that if China invades Taiwan, the entire Western world is compelled to engage militarily over Taiwan's high end chip fabs. It cannot be overstated how much we depend on that, if TSMC operates in other countries, we don't HAVE to engage in WW3.
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> Who is threatening Japan with cruise missiles? Certainly not China or Russia. North Korea, perhaps. China has said that they believe that, in the event of hostilities over Taiwan, they will be obligated to strike US forces everywhere in the region -- and the US Navy still has a strong presence in Japan. Also S. Korea and the Philippines. This means potentially launching missiles at these countries too, and the Chin…
That sounds like saber rattling to me. Trying to scare diplomats with talk of armageddon to secure a better bargaining position. It's a constant of international politics and one shouldn't read too much into it. The same is true of North Korea talking about turning Seoul into a crater whenever they need to ask for food aid.
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This sounds like what was being said about Taiwan a few years ago.
It absolutely does not. Taiwan was never under any sort of agreement, and the USA has always been ambiguous about its policy towards Taiwan. This is completely different from the mutual defense agreement that Japan has with the USA, where it has been made very clear that the USA will protect Japan. I understand you want to have a critical opinion, but you need to look at the facts.
Thanks (O/T: copy-pasting text into vim to even read TFA high times to flag ad-ridden, basically unreadable content, or not link to it in the first place)
We've reached or are approaching "peak tech". The other day we were discussing Pablo Azar, "Computer Saturation and the Productivity Slowdown" (Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics, October 6, 2022) [1] Simply reinventing systems and deliberately obsoleting stuff to create fake demand is over. The metaverse isn't hoing to happen. People are fatigued with tech. We're entering a different era in wh…
I think there is plenty of industry tech left to be developer
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But China doesn't actually have a lot of technological prowess on their own. The USG might be trying to slow them down but they're not concerned about China militarily. I worked for a defense contractor back in the early 2000s when the USG was selling a lot of arms and systems to Taiwan. I got to see the bullying in person via the ASOC (part of the C4ISR platform) system we were installing. China would routinely fly…
Things changed. Most war games/simulations around Taiwan that I'm aware of were lost by US or stalemated. "US Could Lose 1000 Fighter Jets, Its Entire Global Fleet If It Goes To War Against China Over Taiwan"[1] 1. https://eurasiantimes.com/us-could-lose-over-900-fighter-jet...