Earlier quoted context omitted.
So again, let's say the agreement doesn't hold - how exactly is that worse than before?
The previous agreement ended with the US killing the Ayatollah and other senior leaders, promoting regime change, and demanding unconditional surrender. Venezuela capitulated to the US and is now under US control. If Iran's leadership's goal is to survive and to maintain control of their country, they're likely to continue hostilities until they re-establish a deterrent. Worked for the Taliban in Afghanistan. If you…
IRGC claims it destroyed Amazon's Bahrain data center
501–510 of 565 posts
Re: IRGC claims it destroyed Amazon's Bahrain data center
#502Earlier quoted context omitted.
Bizarre in the sense of mostly performative tit for tat strikes instead of some kind of serious strategy to win and to win for good. And in the case of Iran, the strikes are telegraphed in advance in almost comedic fashion. “OK, we’re starting operation True Promise n. We’re launching missiles. We’re about to do it, guys. OK is everyone ready? For the missiles? These are the targets, but next time it could be more se…
If you're launching ballistics in a conflict where a local-theatre adversary has nukes, you might actually want to telegraph just what you're lobbing, when, and where, to avoid a Petrov-gone-wrong scenario. "We're only hitting Gulf neighbour US-adjacent targets" is less threatening than "we're aiming directly at Israel". (Though yes, Iran has struck Israel with > 200 missiles in a single attack: https://en.wikipedia.…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Soviet_nuclear_false_alar...>
Re: IRGC claims it destroyed Amazon's Bahrain data center
#503Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Which is why Iran focused on the weaker gulf states even when Israel was involved. Also, Israel will not abandon (or be abandoned) by the US, but the others might want to cut their losses if supporting the US becomes costlier than being neutral. The game being played is extremely interesting, with high stakes and no margin for error. Too bad people die.
Both Kuwait and Bahrain did airstrikes in Iran today with intelligence and air support from UAE. The gulf states being low risk targets will likely be a short term thing for Iran in the long run as well. https://x.com/WSJ/status/2080693251682795705
Won’t be pretty, as no empire has ever fallen peacefully.
Re: IRGC claims it destroyed Amazon's Bahrain data center
#504Earlier quoted context omitted.
> What are Russia's reasons not to fire ballistic missiles at those factories, wherever they may be? Russia is already targeting apartment blocks. I doubt they hesitate to attack known factories.
Those factories are outside of Ukraine, in Europe. A lot of people (both pro- and anti- Russia) seem to be hoping that Russia will attack Europe to stop Ukrainian drone attacks.
Re: IRGC claims it destroyed Amazon's Bahrain data center
#505Earlier quoted context omitted.
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> What are Russia's reasons not to fire ballistic missiles at those factories, wherever they may be? Russians fire at everything in Ukraine, military and civilian. They'd obviously fire on those factories except they can't find them. Who cares what the justifications Ukraine uses, they are fighting for their existence against Russian invaders and are not openly targeting civilians.
Ukraine has been pretty openly targeting civilians since 2014 and didn't stop in 2022. It's just (very reasonably) judged differently when one country commits war crimes while aggressively attacking another and when a country crosses that line while defending themselves against a much larger foe.
Re: IRGC claims it destroyed Amazon's Bahrain data center
#506Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Well, apparently they've had (lots of) the raw material for years. "raw material" != "material". While I assume they could've purified enough of the former into the latter by this point if they wanted to, it is a much much harder thing to do than to say. > Marie Curie purified plutonium all by herself before the turn of the century (albeit in minuscule amounts at high personal cost), so I have little confidence in…
Thanks for the history corrections and clarifications. Now I'll never forget that Mme. curie isolated polonium (another nearly-useless factoid). History is important but not as important as science. Still you're looking more and more like Frank Drebin: "Nothing to see here, folks, move along!" https://www.bing.com/videos/riverview/relatedvideo?q=google.... ben_w: "You're taking a comic book plot device as evidence?"…
Sarcasm noted, but you were mixing up something that wasn't isolated by Curie because it was too hard to do so, with something that was only found in the year she died.
> Indeed an understatement! The Chernobyl reactor is an accidental "dirty bomb". It FUed quite a large area: people don't do much picnicking in the Chernobyl Exclusion Zone:
If you gathered all the nasty decay products from Chernobyl and put them into convenient balls to strap to an explosive for the purpose of messing up someone else's country, you'd immediately have a problem of *the balls would cause the explosives you put them next to, to catch on fire, because of the heat output of their own radioactive decay*. Even in the spread-out form of the real life incident, robots stopped working when they got too close to large concentrations, the radiation fried circuits.
You are scared of something that is not only not plausible, it's something such that if they could do it at a scale big enough to hurt you, they'd have better things to do, e.g. hitting the US warships counter-blockading Hormuz.
> Spare me talking about how large the Chernobyl reactor and how heavy its fuel rods are, etc.
Spare you the most important point?
> Fissionable material and fission by-products are generally toxic: spreading it around is devastating and difficult to correct. And the Iranians have lots of that kind of crap.
You say "lots" like it's a point, but it isn't: "lots" is far too vague.
Chernobyl had nearly 3000 times as much uranium in it as a fission bomb, to a different enrichment level, but how much enrichment matters during a criticality incident which transmutes elements into the nasty radioisotopes that you don't want to be around is complicated for fallout calculations. Nobody, including SpaceX, has a missile that is big enough to carry that all in one go.
At the time of the accident in the reactor of the fourth power-generating unit of the Chernobyl nuclear power plant on April 26, 1986, the core contained 1659 fuel assemblies. Each assembly contained 114.7 kg of uranium, and therefore the reactor contained a total of 114.7 x 1659 = 190,287.3 kg of uranium. If the amount of fuel is calculated according to the uranium dioxide, i.e. in the form in which the fuel was loaded into the fuel elements, then its mass in each fuel element was 3.6 kg. A fuel assembly consists of 36 fuel elements, and therefore the reactor contained 3.6 x 36 x 1659 = 215,006.4 kg of uranium dioxide. The investigations performed in the destroyed buildings showed that the nuclear fuel after the accident is found in three main modifications: in the form of uranium dioxide tablets, in the form in which it was loaded into the reactor; in a dispersed form as dust and aerosol; and in a remelted state, in the form of a lavalike fuel-containing mass. This paper discusses the amount of nuclear fuel in the lavalike mass at the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant.
- https://www.osti.gov/biblio/226794In comparison, the one which levelled Hiroshima contained 64 kilograms: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Boy
This scale difference is also (one of the reasons) why even having a nuclear reactor as a "civilian program" is suspect. Makes it relatively easy to hide a weapons program.
Much, much more effective to use the reactor to transmute yourself some plutonium, than a dirty bomb. Apart from anything else, half the plutonium won't vanish in 30 years (caesium-137) / 28.9 years (strontium-90) / 8 days (iodine-131) like the main Chernobyl fallout is doing.
Re: IRGC claims it destroyed Amazon's Bahrain data center
#507Earlier quoted context omitted.
The Iranian regime killed in a matter of days approximately the same amount of civilians as the IDF killed in Gaza over the course of their entire operation. That’s just the tally from this year, they are also responsible for hundreds of thousands of civilian deaths across Syria, Yemen, Iraq, and Ukraine.
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https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
* regardless of what you're battling for or against
** regardless of what you're flaming for or against
Re: IRGC claims it destroyed Amazon's Bahrain data center
#508Earlier quoted context omitted.
Those factories are outside of Ukraine, in Europe. A lot of people (both pro- and anti- Russia) seem to be hoping that Russia will attack Europe to stop Ukrainian drone attacks.
Who exactly? You seem to be moving in weird places.
Re: IRGC claims it destroyed Amazon's Bahrain data center
#509Re: IRGC claims it destroyed Amazon's Bahrain data center
#510Earlier quoted context omitted.
> It probably wouldn't help much against ballistic missiles, but it might make it more resilient against drone attacks. I think the two kinds of attacks are so different that they require different defenses. Drones need not fly in straight lines. Data centers need ventilation, providing a path for drones. Putting grids in a ventilation shaft will stop the first drone, but a coordinated attack will use one drone to bl…
And presumably eventually those exhaust ports would be obfuscated, necessitating the stealing of plans to identify such vulnerabilities.