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Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

cdixon.org

51–60 of 178 posts

Re: Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

#51
post #2

I used to believe that the reversibility of transactions was a major benefit of using cards, but it turns out that is really just a reversibility of liability. Credit cards are an outdated tool. They pass plain text data about a user to authorize a transaction allowing hackers to pull something off like the Target hack. One of the advantages of bitcoin is the ability to digitally authorize a transaction that cannot b…

Hi, I work for Balanced Payments, a payments company for marketplaces, YC W11. You can track our plans for cryptocurrency support here: https://github.com/balanced/balanced-api/issues/204

> In an online marketplace it's far far easier to accept bitcoins than credit cards because you have no fraud risk, which is a HUGE problem in online retail.

I'm not sure how you are getting this. Bitcoin is absolutely susceptible to various forms of fraud. Let's make this a bit more concrete: assume eBay accepts BTC. I could sign up for a seller account, make some auction listings, once some people buy them, never ship the goods, and disappear. I could set up a fake seller account, list some fake items, and then also make a fake buyer account, purchase the fake goods with my fake buyer account from my fake seller account, report that everything went well, and now I've laundered some money. That kind of activity can cripple a business.

As a consumer, the irreversability of BTC transactions is a bug, not a feature. You only need to look at the incredible amount of fraud that's happened in the Dogecoin community to see how fraudulent activity can be rampant, and can harm consumer confidence. Consumers expect the ability to be able to initiate a chargeback when fraudulent activity happens. You can't do that with just plain old BTC. When I was home over the holidays, the local TV station ran a story about how you should be using credit cards rather than debit cards to purchase things online, specifically because the credit cards' chargeback policies are often better. "With a credit card, you'll have the money taken off your statement, but with a debit card, it could take over two weeks to get your money back." etc.

Bitcoin is digital cash. Online stores don't allow you to mail them an envelope with $20 inside, because that would be kind of ridiculous for all parties involved. It's only when certain financial instruments are built on top of Bitcoin that have the same kinds of consumer protection and regulatory compliance built in.

Re: Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

#52

I don't think Bitcoin will ever be a viable currency, at least not on the scale of national currencies. Despite all the flaws fiat currency has, it is actually backed by something - the power of the country's government to tax. Thus, any buyer of sovereign debt has a calculable probability of return. Despite America's printing of dollars, inflation has actually been mild so far. Bitcoin has nothing backing it but an…

The inherent value of Bitcoin is that it allows one to conduct (some types of) business globally without a bank account (kind of). There are caveats, of course, but in my opinion this is its primary innovation and everything else is mostly noise.

Re: Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

#53
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ya, agreed. I think this statement sticks out the most: Of all of those choices, handing 2.5% to banks to move bits around the Internet is the worst possible choice. Regardless of whether its a bank or a credit card processing company, why is it the "worst possible choice" to give it to them? Who are we to judge who gets $1 when we are the ones who chose to spend the $1 in the first place?

Currently our choice is to pay the fee to the banks for convenience they provide. If it's possible to provide the same convenience without the banks and with much lower fees, is that not an improvement?

Does bitcoin actually provide those lower fees?

Hold on, I know you are about to say "yes of course!". But what about the cost of mining? Mining is not analogous to transaction fees, but it is a cost of bitcoin.

Re: Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

#54
We don't know what the cost of transactions in Bitcoin will be yet.

Bitcoin includes two methods to pay miners for the infrastructure costs of running the network: mining rewards and transaction fees. The idea is to bootstrap the network off of mining rewards, and then switch to relying on transaction fees in the future, as Bitcoin reaches its limit of 21 million coins.

The problem is that mining rewards are currently very, very non-negligible, even if they're decreasing. In 2012, the Bitcoin supply increased by over thirty percent. In 2014 another 1.3 million Bitcoins will be minted and sold by miners to pay for the cost of operating the bitcoin network. At current prices, that's nearly a billion dollars.

As mining rewards continue to decrease, that billion dollars a year is going to need to be made up through transaction fees. Mastercard takes in less than 8 billion a year, so those transaction fees are probably going to be substantial.

Re: Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

#55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not entirely sure what point you're making?

You seemed to be implying that most peoples' interest in BTC is related more to its inflating exchange than anything else. I was remarking that I like to see willful ignorance, people who care not about actually understanding BTC, be punished for it. At any rate, there need not be any point to what I'm saying. Sometimes, a comment is just a comment.

Some people are interested in the rising price, some people are interested in the interesting things that can be built with and/or on top of it, and some people are interested in some other aspect of the technology that has sprung up around it.

Before you get too gleeful though, I would wager only a small percentage of people who have ever bought Bitcoins have sustained a loss as of today. Besides, there's nothing wrong with putting money behind a technology and then reaping either a gain or a loss based on how successful it becomes.

My actual point was that you can't look at what the fee structure / usability / etc is today and conclude there's nothing useful there.

This is especially true with the more common argument of, "Sure, I can see why someone would find it mildly useful for use a, b, or c; but I don't think it's useful today for more mainstream purpose x, y, or z, so I think it's worthless." Especially when (so far) the abc list keeps growing and the xyz list keeps shrinking. I'm not sure where that trajectory ends, but I personally think there's a lot of interesting problems that will be solved with crypto-currency.

Re: Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

#56
post #49
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Here's one model that could work. Think of Bitcoin as analogous to physical cash. Cash = small casual payments in offline world. Bitcoin = small casual payments in online world. (btw, the original Bitoin paper says this pretty explicitly). I don't keep my savings in (physical) cash. I keep some spending money there. Similarly you will have your internet spending money. You'll converts to and from USD occasionally but…

I'm sorry, I don't follow. I don't keep my savings in cash, but I can withdraw as much cash as I could reasonably want at zero cost from my bank. How can I do this (i.e., USD->spending money conversion for free) with Bitcoin? Also, are you making an assumption that the volatility of Bitcoin USD will go away at some point in the future? If that happens, keeping Bitcoin around instead of USD will become reasonable. > B…

>> I don't keep my savings in cash, but I can withdraw as much cash as I could reasonably want at zero cost from my bank.

And once you are over a certain amount, the government finds out.

Re: Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

#57
How much of the 2.5% credit card fees goes towards combating fraud and enabling reversibility of transactions? I assume it's a significant fraction because you get a better rate if you use services like "verified by visa", no? Is there any reason to believe that fraud rates will be lower with bitcoin?

And as far the programmable money idea goes, I'd like to see more compelling applications than M of N transactions or escrow. The examples I've seen so far seem rather unexciting.

ed: Maybe cdixon's real point is that the technology behind bitcoin is disruptive to the financial industry? I can get behind this, and I'm waiting to see how the government-backed bitcoin clones fare.

Re: Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

#58
post #12
post #8

For all the people out there who are thinking about bitcoin as a payment technology: If you assume that customers get paid in dollars and that vendors will have to use dollars to pay their taxes, pay their employees and buy the raw materials for their products (reasonable assumptions, I think), then a payment consists of one conversion from dollars to bitcoins by the purchaser, and one conversion from bitcoins to dol…

Here's one model that could work. Think of Bitcoin as analogous to physical cash. Cash = small casual payments in offline world. Bitcoin = small casual payments in online world. (btw, the original Bitoin paper says this pretty explicitly). I don't keep my savings in (physical) cash. I keep some spending money there. Similarly you will have your internet spending money. You'll converts to and from USD occasionally but…

bitcoin can be an implementation detail of credit cards, totally hidden from the user. In the medium term, banks can probably figure out how to work this to their advantage, for example by reducing cc fraud.

Re: Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

#59
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm sorry, I don't follow. I don't keep my savings in cash, but I can withdraw as much cash as I could reasonably want at zero cost from my bank. How can I do this (i.e., USD->spending money conversion for free) with Bitcoin? Also, are you making an assumption that the volatility of Bitcoin USD will go away at some point in the future? If that happens, keeping Bitcoin around instead of USD will become reasonable. > B…

>> I don't keep my savings in cash, but I can withdraw as much cash as I could reasonably want at zero cost from my bank. And once you are over a certain amount, the government finds out.

Maybe this is an issue for you, but I don't see this as compelling advantage.

Re: Why I'm Interested in Bitcoin

#60
There is so much unexplored territory when it comes to Cryptocurrency. I think people will find innovative uses and start amazing businesses with this.

And to me, the great thing is, that there is no real reason to hate it. There's not company of brand that you can hate, it's just people and ideas.

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