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Bitcoin heading towards $200, new bubble forming

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51–60 of 114 posts

Re: Bitcoin heading towards $200, new bubble forming

#51

I'm still hesitant to sell my (smaller) stash. The probability that bitcoin will explode is fairly low, but trading a small but real possibility of becoming a millionaire against a few thousand dollars is a difficult decision :)

If you currently held 0 BTC, would you spend a few thousand dollars on BTC now in anticipation of huge price increases later?

That's the rational way to see it. Then again, what would you invest in at all thinking like that?

Re: Bitcoin heading towards $200, new bubble forming

#52

I'm still hesitant to sell my (smaller) stash. The probability that bitcoin will explode is fairly low, but trading a small but real possibility of becoming a millionaire against a few thousand dollars is a difficult decision :)

So take a decision now about when you'll sell, write it down, and stick to it. Mine has a 5 year timeline, or a specific value (a few orders of magnitude more than today) at which I'll sell.

If bitcoin replaces the dollar as the unit of account, currency of international trade, world reserve currency, and so on, it might be better simply to spend the bitcoins than to "sell" them.

Re: Bitcoin heading towards $200, new bubble forming

#53
post #2

What is the reason? Can't find any news.

Its inherently deflationary anyway (which is a terrible idea for a currency).

Only if that currency is the basis for your economic system, and you wish to continuously stimulate artificial demand in your economic system through continuous currency debasement.

It has been theorized that though such continuous stimulus may lead to greater growth on paper, that growth is more likely to be malignant than it would be were the economy allowed to grow at a more natural rate. Furthermore, continuous inflation is also at least partially responsible for the business cycle. The price of money is the interest rate at which it can be borrowed, and constant inflation is what keeps interest rates low. When money's cheap, people tend to borrow more of it and are less careful about what they do with that money. Hence, due diligence declines, and economic bubbles become more likely.

Re: Bitcoin heading towards $200, new bubble forming

#54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know too little about currencies but to me it looks like that our "real currencies" are inherently deflationary as well... At least this is how it is supposed to work - right? I mean what if governments weren't printing new money all the time? Then there would also be a limited amount of money available in a big pool... Wouldn't it depend on the growth rate of country to determine weather or not a currency is defla…

Printing money is basically intrinsic to our "real currencies" so if you remove that you have something quantitively different,effectively a new type of currency. Technically currency is a medium of exchange and can be linked to anything,industrial production,gold,number of cows,someones else's currency etc ,so whether it is inflationary or deflationary depends on its social framework and design. Now what is a deflat…

But why does a fixed supply make it deflationary? What happens when all BTC have been mined, will the price still go up all the time?

I guess it could go up if the Dollar goes down at the same time. The actual price is staying the same, but the Dollar is worth less, so it takes more to buy X. Not sure why that would be bad.

Also I suspect banks will create virtual bitcoin, as they do with money (lending BTC that they borrowed). Perhaps that will affect the price as well.

Re: Bitcoin heading towards $200, new bubble forming

#55

Could we ban the words "bubble" and "disrupt" from submission titles?

Disrupt is fine. Its basically a quick way of saying a company is in a specific industry. disrupt industry x. Bubble, lets lose that. People are so bad a predicting bubbles it is laughable.

That's what disrupt means now. It used to mean a company is changing the way an industry does business. But then everybody started claiming they would do that, no matter how trivial the change, so now it means "there's a new company in this industry and it has a hip website."

Re: Bitcoin heading towards $200, new bubble forming

#57
post #2

What is the reason? Can't find any news.

I wonder if it's a lot more respectable now SilkRoad is gone?

Well, maybe because it only took such a small hit when SR went down and quickly recovered, whereas everyone expected it to greatly lose in value. It basically has proven it can exist without SR. Also, there are two big new markets and countless smaller ones already.

Re: Bitcoin heading towards $200, new bubble forming

#58
post #2

What is the reason? Can't find any news.

China is leading this rally - so look there for answers. Baidu accepting bitcoins is a good example of what is going on there - this would not happen if the party did not want it - so many people think that maybe the Chinese government would like to give it a try, experiment, maybe not as the final move - but to test the grounds of alternative international currency.

Re: Bitcoin heading towards $200, new bubble forming

#59
post #3
post #2

What is the reason? Can't find any news.

China announcing they want a new world currency that doesn't depend on US, and Baidu adopting Bitcoin, I assume.

China would be looking at SDRs (= special drawing rights issued by the IMF) for a world currency, though

Re: Bitcoin heading towards $200, new bubble forming

#60

I've said it before and I'm sure I'll say it again: the biggest risk to bitcoin is a government (specifically the US government) deciding that they don't like it. Barring that, its growth will likely continue.

You don't need to be a prophet to guess that. Of course they don't like it. To me, it's not even a question. The question is, what are they gonna do about it and for how long will they manage to delay Bitcoin adoption.
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