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Why Rational People Buy Into Conspiracy Theories

nytimes.com

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Re: Why Rational People Buy Into Conspiracy Theories

#51
post #50
post #5

The one thing about conspiracies I always consider is the number of complicit persons involved. Take, for instance, "9/11 was an inside job". People were really taken off planes somewhere, then the planes where remote controlled, a missile hit the pentagon not a plane, demolition charges were set in the buildings, etc... The man power needed to pull that off greatly exceeds the number of people willing to kill their…

You're trying to answer the wrong questions instead of asking the right ones. The absence of answers to good questions says a lot more than half-assed answers to the wrong questions. I don't profess to know what happened on 9/11. But if you ask the right questions, what we've been fed as the official theory comes out as an almost laughable story. You might ask yourself why we as a society started a witch-hunt for tho…

> But if you ask the right questions, what we've been fed as the official theory comes out as an almost laughable story.

Wait, what?

Are you talking about the actual 9/11 attacks? Or about events after it; about going to war with unrelated countries?

Re: Why Rational People Buy Into Conspiracy Theories

#52
post #23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Tribalism" is not incorrect though. You mention Bradley Manning in hacktivist circles and they'll nearly unanimously tell you that man is a hero who didn't do anything wrong at all. And then Snowden comes in and goes out of his way to mention in his interview that, 'oh by the way, I carefully chose specific things to leak as I didn't want to risk national security, I just want to help my country'. Gee, who does that…

A lot of people prefer indiscriminate leaking, and feel that any national security cost is worth it. Just because Snowden thinks of it differently doesn't mean that we now all have to think of leaking that way - that's tribal.

“I don’t desire to enable the Bradley Manning argument that these were released recklessly and unreviewed,”

Re: Why Rational People Buy Into Conspiracy Theories

#53
post #37
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thanks so much for linking that... I think my own head just exploded from considering what you just wrote.

A variant of this theory is significant in Neal Stephenson's Snow Crash .

It took me literally months on the Metro to get through Quicksilver, so it may be another year or so before I add another Stephenson book to my list. But thanks for pointing that out as I'll definitely have to read it at some point.

Re: Why Rational People Buy Into Conspiracy Theories

#54
post #23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Tribalism" is not incorrect though. You mention Bradley Manning in hacktivist circles and they'll nearly unanimously tell you that man is a hero who didn't do anything wrong at all. And then Snowden comes in and goes out of his way to mention in his interview that, 'oh by the way, I carefully chose specific things to leak as I didn't want to risk national security, I just want to help my country'. Gee, who does that…

>'oh by the way, I carefully chose specific things to leak as I didn't want to risk national security, I just want to help my country' That's an interesting quote from him, seeing as he has apparently provided thousands of documents to Greenwald: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/11/us/how-edward-j-snowden-or...

And if he actually looked at and carefully reviewed all of those (which is possible after 3 months at the NSA) then his point would still apply, would it not?

Manning, on the other hand, leaked too much: "his review of leaked Afghanistan and Iraq battlefield reports revealed techniques for neutralizing improvised explosives, the name of an enemy target, the names of criminal suspects and troop movements". [1]

Does explaining how the U.S. Army was neutralizing IEDs so that Taliban could work around those methods and continue to kill and maim Afghan civilians, children, and ISAF soldiers really help you as a citizen? How many families died from roadside bombs that were designed to avoid these neutralization methods thanks to Manning's leaks? Are you sure the answer is 0?

But again, this is what I mean by tribalism. You try to discredit Snowden's own point since Manning is in the tribe. Does it even occur to you that it's possible Manning could have gone overboard in his goal for transparency? That he could have done 1 thing wrong and 999 things right?

[1] http://www.navytimes.com/article/20130611/NEWS06/306110044

Re: Why Rational People Buy Into Conspiracy Theories

#55
post #42
post #6

Ah, just on time... Another, "If you don't think like we do, you're insane" article from the greatest evidence of modern journalistic decline we have before us, The New York Times. Begin the shift towards painting opponents of PRISM as conspiracy theorists. Oh, and I read in the NYTimes that conspiracy theorists are really suffering from personality disorders. It's in the DSM6!

Isn't NYT a quasi-PR-department of US government? See Judith Miller. Expect more damage control articles from NYT on the current fiasco.

Yes, precisely. But that's a conspiracy theory so you must have a personality disorder :(

Re: Why Rational People Buy Into Conspiracy Theories

#56
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>'oh by the way, I carefully chose specific things to leak as I didn't want to risk national security, I just want to help my country' That's an interesting quote from him, seeing as he has apparently provided thousands of documents to Greenwald: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/11/us/how-edward-j-snowden-or...

And if he actually looked at and carefully reviewed all of those (which is possible after 3 months at the NSA) then his point would still apply, would it not? Manning, on the other hand, leaked too much: "his review of leaked Afghanistan and Iraq battlefield reports revealed techniques for neutralizing improvised explosives, the name of an enemy target, the names of criminal suspects and troop movements". [1] Does ex…

>...then his point would still apply, would it not?

Impossible to say. He couldn't know for certain that none of the data could harm national security any more than Manning could. They both could have "gone overboard" in their push for transparency, though you could guess I'd argue neither of them did, and that far more right than wrong has resulted from their actions. Things like "the name of an enemy target, the names of criminal suspects, and troop movements" aren't exactly actionable years after the fact and are likely already available to the enemy. Methods for diffusing IEDs are the only substantially problematic item in that list, though something tells me that the insurgents were already quite adept at that cat and mouse game, preferring IEDs to open encounters since at least 2006 [1]. That doesn't make it right. It just makes it "1 thing wrong" amidst an ocean of data that revealed the true extent of the wars and just how badly they were going. It was the raw proof needed to document that the Taliban and other anti-coalition actors were dealing out just as much death and destruction on their own people as the coalition, if not more so (in Afghanistan at least, _substantially_ more so). And yet the natives of the areas were still largely unable to form a unified political, social, and military response to address the sectarian violence within their own ranks. If that isn't evidence for a failed intervention in areas steeped in historical sectarianism that we needn't be involved with any longer, I don't know what else is.

I'm very interested in knowing about the supposed "dozens" of other compromises the Navy Times mentions:

>"For the first time, prosecutors presented evidence that the disclosures compromised sensitive information in dozens of categories."

However, getting information out of the proceedings has been a battle all its own. We've had to fight tooth and nail to even get a _typewriter_ into a separate media room, and it's looking like this is the only public record that will ever exist on the matter. Those journalistic organizations that have gained access to the proceedings were forced to sign documents agreeing to not release certain information in exchange for the privilege of attending. And it wouldn't surprise me if most of those "dozens" of bits of evidence are all locked up in off-site locations away from the proceedings, making it difficult if not impossible to reliably fact check and cross-examine potential witnesses during trial.

[1] http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/jul/25/ieds-improvised-...

Re: Why Rational People Buy Into Conspiracy Theories

#57
post #33
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lol. It's not like you're going to tell the cogs what the machine is up to. >The one thing about conspiracies I always consider is the number of complicit persons involved. Yeah, this is like the ground level of thought on these topics. Let's not turn our backs red.

No slight intended to Mormons in general, I have a number of Mormon friends... but: I live in "Mormon-ville," and there is this weird thing about Mormons: they have a lot of bankruptcies. It seems to me like a lot. I am just the onlooker and have no evidence, but it appears to me that 1) get loan from national bank branch staffed by Momons, 2) default, 3) go before Mormon judge, 4) get lenient bankruptcy terms, 5) ge…

It took me a while to understand your point, I think because I assumed you were challenging my comments. Once I understood, though, I found this to be a very well-positioned anecdote. And having belonged to a Mormon Boy Scout troop, I don't doubt the truth of it for a second. Identity is a powerful construct. Plus, the bigger your 10%, the better, right? Call it reclamation.

Re: Why Rational People Buy Into Conspiracy Theories

#58
post #51
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're trying to answer the wrong questions instead of asking the right ones. The absence of answers to good questions says a lot more than half-assed answers to the wrong questions. I don't profess to know what happened on 9/11. But if you ask the right questions, what we've been fed as the official theory comes out as an almost laughable story. You might ask yourself why we as a society started a witch-hunt for tho…

> But if you ask the right questions, what we've been fed as the official theory comes out as an almost laughable story. Wait, what? Are you talking about the actual 9/11 attacks? Or about events after it; about going to war with unrelated countries?

The actual attacks. What led up to it, and the aftermath.

And before you go that route, I just meant that it does not make sense or hold up to scrutiny, not that it is in any way 'fun'. Obviously.

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