Earlier quoted context omitted.
" That's not true, the shareholders would only have gotten nothing if the creditors insisted on immediate payment / and/or liquidation. " Do you really think that the banks (already in the brink of bankruptcy) would have ponied up tens of billions so AIG would continue to operate? I don't think you know how much of the world's finance AIG controlled via their insurance. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Internati…
I happen to have had a Bloomberg terminal on my desk the day AIG was bailed out. Lets just say I have a pretty good idea of what AIG meant to the economy. For the same reason the government gave AIG $187 billion, the banks would have figured out how to craft a deal such that to the public it appeared that AIG was a viable financial entity.
Around the same time US Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson was begging people on his knees for the rescue of Wall Street (http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/sep/27/wallstreet.us...) and no-one generally had any idea if the Western financial system as it was right then had much to live. I say that AIG depending on (private) third parties for its rescue would have meant certain bankruptcy.