Local Qwen isn't a worse Opus, it's a different tool

It is a bit of both. A non-deterministic instrument and a predictable slot machine.

I’ve only used Opus in GitHub copilot and was hugely underwhelmed. It was barely usable. Are you saying it’s better with the official Anthropic tools?

This is a great post that covers a lot of the recent ground. I have a very similar setup after a very similar journey, minus the RTX6000. Worth noting though that a lot of the recent changes make a single 3090/4090 much more viable here too. MTP and the recent improvements to kv quantization in particular, as well as model-specific template & quant fixes. I run a 4090 with the 4-bit quantized variant of the same model now and have had a great experience. Qwen3.5 was already a big step up, but with 3.6 and the rest of the improvements it's substantially more reliable as a daily use tool and I find myself reaching for hosted models a lot less. Feels like I could work entirely without them if they were to disappear without going back to typing every line of code myself.

To make 4-bit fit on one card with reasonable (100k+) context needs a bit more care though. And tuning can be highly specific to your machine, gpu and use-case. But I use a headless server, offload multi-modal to CPU, use fit-target to reduce wasted memory and use q8_0 kv since the 4090 performs well with it... In addition to most of the same config as the author elsewhere. I get 50-60tps generation with a power limit of 275W (450W is default), more than enough to offer a roughly an Opus-speed feedback loop.

I haven't seen many of the issues with looping the author mentions. But I did with Qwen3.5 and in particular other 4-bit quants in the past. But the difference is probably a mix of the improvements above, as well as habits changing to avoid cases where models will loop. For what I'm doing, it seems like I loop Qwen3.6 on the same kind of prompts I'll make Haiku or Sonnet loop on (the latter hide some of their existential loops behind "thinking"). Usually it's cause I was too vague about some aspect of what I'm wanting them to do or I forgot to include some context that smaller models just don't have access to in their smaller knowledge base. But at least for what I'm doing (Rust, React, kubernetes) it's not been a notable problem at all with the latest iteration of this whole stack. And knowledge of standard libraries and default k8s resource kinds has been almost flawless.

There's still plenty of more complex stuff where I'll choose to jump straight to Claude or GLM-5.2, but if it's not worth that jump I've stopped paying for the middle ground as it's usually not much better than just one more iteration through qwen.

All this to say, if you have a 3090/4090, feel free to give the same setup a go. It's come a long way in recent weeks.

This is how I feel whenever I see bold all caps instructions in a system prompt or someone claims they conducted "research" and found the magic prompt template that makes the model pay out.

Maybe it works some of the time but it isn't a solution that works everytime.

It reminds me of people hovering to play a slot machine when someone gets up and it hasn't paid out as if they've solved slot machines.

While I don't mind putting something in a loop until the tests pass, I'm less comfortable doing that when providers are silently rerouting to lower quality models, or in Google's case burning quota faster to ease their own server load without being transparent about what the "standard limits" are to begin with. [1]

I'm hopeful I'll be more comfortable with these "slot machines" when frontier models get to the point where they can be run locally on hardware I can actually afford so I know exactly what I'm getting and not jumping at shadows with providers playing tricks behind the scenes to ease their own load without admitting the customer is getting less for their money as they get more popular.

[1]: https://support.google.com/gemini/answer/16275805?hl=en&sjid...

The parsing thing, or the willingness to instantly drop into janky unsanitized string manipulations, or to constantly push back against work on infra projects because some random package on GitHub has 200 stars so it’s totally the safer approach, is driving me insane.

On one hand I’m glad Anthropic is only just now starting to get into infrastructure because it means there’s opportunity there, but it’d be great for their models to be more knowledgeable or able to seek out that knowledge on their own, or for the UX of Claude code to be more amenable to launching 5 in parallel and picking the best one, so I don’t have to spend time arguing with a robot. I think there’s a much better balance to strike between just charging ahead towards the goal at all costs vs being lazy and pushing everything back up to the user. Basically they write too much code that’s too contingent/brittle outside its exact current context and don’t do a good job distilling out the essence of the problem “cleanly”. Almost all of them are like this right now, it’s partially a problem with long-range planning but I think a real bias from over optimization for certain RLVR outcomes vs others.