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Gemini 3 Deep Think

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Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#51
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Weren't we barely scraping 1-10% on this with state of the art models a year ago and it was considered that this is the final boss, ie solve this and its almost AGI-like? I ask because I cannot distinguish all the benchmarks by heart.

Here's a good thread over 1+ month, as each model comes out https://bsky.app/profile/pekka.bsky.social/post/3meokmizvt22... tl;dr - Pekka says Arc-AGI-2 is now toast as a benchmark

If you look at the problem space it is easy to see why it's toast, maybe there's intelligence in there, but hardly general.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#52
post #39

The pelican riding a bicycle is excellent . I think it's the best I've seen. https://simonwillison.net/2026/Feb/12/gemini-3-deep-think/

How likely this problem is already on the training set by now?

If anyone trains a model on https://simonwillison.net/tags/pelican-riding-a-bicycle/ they're going to get some VERY weird looking pelicans.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#53

Arc-AGI-2: 84.6% (vs 68.8% for Opus 4.6) Wow. https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/ge...

https://arcprize.org/leaderboard

$13.62 per task - so we need another 5-10 years for the price to run this to become reasonable?

But the real question is if they just fit the model to the benchmark.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#55

I'm pretty certain that DeepMind (and all other labs) will try their frontier (and even private) models on First Proof [1]. And I wonder how Gemini Deep Think will fare. My guess is that it will get half the way on some problems. But we will have to take an absence as a failure, because nobody wants to publish a negative result, even though it's so important for scientific research. [1] https://1stproof.org/

The 1st proof original solutions are due to be published in about 24h, AIUI.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#57

Arc-AGI-2: 84.6% (vs 68.8% for Opus 4.6) Wow. https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/ge...

Arc-AGI (and Arc-AGI-2) is the most overhyped benchmark around though.

It's completely misnamed. It should be called useless visual puzzle benchmark 2.

It's a visual puzzle, making it way easier for humans than for models trained on text firstly. Secondly, it's not really that obvious or easy for humans to solve themselves!

So the idea that if an AI can solve "Arc-AGI" or "Arc-AGI-2" it's super smart or even "AGI" is frankly ridiculous. It's a puzzle that means nothing basically, other than the models can now solve "Arc-AGI"

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#58

I need to test the sketch creation a s a p. I need this in my life because learning to use Freecad is too difficult for a busy person like me (and frankly, also quite lazy)

FWIW, the FreeCAD 1.1 nightlies are much easier and more intuitive to use due to the addition of many on-canvas gizmos.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#59
post #39

The pelican riding a bicycle is excellent . I think it's the best I've seen. https://simonwillison.net/2026/Feb/12/gemini-3-deep-think/

Do you have to still keep trying to bang on about this relentlessly?

It was sort of humorous for the maybe first 2 iterations, now it's tacky, cheesy, and just relentless self-promotion.

Again, like I said before, it's also a terrible benchmark.

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