Earlier quoted context omitted.
> We see the wave coming, I will look for a way to surf it. Don't be the stunned sceptic waiting to feel the crush What would you do to surf it? What would you suggest to who's an engineer right now?
For one, I have started using the tools that are available right now, to increase my productivity and intuition with what the new capabilities are. I think the original author is on to something, about how the structure of our codebases will change, and therefore our preferred frameworks will change as well. The frameworks we use today, assume that the codebase is DRY[1], and that a human will verify the workings of…
The Industrialization of IT
51–53 of 53 posts
Re: The Industrialization of IT
#52I wish people would stop making predictions about LLMs so confidently. Some people confidently predict that LLMs will never be able to replace capable engineers, and other people equally confidently predict that we'll all be out of a job in five years. The reality is that we don't know. We don't know what the ceiling is for LLM programming ability. We don't know how much better they can get without scaling up the har…
Re: The Industrialization of IT
#53> In 2025, the engineer probably beats Gemini. Sure, great. But in 2030, who wins this hypothetical? I don't think we need to wait for 2030. Today, using aider/cursor and Gemini-pro-2.5, I'm pretty sure a team of two or three senior developers with great domain knowledge would be competitive with a team of 10 average devs. Being a small, close-knit team has a lot of advantages. And LLMs can help close the productivit…
I think you're building a 100x tech debt with that.