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In Memory of Stiver

blog.jetbrains.com

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Re: In Memory of Stiver

#51

Post by christophilus »

riehwvfbk wrote: post #15
cgh wrote: post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And Russia's demographic crisis is going to get a lot worse, cementing its irrelevency as a world power: https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/03/04/russias-populati...

So let's see, Russia's population is 1/2 that of the US and it's irrelevant. But the US population is 1/5 of China's. When do you expect to see irrelevance of the United States as a world power?

I’m not an expert, but demographic trends are bleak for Russia, not particularly good for China, and only a bit better for the US. Only time will tell what it all means. The world has never seen demographic collapse on the scale we’re witnessing, so people who confidently predict the consequences are speculating. That said, losing super power status seems like a reasonable bit of speculation. I don’t see a path to maintaining it while in demographic collapse.

Re: In Memory of Stiver

#52

Post by riehwvfbk »

9dev wrote: post #33
selivanovp wrote: post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's happening already. Like significant part of recent JetBrains struggles with lower quality of their products is due to they had to relocate people out of Russia, and some people just don't like to live abroad. Their Kotlin lead returned to Russia and works in Yandex now. About half the people that relocated during 2022 returned already, and if the war in Ukraine will finally end in 2025 a lot more will return bac…

> if the war in Ukraine will finally end in 2025 a lot more will return back home. And how do you suppose this will happen? By Trump cutting a deal with Putin leaving Ukraine out to die, or what? The Russian soldiers might return home. The Ukrainians won’t. There won’t be a home to return to, and in many cases, there won’t be anyone left to return.

Generally speaking, wars tend to end.

Re: In Memory of Stiver

#53

Post by riehwvfbk »

pk-protect-ai wrote: post #11
petesergeant wrote: post #8

> a German programmer of Russian origin I wonder how much of a boom Russia will see from émigrés returning home if the political environment lets up a little

How do you change the political environment in a dictatorship where ruling class has all the power and majority of the money and controls what you should read, watch or talk about?

The ruling class is not a monolith, it's made of people with their own idea who are constantly vying for a better position.

Just this week some part of the US ruling class got some better seats in the game of musical chairs. The game's not much different anywhere in the world, other than the window dressing.

Re: In Memory of Stiver

#54

Post by aix1 »

protomolecule wrote: post #44
usrnm wrote: post #40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

To be fair, your experience from 5 years ago is just as irrelevant. Russia under sanctions is very different.

[flagged]

I assume when you say "politically" you include the ongoing war in Ukraine. I think it's a huge factor in this context, given its impact and the risks it presents to folks (especially young men) who choose to remain in Russia.

By some estimates, 900K people have left Russia since the invasion [1], of whom 100K were IT specialists leaving in 2022 alone [2] (I haven't looked at the figures since then). I think that's a pretty strong indication of the sentiment.

And wrt the economy, didn't the Central Bank just increase the benchmark rate to 21% [3] (with another 2% hike widely expected in December)?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_emigration_during_the_...

https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/04/04/1070352/ukraine-...

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/10/29/russia-s-key-interes...

Re: In Memory of Stiver

#55

Post by cyberax »

jojobas wrote: post #37
cyberax wrote: post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Russia has plenty of resources, and is severely under-populated. So yep, it has a huge growth potential. But the political system will have to be reformed first.

And by "reformed", you mean "burnt to the ground, for real this time".

Burning systems to the ground does not work. The end result is almost always worse than before.

Russia actually has a rather functional bureaucracy that is holding the country together. All it really needs is decentralization of power, probably similar to the German's model.

Re: In Memory of Stiver

#56

Post by protomolecule »

aix1 wrote: post #54
protomolecule wrote: post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

I assume when you say "politically" you include the ongoing war in Ukraine. I think it's a huge factor in this context, given its impact and the risks it presents to folks (especially young men) who choose to remain in Russia. By some estimates, 900K people have left Russia since the invasion [1], of whom 100K were IT specialists leaving in 2022 alone [2] (I haven't looked at the figures since then). I think that's a…

In Russia programmers working at accredited IT-companies are safe from mobilization [0]

> I think that's a pretty strong indication of the sentiment.

Some left following their western employers, some fled from the mobilization in 2022.

>And wrt the economy, didn't the Central Bank just increase the benchmark rate to 21%

It did, that's why I said 'mostly'. Kremlin is pumping money into defense industry and into payments to contract soldiers, the Central Bank is doing what it can to curb the inflation. Overall it hasn't affected the life much.

[0] https://www.gosuslugi.ru/armydelay

Re: In Memory of Stiver

#57

Post by melling »

AstroJetson wrote: post #6
patwolf wrote: post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I worked on WebSphere back in the day. There were a lot of pre-compiled libraries provided by other IBM teams. I too made good use of decompilers (probably jad at the time) as it was often easier than trying to track down the source.

I also had a huge library of decompiled Websphere libraries. IBM was always sending patches and we would go "ok, what does this do?" "Fixes your problem?""How""Really well." So it got decompiled to see what it did. There were lots of "We think your patch is doing XYZZY, we see where our code should be doing that. We've updated our code and the problem went away." Fernflower was awesome. RIP Stiver, glioblastoma can b…

“A year after undergoing a world-first treatment for glioblastoma, Australian doctor Richard Scolyer remains cancer-free.”

Probably only a decade away from curing it. Unfortunately, medicine can evolve slowly.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-69006713.amp

Re: In Memory of Stiver

#58

Post by 9dev »

riehwvfbk wrote: post #52
9dev wrote: post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> if the war in Ukraine will finally end in 2025 a lot more will return back home. And how do you suppose this will happen? By Trump cutting a deal with Putin leaving Ukraine out to die, or what? The Russian soldiers might return home. The Ukrainians won’t. There won’t be a home to return to, and in many cases, there won’t be anyone left to return.

Generally speaking, wars tend to end.

Specifically speaking, however, we are talking about Russia illegally invading and occupying Ukraine, a sovereign state both Russia and the USA have explicitly declared to keep its territorial integrity intact in exchange for its nuclear weapons. We are talking about this because the president-elect of the USA has curiously exclaimed to be able to ”end the war“ in a single day, and the only way that is possible is by simply sacrificing the country to Russias imperialist urges; that specifically implies millions of people loosing their lives, their home, their language, their history, their families, and their belongings.

Wars end, true. Exactly how this war ends is crucial.

Re: In Memory of Stiver

#59

Post by oytis »

selivanovp wrote: post #31
petesergeant wrote: post #8

> a German programmer of Russian origin I wonder how much of a boom Russia will see from émigrés returning home if the political environment lets up a little

It's happening already. Like significant part of recent JetBrains struggles with lower quality of their products is due to they had to relocate people out of Russia, and some people just don't like to live abroad. Their Kotlin lead returned to Russia and works in Yandex now. About half the people that relocated during 2022 returned already, and if the war in Ukraine will finally end in 2025 a lot more will return bac…

It's a different case. People who didn't want to move anywhere were virtually forced to, and after realising the struggles of being an immigrant decided to return.

People who made the decision themselves and have already settled in the new place seldom come back.

Re: In Memory of Stiver

#60

Post by hnisoss »

Kwpolska wrote: post #36
rob74 wrote: post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That might explain why the article is so light on personal details - either he asked them to keep them private, or maybe they're not aware of his real identity at all?

Why does everyone have to share their real life identity on the Internet? Why do you care?

related https://sive.rs/anon
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