This is my biggest fear with self-driving cars. Correlated failures. As a society we are extremely good at dealing with independent accidents. We can calculate very precisely how many people will die of traffic in a given year and we can account for it, we can have insurances, and we can decide exactly how much we are willing to spend to save a life on the margin. But if everything is fine, everything is fine, everyt…
On the other hand, the cars were recalled, a team will study what happened, the problem will get fixed, simulations and tests will be created. When I make a dumb mistake, the other drivers rarely learn from it.
Waymo recalls software after two self-driving cars hit the same truck
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Re: Waymo recalls software after two self-driving cars hit the same truck
#52This is my biggest fear with self-driving cars. Correlated failures. As a society we are extremely good at dealing with independent accidents. We can calculate very precisely how many people will die of traffic in a given year and we can account for it, we can have insurances, and we can decide exactly how much we are willing to spend to save a life on the margin. But if everything is fine, everything is fine, everyt…
On the other hand, the cars were recalled, a team will study what happened, the problem will get fixed, simulations and tests will be created. When I make a dumb mistake, the other drivers rarely learn from it.
At least that is how I (as a non-expert) imagine these models work -- the model has an excellent chance of crashing at every new unique situation it encounters out of a nearly unlimited set of possible situations (which implies a high frequency of encountering new situations).
Re: Waymo recalls software after two self-driving cars hit the same truck
#53Do we have a picture of the truck? I'm having difficulty imagining it given that surely the tow truck would want the towed vehicle in-line to make driving go smoothly?
This would be common for a debt recovery or when a city impounded the vehicle where it's taken without cooperation of the owner.
https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2F...
Re: Waymo recalls software after two self-driving cars hit the same truck
#54Earlier quoted context omitted.
It wasn’t a solid wall, it was another vehicle. The brakes don’t respond immediately - you need to be able to detect that a collision is imminent several seconds before it actually occurs. This means you have to also successfully exclude all the scenarios where you are very close to another car, but a collision is not imminent because the car will be out of the way by the time you get there. Yes, at some point before…
My brakes respond immediatly,for all intents and purposes as a human with a reaction time. I'm at fault if the person in front of me stops and I dont have the stopping distance to avoid a collision. I get that self driving software is difficult. But theres no excuse for this type of accident.
Re: Waymo recalls software after two self-driving cars hit the same truck
#55Earlier quoted context omitted.
I notice, when e.g. it rains enough for long enough, a lot if people get annoyed and start driving badly. You get some kind of contagion where everybody gets annoyed and tired because all other drivers are annoyed, tired assholes. Sometimes it even persists after the bad weather, especially if there was gridlock and/or end of workday. Humans do have a (lighter) version of collective bad driving.
that's one reason crash traffic happens and stays for hours after the original reason for the traffic to happen in the first place is gone. I remember reading that one person applying their brakes too hard can have a knock on effect causing a traffic pattern to emerge for a long time after the initial braking ever occurred.
Re: Waymo recalls software after two self-driving cars hit the same truck
#56This is what people don't appreciate when quoting those statistics about how self-driving cars are safer than humans: when a human driver causes an accident, it was because that particular person did something wrong. When a self-driving car handles a situation wrongly that's a big issue, because all the self-driving cars run the same software.
Re: Waymo recalls software after two self-driving cars hit the same truck
#57Earlier quoted context omitted.
It wasn’t a solid wall, it was another vehicle. The brakes don’t respond immediately - you need to be able to detect that a collision is imminent several seconds before it actually occurs. This means you have to also successfully exclude all the scenarios where you are very close to another car, but a collision is not imminent because the car will be out of the way by the time you get there. Yes, at some point before…
This is why autonomous vehicles need a hard cap on the speed limit they are driving at. If the max speed is 35mph, that allows a good braking system to respond by safely stopping from LIDAR info 99% of the time.
Re: Waymo recalls software after two self-driving cars hit the same truck
#58I wish there was a picture of the strange towing configuration. I wonder if I would be confused as well, although my guess is that I’d read the situation correctly
I’ve been confused occasionally by road situations. Somehow I’ve never managed to drive into a multi-ton object.
Re: Waymo recalls software after two self-driving cars hit the same truck
#59I wish there was a picture of the strange towing configuration. I wonder if I would be confused as well, although my guess is that I’d read the situation correctly
I’ve been confused occasionally by road situations. Somehow I’ve never managed to drive into a multi-ton object.
Re: Waymo recalls software after two self-driving cars hit the same truck
#60A pick-up truck being towed crooked and backwards. Both vehicles failed to read the situation in the same manner. Autonomous vehicles have various redundant systems built-in that can take priority and override false positives. I was previously under the assumption that one of the really important reasons for Lidar is that it can get you closer to an absolute truth about whether something is a solid object, and where…
The article says it: “We determined that due to the persistent orientation mismatch of the towed pickup truck and tow truck combination, the Waymo AV incorrectly predicted the future motion of the towed vehicle.” It was detected, but it predicted the truck would move in a way that it didn’t end up moving.
I understand we have to have explanations or we can't fix them, but it's just as important to understand this should never have happened even WITH the described failure.
If I had to guess, there's code to avoid stopping at every little thing and that code took precedence (otherwise rides would not be enjoyable). And I get the competing interests here but there must be a comparison to humans when these incidents happen.