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Oil sector is lobbying for inefficient hydrogen cars to delay electrification

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Re: Oil sector is lobbying for inefficient hydrogen cars to delay electrification

#51

The electric car industry is spinning alternatives. Hydrogen is a much better alternative all around. You'll be able to convert existing cars much easier.

The U.S. unlike the U.K. never adopted LPG or natural gas vehicles in any types of scale; That's with natural gas going directly to many houses.

If LPG/Natural gas ice conversions had taken off in the 80s/90s THEN evidence would be more in Hydrogen's favor.

Re: Oil sector is lobbying for inefficient hydrogen cars to delay electrification

#52
post #27
post #20

Yup. It's painfully obvious here in Canada, where the loudest champion of hydrogen-powered vehicles is the Premiere of the oil-and-gas-generating province of Alberta, and she's an ideological-conservative pro-oil leader at that. Seeing people like that rally to hydrogen over EVs is the loudest argument against the tech. Hydrogen technology doesn't exist to save the Earth, it exists to save the natural gas industry. T…

Green hydrogen is developing now, and is very real, and is based on polysilicon solar advancements and PEM electrolyzer advancements, both of which provide ~3 decadal cost-down paths. See these two companies of ours: [1] https://ohmium.com [2] https://novohydrogen.com

At present, the amount of green hydrogen in the total hydrogen economy is less than 1%. (edit: possibly less than 0.1% [1])

Green hydrogen is vapourware.

[1]https://cleantechnica.com/2021/12/22/0-03-of-hydrogen-is-gre...

Re: Oil sector is lobbying for inefficient hydrogen cars to delay electrification

#53
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

All it takes is a new pump at existing gas stations and what becomes more compelling to the consumer flips overnight. Same cultural process of fueling up at the same place you've always fueled up in about the same amount of time as its always taken. It seems like there's a lot lot less inertia to get consumers over that hurdle than the EV hurdle, where charge times are long and convenient chargers not a guarantee in…

Lol at all ; Hydrogen can't easily be transported in current pipelines; Can't be transported in current trucks, and can't be stored in current gas station tanks. And if the gas station doesn't maintain its hoses, nozzles, or seals; you don't wind up with a slight smell, a carcinogenic irritation -- you experience frostbite to you hand immediately.

> you don't wind up with a slight smell, a carcinogenic irritation -- you experience frostbite to you hand immediately.

If you're lucky. If you're unlucky the first you realize there is a leak is when it ignites. Fortunately it is harder to make it explode than gasoline vapors but it also escapes far more readily than gasoline does.

Re: Oil sector is lobbying for inefficient hydrogen cars to delay electrification

#54
post #31

Electrification for millions and millions of cars will never work, we don't have the "green" energy resources to actually produce that electricity, and second, and just as important, we don't have the distribution network that will be able to carry that extra power (both in the US and in Europe). So that leaves us with the logical conclusion that we won't have millions and millions personal cars going forward, for be…

> Electrification for millions and millions of cars will never work

26+ million BEV already running in the world... Like 2 million driving around the US.

https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2023/trends-in...

Re: Oil sector is lobbying for inefficient hydrogen cars to delay electrification

#55
post #44
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't blame you for being skeptical, but it isn't just the oil and gas industry. The Japanese government went all-in on hydrogen. https://thediplomat.com/2023/07/a-look-at-japans-latest-hydr...

Sure, and it's by and large viewed as a complete failure[0]. Is your argument that we should repeat that failure? [0] https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/green-tech/a4266501...

No? I'm not sure why you jumped to attack me when I was simply providing a counter-point to your claim that it's all "oil and gas". I drive an EV, I'm quite happy with it.

As to the article: they fail to mention that Japan hasn't even begun to throw in the towel. The newest CEO of Toyota is doubling down on hydrogen powered vehicles.

https://www.autonews.com/mobility-report/toyotas-bold-us-pla...

Re: Oil sector is lobbying for inefficient hydrogen cars to delay electrification

#56
post #5

Anyone who has followed hydrogen as a fuel for a while sees pretty easily that its a solution in search of a problem. It really doesn't make sense to use renewables to make hydrogen fuel to then burn: batteries are better for storage of energy in most cases (I will grant that there are edge cases where a liquid/gas fuel is a better technical solution than batteries, but I think that options like ethanol are probably…

I still believe there is potential for hydrogen/ammonia/methane fuel to be a seasonal storage mechanism. Battery technology does not seem capable of offering grid scale storage for the entirety of Winter. While the solar->fuel->electricity conversion takes huge efficiency hits, for “free” renewable energy, it can still pencil out as economical. Plus, it is feasible today without unobtanium (but not currently cost competitive vs fossil fuels)

Re: Oil sector is lobbying for inefficient hydrogen cars to delay electrification

#58

I wish them much good luck, but it's a bit like the dinosaurs complaining about those uppity mammals getting underfoot: their days are numbered. BEVs are here to stay, hydrogen is - as far as I can see - a non-starter except when it comes to heavy traffic and possibly rail or air but even there I have my doubts. Meanwhile BEVs are rapidly building momentum and coupled with solar and wind make very good sense. Even th…

I'm not so sure that BEVs will reach anything close to 100% of all cars on the road. My primary reason is this: as long as you "only" have 10%, 20%, even 30% BEVs the electric charging infrastructure is mostly free, we already have it. But after that, BEVs will require expensive infrastructure to be built in the electricity transmission grid. Think "we need to dig up all of the roads". Because it's not just cars going electric, it's everything else as well at the same time.

At that point hydrogen cars could very well see a resurgence. Especially in places with cold weather, where the fuel cell waste heat can be used for the climate control, while the BEV needs to spend energy running a heat pump, so the efficiency advantage of BEVs is mostly gone.

Re: Oil sector is lobbying for inefficient hydrogen cars to delay electrification

#59
The problem is simple - EVs are overpriced and battery density is too low. It needs to be at least twice of current ones. EVs are Definitely going to be over hydrogen, but the tech is just not there yet for many markets. 200 kilometers in harsh conditions is wayyto small range

Re: Oil sector is lobbying for inefficient hydrogen cars to delay electrification

#60

Not saying the oil sector is powerless by any means, and I guess maybe they're going for regulatory capture, but this is a non-starter from an economic reality perspective so I'm not too worried about it. The train is well out of the station for electric vehicles. I believe every car maker (save 1 that I know about) is fully committed to 100% electrified vehicles in the not-too-distant future. I feel like eventually…

> this is a non-starter from an economic reality perspective so I'm not too worried about it

Still dangerous. It reminds me of Zubrin’s takedown of VASIMR [1]. An unrealistic counterproposal can torpedo a workable one by appealing to peoples’ tendency to choose the perfect over the good.

[1] https://youtu.be/myYs4DCCZts?si=Ksqw_MFLKHKIgMod

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