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I wish GPT4 had never happened

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Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#52
post #8

This is a really pessimistic and shallow article. Who will prompt the AI for code? Manager? Also, you mentioned it gave wrong result at first. How did you know? Because you know how to code. As mentioned in other comment she should learn more about programming so she can become indispensible.

Sure you need at least one developer. The question is though, how many do you still need?

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#53
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s also possible, like a lot of skilled knowledge work, they’re greatly constrained on talent relative to potential work. I think something folks don’t get is that AI is going to allow a lot more of everything to be done, and will still need humans to guide it. I suspect it’ll be a bit like the calculator and it’s acceleration of math fields. Human calculators became less useful, but humans could do much more math…

I don't think anyone at all suggests that all boats will sink. But the poorest and most vulnerable will. It happens every time. This time, we could do better--and we won't.

Is that true? The last few centuries have shown a near continuous improvement in the standard of living, particularly at the lower end of the distribution.

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#54
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why? No really: why? Businesses are profit-seeking entities. Why not just fire nine people? You save money . (Yes, this could be a really stupid decision for the company in question. I agree with you. I'm not saying what should happen. I'm saying what will happen, and that that is really bad.)

All small businesses are not pure profit maximizers. Anyway even if they were, there’s MORE money to be made by empowering employees to use powerful tools which can increase revenues and profits much more than just firing. Doing so generates goodwill which improves employee effectiveness and drive.

Small businesses get eaten. That's the entire point of modern venture capital, even! Find ways to out-operationalize small businesses in sub-optimally exploited markets while burning an ocean of cash, then seek profits when you no longer have to dump to be competitive.

It's okay to not think every technology under the sun is a good thing. You don't have to have heart-eyes emojis for the immiseration machine.

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Because the only two options are capitalism and communism ? Communism doesn't work so just let's give up, not try anything else and let the rich exploit the majority of the human race.

Agreed. Universal basic income and capitalism can coexist. If everyone was given an annual stipend suitable for a healthy life, motivated people could still choose to increase their personal wealth by working. The surplus wouldn't need to be owned by the state, like it is under communism.

I know that even if I was given $20k a year by default, I'd still work in order to make more.

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#57
We still don't have any real understanding of how society adapts to this technology evolution. It is different than all prior technological disruptions as it has no period of adaption and stabilization to follow. It is continuous and accelerating.

AI is unique in that it is essentially a skill/technology replication machine. What this means in reality is somewhat like ...

"Climbing the skill ladder is going to look more like running on a treadmill at the gym. No matter how fast you run, you aren’t moving, AI is still right behind you learning everything that you can do. "

Which I wrote in my longer exploration of societal impacts here - https://dakara.substack.com/p/ai-and-the-end-to-all-things

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#58
post #42

The big oversight here is that Priya does not want a job , what Priya wants is an income . The point of life is not working, the point of life is to enjoy it. We should strive to eliminate as many jobs as we possibly can, the less we have to work the better it is. To make this possible we need to find a way to a new system that doesn't directly link labour with income .

During lockdowns the rate of depression and all sorts of mental and physical issues went up. Becoming unemployed may not be the exact same thing as a lockdown but less incentive to get up at a reasonable time or to leave the house would still lead to more overweight, lazy and depressed people.

People were stuck in their homes.

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#59
post #26

In the future there'll probably be two kinds of people: the ones wielding Magic (aka LLMs)... and the ones trying to hold on to a world before Magic arrived, slowly getting eaten up by the Magic.

I agree and honestly I already see it starting. For example certain personalities seem to plug their ears and try to ignore it, but then when people around them are already suddenly more productive they are in disbelief. All the other people did was embrace the Magic quickly and start using it.

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#60

The big oversight here is that Priya does not want a job , what Priya wants is an income . The point of life is not working, the point of life is to enjoy it. We should strive to eliminate as many jobs as we possibly can, the less we have to work the better it is. To make this possible we need to find a way to a new system that doesn't directly link labour with income .

That would be great. It’s also not going to happen without a massive uprising. The people profiting off automation have zero intent of sharing the wealth and every intent of hoarding it.
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