Earlier quoted context omitted.
Federal reserve interest rates. When interest rates are low, money flows more freely. When interests rates are up, it's harder to lend/borrow, money flows less freely, and the economy cinches up as a whole. This is a major simplification to a very complex system, but it happens because e.g. as someone with money, you'd rather just put it into a government bond that will for sure pay you 4%, rather than chasing specul…
If this is the case, why are layoffs currently mostly in the tech sector and not everywhere? Unemployment budged .2% from Jan - Feb but this is hardly indicative of anything.
(Virtually all high-growth companies are tech companies but I don’t think the inverse is true - unless that’s how we define “tech” now which is plausible.)
High-growth companies include both those that plan to grow fast and those that are growing fast. The general theory is nobody really knows how big such a company can grow. (eg, Amazon circa 2006 is dominating e-commerce. Can it get any bigger? Spoiler: yes it can.)
So these companies offer an opportunity: invest money to build more teams doing effectively random trials and see what sticks.
This is the investment opportunity the parent comment described and that’s the calculus that’s changed.
What I find interesting is the same trade-off applies to both profitable and unprofitable companies. Unprofitable startups are deciding where to burn their runway, weighing against the projected cost of raising on more. Profitable companies are deciding where to re-invest profits or whether to pay dividends to shareholders.