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Why I’m skeptical of “steelmanning”

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

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Re: Why I’m skeptical of “steelmanning”

#51
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Getting a little meta there, man. I'm demonstrating what would be lost if someone steelmanned me in an actual argument about transportation. > You're looking at what a strong argument against your own position (multi-modal is better) would look like to better understand your own position! That's what steelmanning is! No it isn't? Or at least, that's not how I've understood it. From how I've seen people discuss it, I…

> I don't think we should preemptively avoid points within an issue just because our opponent is either weak or strong on them. When steelmanning, the points avoided are points your opponent never made.

That's not how steelmanning is generally described. It's usually described as, "construct the best possible form of your opponent's argument." If they made some weak points in their argument, steelmanning would involve either ignoring those or reconstructing them to be stronger.

"Avoid attacking points that your opponent never made" is just the absence of strawmanning, it's not steelmanning.

Re: Why I’m skeptical of “steelmanning”

#52

An argument in favour of steelmanning is that it is efficient . Using Paul Graham's hierarchy of disagreement[1][2], one reason steelmanning is efficient is because if your counterparty's best or most central argument is wrong then all of it is wrong. It's also highly likely that numerous arguments hinge on that same point. After all, creationists continue to pull out Pangloss's "noses are for eyeglasses" argument de…

But often the counterparty's best or most central argument isn't wrong, or is a core belief which is particularly hard to undermine. Easier to defeat the detail of a tangential argument of the form "noses are for eyeglasses" than contest the creationist's core claim that it's fundamentally reasonable to believe God exists (a belief shared by many who have been persuaded the detail of creationism and especially young earth creationism is silly misunderstanding). And it's certainly more efficient to point out areas where Qanon is an incoherent mess with a long history of failed prophecy than to attempt to convince people that people in power can be trusted and definitely never have any relations with sex traffickers.

If the strongest form of an argument can be defeated with such effortless efficiency it's a waste of time delving into the weaker parts of the argument, it's probably not a very strongly held belief in the first place. Indeed people attempting "steelmanning" of more complex beliefs like the Scott Alexander invermectin example often concede the semi-strong bit to gain trust for the rest of what they have to say.

Re: Why I’m skeptical of “steelmanning”

#54
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I don't think we should preemptively avoid points within an issue just because our opponent is either weak or strong on them. When steelmanning, the points avoided are points your opponent never made.

That's not how steelmanning is generally described. It's usually described as, "construct the best possible form of your opponent's argument." If they made some weak points in their argument, steelmanning would involve either ignoring those or reconstructing them to be stronger. "Avoid attacking points that your opponent never made" is just the absence of strawmanning, it's not steelmanning.

> It's usually described as, "construct the best possible form of your opponent's argument." If they made some weak points in their argument, steelmanning would involve either ignoring those or reconstructing them to be stronger.

Those two sentences seem contradictory. What definition of steelmanning requires ever ignoring weak points that have been made by one’s opponent?

Re: Why I’m skeptical of “steelmanning”

#55

An argument in favour of steelmanning is that it is efficient . Using Paul Graham's hierarchy of disagreement[1][2], one reason steelmanning is efficient is because if your counterparty's best or most central argument is wrong then all of it is wrong. It's also highly likely that numerous arguments hinge on that same point. After all, creationists continue to pull out Pangloss's "noses are for eyeglasses" argument de…

But often the counterparty's best or most central argument isn't wrong, or is a core belief which is particularly hard to undermine. Easier to defeat the detail of a tangential argument of the form "noses are for eyeglasses" than contest the creationist's core claim that it's fundamentally reasonable to believe God exists (a belief shared by many who have been persuaded the detail of creationism and especially young…

There are a few takes on this:

- If someone's just bullshitting you straight up, and you can find multiple instances of this by examining the more straightforward parts of their statements, then you can choose this route. This also often applies where there is no there there --- where an "argument" is simply an endless firehose of muck, as with the Qanon case.

- If the core is solid, and your goal is gaining knowledge rather than Winning Imaginary Internet Points (or playing at more substantive rhetorical games, of which there are in fact many) ... then you've won by learning something.

- If the core proves difficult to untangle or validate --- pointing this out is a valid criticism as you're putting additional valid burden of proof on the party arguing that case. Without substantiating their points, the argument is based on confusion, uncertainty, or ignorance rather than empirical merits.

- In many ways, empiricism is a Steelman argument of the form "evidence trumps theory". If there's some theoretical argument and you can show that the evidence clearly contradicts it ... I'd argue that's a form of steelmanning. Of course in reality such evidence may be tremendously hard to obtain, or not clearly decisive, or require extensive interpretation to judge.

- There are arguments which come down to statements of values. As was pointed out on the Ezra Klein podcast earlier this year, it's really hard to definitively argue for the superiority of one set of value judgements over another (though not necessarily impossible). You can point out that this is the nature of the disagreement, however. In the sense of steelmanning, this would be a case of pointing out begging the question in its correct sense --- if you presume that your argument's conclusion is a superior value, then you cannot invoke that assumption to prove the conclusion as the argument is the conclusion. I'd had a recent discussion of tenant vs. landlord rights on HN where this seemed to be the case. You can state that property rights are important, but if you're using the assumption to prove that property rights are superior to tenancy rights ... you don't have a logically sound argument.

Re: Why I’m skeptical of “steelmanning”

#56
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not how steelmanning is generally described. It's usually described as, "construct the best possible form of your opponent's argument." If they made some weak points in their argument, steelmanning would involve either ignoring those or reconstructing them to be stronger. "Avoid attacking points that your opponent never made" is just the absence of strawmanning, it's not steelmanning.

> It's usually described as, "construct the best possible form of your opponent's argument." If they made some weak points in their argument, steelmanning would involve either ignoring those or reconstructing them to be stronger. Those two sentences seem contradictory. What definition of steelmanning requires ever ignoring weak points that have been made by one’s opponent?

I think this may depend on what definition you're using, but generally people have multiple points while arguing their case, and it can make sense to drop weaker or more vulnerable points to strengthen the overall argument. Thus, the best possible form of an argument may involve ignoring or reconstructing certain points.

If someone says something vaguely racist while arguing against, say, multi-family housing, the best possible form of their argument would probably involve dropping that -- even if it's actually a significant motivation.

Re: Why I’m skeptical of “steelmanning”

#58
I’m pretty confused about how bad this post is considering how smart Gelman is? He’s making facile arguments even if you ignore that he hasn’t understood what either steelmaning or strawmaning are. I would say more, but other people have covered the errors in other comments, and I just wanted to explicitly note my confusion about how Dr. Gelman could have written this.

Re: Why I’m skeptical of “steelmanning”

#59
Honestly I see "steelmanning" as an emergent property of a completely broken discourse in the first place. The whole concept derives from the idea that we need specific terminology for when we're going to actually discuss things in a reasonable manner. It's basically a response to a group of public intellectuals who have emerged on the internet that spend more time building their brand and dunking on their opponents within their own echo chamber than actually trying to persuade people. And these public intellectuals are so well-read that they reinvented devils-advocate in their own bubble. It also stems from a kind of silly idea that the things we disagree over boil down to finding logical errors in each others positions, rather than emerging from deep-rooted differences in values.

In the example in the article there is just a fundamental difference in how those people see the world. One person thinks that by and large people are free to openly disagree with the consensus and would do so if they wanted to, and the other person thinks that disagreeing with the public consensus on controversial topics has such a high price that people choose not to do it. Depending on your experience in the world either of those two views can be right. In fact, you can pull examples on both sides of this - where contrarians have successfully changed the consensus and are celebrated for it, or have spoken out and been stigmatized for it. These opposing positions stem from such a deep difference in world views it's useless to talk about Ivemectin. So the issue here isn't steelmanning, it's that you're not actually discussing the point of contention.

Re: Why I’m skeptical of “steelmanning”

#60

Steelmanning is not the same as agreeing with an argument. According to the article, there can be situations that if you are steelmanning position X, you can be 'strawmanning' position Y. This however is not true. You can always steelman both positions (take the most charitable interpretation of both or multiple sides of the argument even if they contradict each other). Don't confuse agreement with interpretation. As…

yeah i don't get why 'strawmanning' Y is necessarily bad in this case. You also automatically strawman your own position, so what? that's kind of the point, to entertain another theory, possibly one by one.

Strawmanning is bad because it's fallacious reasoning, so it cannot serve as valid evidence for a proposition. It's a waste of time if what you're interested in is figuring out what the truth is; it only serves to pull the wool over an audience's eyes, or (perhaps more commonly) feed your ego by giving you a stupid and evil imaginary enemy to fight with, like children playing GI Joe or Batman.

"Steelmanning" doesn't involve strawmanning any position, unless the position you're "steelmanning" is inherently dependent on a fallacy—specifically, a fallacious strawman version of some other position. If you can find a non-fallacious argument for a proposition, you have to use it instead if you're "steelmanning."

So I don't agree that "steelmanning" involves strawmanning some other position Y, except in the most extreme cases, in which the position you're "steelmanning" can be trivially dismissed. Most positions that people actually hold have some valid argument in their favor, and therefore are not necessarily dependent on strawmanning other positions.

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