Live data from Hacker News

The housing market needs more condos

urban.org

51–60 of 152 posts

Re: The housing market needs more condos

#51
post #24

The housing market also needs more row houses. Those have fewer of the disadvantages of condos but unfortunately they're illegal to build in most (almost all?) parts of the US.

In Seattle there are a ton for town homes being built, split lot and connected, most without any hoa. When they need work I bet you’ll see a lot of neighbors suing neighbors to fix and replace shared elements. I would never move into shared living space that didn’t have some sort of hoa to manage any the shared space.

Re: The housing market needs more condos

#52
post #5

A lot of people have a big chunk of their net worth tied up into home equity because it's sort of the "ordained" path to building wealth for the middle class - condos don't see similar appreciation, get hit harder in downturns and are one of the last types of properties to recover in value afterwards. Start incentivizing treating housing as, you know, a place to live rather than a financial instrument and you'll see…

It's true that condos as a class don't appreciate but if you buy one in the right gentrifying area they can be a fantastic deal. Some condos in Austin Texas have increased 400% in price in the past 5-6 years. Particularly in zips 78741 and 78704.

Re: The housing market needs more condos

#53

Eh, maybe I’d do a townhouse, but I’m pretty burned out on condos. They’re just apartments with a bunch of extra liabilities attached.

In Seattle there are a ton for town homes being built, split lot and connected, most without any hoa. When they need work I bet you’ll see a lot of neighbors suing neighbors to fix and replace shared elements. I would never move into shared living space that didn’t have some sort of hoa to manage any the shared space.

Re: The housing market needs more condos

#54
post #5

A lot of people have a big chunk of their net worth tied up into home equity because it's sort of the "ordained" path to building wealth for the middle class - condos don't see similar appreciation, get hit harder in downturns and are one of the last types of properties to recover in value afterwards. Start incentivizing treating housing as, you know, a place to live rather than a financial instrument and you'll see…

> condos don't see similar appreciation

It depends on where the condo is. My condo in Boston has increased in value 2.5 times in the 20 years I've owned it. My friend's home in a wealthy suburb of Boston increased by 40% in almost the same amount of time. That's taking into account the last two years of the pandemic where we saw housing price increases slow or stop in the city while suburban prices rose much more quickly. Before that, the difference in appreciation was even greater.

My parents condo in Manhattan, which they bought 45 years ago, has probably appreciated close to two orders of magnitude.

Re: The housing market needs more condos

#55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> condos don't see similar appreciation, get hit harder in downturns and are one of the last types of properties to recover in value afterwards. This is fine. I don't buy a condo with the hope of recouping my money. I buy a condo to have a roof over my head. I couldn't care less if my condo loses 80% of its value. It would lower my property tax bill in fact. I don't expect a ROI > 0 for the furniture either. For my r…

If all you want is a roof over your head, why not rent? It's less risky. You may well find yourself caring if your condo loses 80% of its value if you need to sell it and you can't repay the loan.

Renting is very risky, and also more expensive than a condo that loses value.

The US has almost no tenant protections except for a few urban areas that passed municipal laws. I would prefer to rent if it provided almost as much protection as homeowning, and if it weren't so financially disincentivized in the US.

IMHO we need to eliminate the capital gains exemptions for homes, and also add on local capital gains taxes in addition to federal, to disincentivize real estate speculation.

Re: The housing market needs more condos

#56
post #18

No, it doesn’t. Or at least it depends on where. What the Bay Area needs is more genuine family housing, not small 2BR condos. If the condos were majority 3+ BR I’d have a different opinion. But they aren’t: it’s very hard to find good quality condo housing suitable for a 2-child family that isn’t roughly the same as or more than my 7-figure net worth in cost.

I don’t think it’s possible to get more single family homes. So the only option is condos. I agree more spacious one would be awesome as an option.

Just need strong regulation. All house builders want to make lots of small apartments, as that often gives a higher price per square meter of flooring. But the local government should aim for it being a mix.

Re: The housing market needs more condos

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If all you want is a roof over your head, why not rent? It's less risky. You may well find yourself caring if your condo loses 80% of its value if you need to sell it and you can't repay the loan.

Because rent would hurt you really bad when you're pensioner.

Old-age poverty is indeed a policy problem, but housing policy isn't really the way to address it. (Meanwhile you look at places like the Villages in Florida, where you are required to own a car because nothing is within walking distance, no social club, no grocery story, no physician, there's going to be a huge amount of pain in the future.)

Re: The housing market needs more condos

#58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If all you want is a roof over your head, why not rent? It's less risky. You may well find yourself caring if your condo loses 80% of its value if you need to sell it and you can't repay the loan.

>It's less risky. depending on your local housing market, it could be much more risky. where i live, for the last few years renting has carried the real possibility of being unable to find a place to live, for any amount of money, when your lease ends. the big upside to a condo is that nobody is going to kick you out.

The building could collapse, be condemned, there could be any number of natural disasters. You can end up in a situation where you owe a lot of money on the mortgage, interest rates move up, and the value drops, so now you can’t move.

If something major fails with the building, a repair bill could be so large that you have to take out another mortgage to pay for it, no matter your current financial situation.

Plenty of significant problems with condos that can force you to be kicked out.

Most of all, incentives are misaligned. Condos are designed to be marketed and sold. I’ve lived in several high end condos, as well as high end apartment buildings, and the apartment buildings always were built better and didn’t have weird custom made shit breaking.

Re: The housing market needs more condos

#59
post #18

No, it doesn’t. Or at least it depends on where. What the Bay Area needs is more genuine family housing, not small 2BR condos. If the condos were majority 3+ BR I’d have a different opinion. But they aren’t: it’s very hard to find good quality condo housing suitable for a 2-child family that isn’t roughly the same as or more than my 7-figure net worth in cost.

> No, it doesn’t. Or at least it depends on where. What the Bay Area needs is more genuine family housing, not small 2BR condos

Presumably, if there was less exclusive single-family-home zoning, there’d be more incentive for family-suitable condos to be built.

Re: The housing market needs more condos

#60
post #5

A lot of people have a big chunk of their net worth tied up into home equity because it's sort of the "ordained" path to building wealth for the middle class - condos don't see similar appreciation, get hit harder in downturns and are one of the last types of properties to recover in value afterwards. Start incentivizing treating housing as, you know, a place to live rather than a financial instrument and you'll see…

Yes. Condos are like a hybrid of apartments and SFHs, with mostly the downsides of both. In terms of affordability, they are often are the first opportunity for those wanting a SFH. But like you say, their risk/reward scenario is skewed heavily towards the risk.
Post reply on HN