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Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

kaggle.com

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Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#51

Post by Scaevolus »

benhamner wrote: post #30
srcreigh wrote: post #9

My favourite part of this is accounting for some fake grids. Kudos! I have been so curious lately as to whether this was possible. EDIT: The next question is which (if any) of these signals can be removed and still get it in 1 guess. Or if there are any other signals. Or how many tweets are needed (is 50 enough? 10? or 1000? 10k?)

This uses ~2-3k tweets per day for most days, which seems to be more than enough. According to https://twitter.com/WordleStats/status/1486021209015963649 there's about 250k daily tweets per Wordle right now, so this is about a 1% sample coming from whatever the Twitter search API returned when I ran that query. The simulated distributions it's comparing to are based on 1000 runs per 5-letter word. Anecdotally, 250 wa…

If you want to get even more tweets, you could use twitter's streaming API with the keyword "Wordle": http://adilmoujahid.com/posts/2014/07/twitter-analytics/

It should allow capturing a significant fraction of the 250k daily wordle tweets.

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#52

Post by geenew »

lkbm wrote: post #38
jonny_eh wrote: post #35

This is your regular reminder that today's word, and all the upcoming ones, are located in the Wordle minified JS.

Yes, we know. We can also easily "solve" a crossword puzzle by waiting a day and just copying down the published answers. People are having fun solving puzzles in clever ways. This post is an exceptionally clever way of solving a puzzle in an unexpected way, using forensic data analysis, which is itself something of interest to a lot of us.

“The maximum amount of time I take to complete any given crossword puzzle is one day.”

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#53

Post by hkmaxpro »

KeytarHero wrote: post #47
hkmaxpro wrote: post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If Yellow/“Maybe” really means “the letter is in the answer but in a different position”, then the final T satisfies this definition. Another commenter points out the actual implementation may deviate from this definition though.

Try TWEET in today's Wordle and you'll see what I mean

I agree with you. The first E gives a “Maybe” and the second E gives a “No”.

A “Maybe” response gives much more information than simply “the letter is in the answer but in a different position”.

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#55

Post by Txoko »

rkimb wrote: post #17

This is a really cool approach, definitely did not think of trying this! If you'd prefer to play without the crowdsourced data, I spent a couple hours on the following dictionary search algo yesterday which can typically solve puzzles in 3-4 guesses: https://github.com/rgkimball/wordlebot

Hperwordle works for me It defines the usable letters right on your keyboard.

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#56

Post by del_operator »

Two or three guesses with Wordle using the ETAOIN SHRDLU I learned doing cryptopals has been very effective at reaching a solution.

I usually have a first guess like SAINT then something like SCARE, CORED, etc eliminating vowels and frequent constants while also considering the most likely sequencing of matched characters or remaining characters.

Also eliminating S, T, C really reveals there’s no TH, SH, SP, CK, etc and is one factor that gets me suspicious of repeated chars or rarer k, g and x combos.

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#57

Post by Txoko »

rkimb wrote: post #17

This is a really cool approach, definitely did not think of trying this! If you'd prefer to play without the crowdsourced data, I spent a couple hours on the following dictionary search algo yesterday which can typically solve puzzles in 3-4 guesses: https://github.com/rgkimball/wordlebot

Hyperwordle defined the usable letters right on your keyboard. Thanks!

Re: Guess the daily Wordle in one try using the tweet distribution

#58

Post by gojomo »

benhamner wrote: post #30
srcreigh wrote: post #9

My favourite part of this is accounting for some fake grids. Kudos! I have been so curious lately as to whether this was possible. EDIT: The next question is which (if any) of these signals can be removed and still get it in 1 guess. Or if there are any other signals. Or how many tweets are needed (is 50 enough? 10? or 1000? 10k?)

This uses ~2-3k tweets per day for most days, which seems to be more than enough. According to https://twitter.com/WordleStats/status/1486021209015963649 there's about 250k daily tweets per Wordle right now, so this is about a 1% sample coming from whatever the Twitter search API returned when I ran that query. The simulated distributions it's comparing to are based on 1000 runs per 5-letter word. Anecdotally, 250 wa…

Besides eliminating the superficially-impossible rows (like `YYYYM`), does it do anything against more-sophisticated chaffing, like one or more accounts posting possible-but-inaccurate hint grids pointing at an alternate answer?
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