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Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

ir.tesla.com

51–60 of 92 posts

Re: Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

#51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Henry Ford created a factory "capable of taking in raw materials on one end and spitting out finished automobiles on the other". [0] Not all automakers have done things that way though, and other automakers are able to complete with Ford. Vertical integration can sometimes be an asset, other times the "Not Invented Here" culture proves limiting. Tesla's had incredible success thus far, but we probably need a couple m…

Ford had years of domination, didn't it? It is extremely hard to predict 15 years from now but the next five years? There are no competitors(perhaps besides Chinese battery makers) everyone is still in early R&D\prototype phases.

Ford achieved the ore-to-assembly goal in 1927. General Motors become the highest volume automaker in the US starting in 1931. Ford's sold a ton of cars too though. My point is just that Ford did extreme vertical integration and were successful. But GM did things differently and that worked for them too.

Looks like some of this has been studied by Harvard Business School: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=45289

Anyhow, you tout Tesla's deep work in batteries, motors and electronics (and let's not forget glass, doors, seats and other areas where Tesla has decided not to out-source). I can see where another company might be the GM to Tesla's Ford - finding success buying some of the right bits and pieces rather than spending an insane amount of money (re-)inventing them for themselves.

Re: Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

#52
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ah yes, most companies just buy batteries from Panasonic and shove them in their cars, but the galaxy brains at Tesla instead buy batteries from Panasonic and shove them into “custom modules” which is clearly materially different.

Wrong. Tesla has custom designs from form factor to chemistry. Panasonic was crucial at the begining with their own designed\made 18650. their role is shrinking fast Tesla's expertise when it comes to batteries is unmatched in the auto-motive industry, no doubt about that. Tesla is not using Panasonic at all for their new batteries.

Get a grip, Tesla fan. Your shares are doing fine without the reality distortion. People who buy cells from Panasonic directly are getting the exact same chemistry and form factor with which Telsa cars are equipped. Quoting from Tesla's own 10-Q filing, emphasis added.

"""Under our arrangement with Panasonic, we plan to purchase the full output from their production equipment at negotiated prices … Currently, we rely on suppliers such as Panasonic for these cells."""

Seriously, there is no shame in it. They are good batteries! They are made by Panasonic using Panasonic chemistry on Panasonic equipment, though.

Re: Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

#53
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's very impressive indeed and if they can keep growing like this few more years they will definitely have more revenue than any other car company and might be top 1 by cars produced in less than a decade.

But will they? All major car manufacturers bringing in more and more EVs each year and give another 2-5 years and it's all we are going to see. Now why on earth would I buy Tesla, if I could buy Audi or Merc instead?

VW expects 50% of cars sold to be electric by 2030, Ford expects 40% to be electric by 2030 and they say that they can't go much faster. Other's manufacturers forecasts are more dire. I'm afraid that it could be too little too late.

Re: Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

#54
post #25

Isn’t this even more impressive with the current chip shortage affecting every other car manufacturer on the planet?

The chip shortage is easily explained by this[0]. Tesla didn't pull shenanigans like other auto manufacturers, so they aren't nearly as affected.

0: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26931498

Re: Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

#55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Established players can't produce these numbers for their own EV's so you believe a startup will? Do people remember how much shit Tesla went through?

I think Rivian will take the startup approach and pack as much density into their battery, even if it means sacrificing a large chunk of their margin. The r1t is supposed to have a weight of 8500 pounds[0], so I can see a 150-200kwh battery being packed in there on the Max pack to achieve that range. 0: https://insideevs.com/news/536753/rivian-r1t-gvwr-heavy-duty...

200kwh? that's a disaster then.

200Kwh * 40K = 8Gwh?!

that's unrealistic, battery production is the single most limiting factor for all EV's.

big batteries = low volumes

Re: Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

#56
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean, a Model X with some options hits $110k quick. A fully kitted long range Y is about $65k. That latter number is a lot still, but way, way, way closer in the range of what an above average income earner can afford. There is also the absurdity of spending $100k+ on an asset that depreciates so heavily. My spouse and I make enough money to afford this car without much thought, but there isn’t a chance in hell I’d…

You could nearly double your range by buying two model Y’s it would give you around 600 miles — a much better price, and theoretically you could tow charge one and charge it, so it’s not out of the realm of possible. To be fairrrr, only people that have range anxiety are those that listen to the oil and gas industry.

At that point maybe somebody could start selling a ginormous battery pack on wheels. Buying a second car just to increase range seems ridiculous.

Re: Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ford had years of domination, didn't it? It is extremely hard to predict 15 years from now but the next five years? There are no competitors(perhaps besides Chinese battery makers) everyone is still in early R&D\prototype phases.

Ford achieved the ore-to-assembly goal in 1927. General Motors become the highest volume automaker in the US starting in 1931. Ford's sold a ton of cars too though. My point is just that Ford did extreme vertical integration and were successful. But GM did things differently and that worked for them too. Looks like some of this has been studied by Harvard Business School: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?n…

I really really hope that we will have competition coming from VW, Toyota.

We need to advance the technology which is still not good enough for our global needs, but knowing where these two are.... I'm skeptical

Re: Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

#58
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean, a Model X with some options hits $110k quick. A fully kitted long range Y is about $65k. That latter number is a lot still, but way, way, way closer in the range of what an above average income earner can afford. There is also the absurdity of spending $100k+ on an asset that depreciates so heavily. My spouse and I make enough money to afford this car without much thought, but there isn’t a chance in hell I’d…

You could nearly double your range by buying two model Y’s it would give you around 600 miles — a much better price, and theoretically you could tow charge one and charge it, so it’s not out of the realm of possible. To be fairrrr, only people that have range anxiety are those that listen to the oil and gas industry.

> and theoretically you could tow charge one and charge it

Charge it... from where? There isn't a free energy source here...

Re: Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

#59
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean, a Model X with some options hits $110k quick. A fully kitted long range Y is about $65k. That latter number is a lot still, but way, way, way closer in the range of what an above average income earner can afford. There is also the absurdity of spending $100k+ on an asset that depreciates so heavily. My spouse and I make enough money to afford this car without much thought, but there isn’t a chance in hell I’d…

You could nearly double your range by buying two model Y’s it would give you around 600 miles — a much better price, and theoretically you could tow charge one and charge it, so it’s not out of the realm of possible. To be fairrrr, only people that have range anxiety are those that listen to the oil and gas industry.

Are you suggesting that driving around with 2 cars, one towing the other, will double the range?

Moving 2 cars together takes almost double the power. The aerodynamic drag can decrease slightly — work on semi trucks in close convoy formation suggests maybe 10-20%.

Re: Tesla Q3 2021 Vehicle Production and Deliveries

#60
post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wrong. Tesla has custom designs from form factor to chemistry. Panasonic was crucial at the begining with their own designed\made 18650. their role is shrinking fast Tesla's expertise when it comes to batteries is unmatched in the auto-motive industry, no doubt about that. Tesla is not using Panasonic at all for their new batteries.

Get a grip, Tesla fan. Your shares are doing fine without the reality distortion. People who buy cells from Panasonic directly are getting the exact same chemistry and form factor with which Telsa cars are equipped. Quoting from Tesla's own 10-Q filing, emphasis added. """Under our arrangement with Panasonic, we plan to purchase the full output from their production equipment at negotiated prices … Currently, we rely…

You don't have to believe me but I don't own a tesla nor do I own Tesla stocks.

Tesla do have their own custom chemistry and doping, it is written all over the internet you're willing to read that.

TEsla has several patents and their own research group: https://www.scribd.com/document/440951044/Tesla-battery-pate...

https://www.scribd.com/document/424878572/J-Electrochem-Soc-...

just to name a few. to me you seem like a Tesla skeptic, unwilling to acknowledge their success

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