51–60 of 214 posts
tldr: Tesla uses vision alone, and has dropped radar and the other sensor. He makes a very decent argument why. (Surprisingly, he basically ignores night driving.)
Tesla's decision not to use the LIDAR as a safety feature (i.e. having reliable high-resolution data about things the car can collide with) is so incredibly indefensible, since solving the last 1% of this using only vision likely requires a general artificial intelligence Prediction: Tesla will be the last of all major auto manufacturers to get to L5 autonomy. Time interval between when Tesla L5 FSD is finally availa…
Right now their profit model is selling cars, not autonomy, so everything is optimized for that, including the decision to not use LIDAR.
Tesla's decision not to use the LIDAR as a safety feature (i.e. having reliable high-resolution data about things the car can collide with) is so incredibly indefensible, since solving the last 1% of this using only vision likely requires a general artificial intelligence Prediction: Tesla will be the last of all major auto manufacturers to get to L5 autonomy. Time interval between when Tesla L5 FSD is finally availa…
My prediction is that Tesla will eventually use LIDAR despite whatever they are saying now. Right now their profit model is selling cars, not autonomy, so everything is optimized for that, including the decision to not use LIDAR.
Tesla's decision not to use the LIDAR as a safety feature (i.e. having reliable high-resolution data about things the car can collide with) is so incredibly indefensible, since solving the last 1% of this using only vision likely requires a general artificial intelligence Prediction: Tesla will be the last of all major auto manufacturers to get to L5 autonomy. Time interval between when Tesla L5 FSD is finally availa…
You get sparse point cloud from LIDAR sensors, not accurate 3D maps. This is the main reason why some people think LIDAR may not work well (mostly, only comma.ai and Tesla folks). Vision can also get you 3D maps, either in active manner (IR floodlight or structured lighting) or not. I will reserve my judgement until see more from either side.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
My prediction is that Tesla will eventually use LIDAR despite whatever they are saying now. Right now their profit model is selling cars, not autonomy, so everything is optimized for that, including the decision to not use LIDAR.
lol what? did you watch the video at all
At some point when LIDAR is cheap enough there is no reason for Elon Musk to not give in and use them. Right now he's constraining the problem to the cost of the car.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
They’re betting that they can use a massive feedback loop to train a set of neural networks to the point where they are as accurate as LiDAR without actually firing any lasers. Even if you believe this goal is possible to achieve at some point in the future, I think the argument falls apart when you consider that it will take years, probably decades, for a pure vision approach to catch up to where Waymo is today in t…
> I think the argument falls apart when you consider that it will take years, probably decades, for a pure vision approach to catch up to where Waymo is today in terms of safety. (They have cameras too.) On what set of metrics do you think Waymo is safer? IMO it's too early to compare and cherry-picked proofs both from Waymo and Tesla are not really representative.
There are issues with reading too much into disengagements, but there certainly seems to be a large difference here.
[1] https://thelastdriverlicenseholder.com/2021/02/09/2020-disen...
Tesla's decision not to use the LIDAR as a safety feature (i.e. having reliable high-resolution data about things the car can collide with) is so incredibly indefensible, since solving the last 1% of this using only vision likely requires a general artificial intelligence Prediction: Tesla will be the last of all major auto manufacturers to get to L5 autonomy. Time interval between when Tesla L5 FSD is finally availa…
I predict the opposite. Tesla sold half a million cars last year and will sell nearly one million this year. The data they have access to is increasing by orders of magnitude. I bet there is a point, let's say 20 million cars total, where they can pull so much high quality data that they will be able to surpass lidar capabilities for the purposes of self driving. The lidar/no lidar discussion is a fun one because peo…
Tesla's decision not to use the LIDAR as a safety feature (i.e. having reliable high-resolution data about things the car can collide with) is so incredibly indefensible, since solving the last 1% of this using only vision likely requires a general artificial intelligence Prediction: Tesla will be the last of all major auto manufacturers to get to L5 autonomy. Time interval between when Tesla L5 FSD is finally availa…
You get sparse point cloud from LIDAR sensors, not accurate 3D maps. This is the main reason why some people think LIDAR may not work well (mostly, only comma.ai and Tesla folks). Vision can also get you 3D maps, either in active manner (IR floodlight or structured lighting) or not. I will reserve my judgement until see more from either side.
Take a look at how dense the point cloud from Waymo's 5th gen LIDAR is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=COgEQuqTAug&t=11599s. They just talked about this a few days ago.
Tesla's decision not to use the LIDAR as a safety feature (i.e. having reliable high-resolution data about things the car can collide with) is so incredibly indefensible, since solving the last 1% of this using only vision likely requires a general artificial intelligence Prediction: Tesla will be the last of all major auto manufacturers to get to L5 autonomy. Time interval between when Tesla L5 FSD is finally availa…
You get sparse point cloud from LIDAR sensors, not accurate 3D maps. This is the main reason why some people think LIDAR may not work well (mostly, only comma.ai and Tesla folks). Vision can also get you 3D maps, either in active manner (IR floodlight or structured lighting) or not. I will reserve my judgement until see more from either side.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
They’re betting that they can use a massive feedback loop to train a set of neural networks to the point where they are as accurate as LiDAR without actually firing any lasers. Even if you believe this goal is possible to achieve at some point in the future, I think the argument falls apart when you consider that it will take years, probably decades, for a pure vision approach to catch up to where Waymo is today in t…
I understand why they made the "no-LIDAR" bet early when the LIDARs were completely unpractical for a production consumer car However, nowadays it starts to look that 100% reliable depth estimation from cameras might actually require a human-level AI to work and also solid-state LIDAR technology is becoming cheap enough and integrateable into normal cars, but Tesla can't really change their stance on this without adm…