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Aerobics instructor appears to capture Myanmar coup in dance video

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Re: Aerobics instructor appears to capture Myanmar coup in dance video

#51

Post by crispyambulance »

lazycrazyowl wrote: post #49

Perfect personification of “Ignorance (situational) is Bliss”

It's certainly funny after the fact but how could she, or anyone else, tell it was a military coup?

It looks like some military vehicles politely entering a government complex at a rather brisk pace. Maybe an official wanted a joyride in the latest troop carrier thingy?

It's not ignorance if there's no way you can tell something is up !

Certainly Jan 6th mayhem at the US capitol looked more like "a coup", and the rioters involved probably thought it was going their way for a couple of hours, yet in the end it was nothing but a humiliation for a bunch of angry hillbillies and conspiracy theorists. The military in Myanmar certainly knew where to go and what to do.

Perhaps the aerobics video is more like a picture of competence in staging a successful coup? :-)

Re: Aerobics instructor appears to capture Myanmar coup in dance video

#52

Post by OnlyLys »

teorema wrote: post #46
sillysaurusx wrote: post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is an interesting analysis. Did the coup really happen at 4am? If so, then there's almost no way this video could be legit.

This LA Times article notes that the video was taken in the morning: https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-02-01/myanma... This stated communication blackouts lasted from 3 to 1115 am, with one journalist reporting a loss of service at 4am: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-55893736 . The coup didn't happen instantaneously at a given time, so it seems reasonable to say the video was recorded during the co…

She seems to be dancing by the Royal Lotus Roundabout near the Parliament and Presidential Palace [1].

The building in the background of the video appears to be a shrine located just past the road leading to the Presidential Palace. You can see the vehicles turn left just before the shrine, so they were probably up to no good...

[1]: https://goo.gl/maps/NLYW6hDSY4wMQkBH8

Re: Aerobics instructor appears to capture Myanmar coup in dance video

#53

Post by NDizzle »

Traubenfuchs wrote: post #32

Is there really someone who believes this video was not planned / manufactured? Are you that gullible?

I'm okay with them downvoting us now. Hopefully these comments will jolt something awake a few months (years?) from now when the story is "corrected".

Re: Aerobics instructor appears to capture Myanmar coup in dance video

#54

Post by michaelt »

minitoar wrote: post #38
sillysaurusx wrote: post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I didn't expect it to be hilarious. No wonder it went viral. But as someone else pointed out, the coup may have happened in the middle of the night at ~4am or so. Is this really showing the actual coup, or just the aftermath?

I mean...what is the precise moment when a coup happens? I would argue that a military caravan to a central govt building is still pretty coup-esque.

I agree that a coup doesn't happen instantly - but this video has captured a unique moment of history if it's showing military forces bloodlessly capturing a government checkpoint. On the other hand, if it's merely showing military vehicles passing through a military checkpoint? There are probably hundreds of videos showing that.

Re: Aerobics instructor appears to capture Myanmar coup in dance video

#55

Post by kergonath »

yread wrote: post #43
Traubenfuchs wrote: post #32

Is there really someone who believes this video was not planned / manufactured? Are you that gullible?

Lots of things happen in the world. Some of them are hard to believe. If there is 1 billion cameras in the world they are bound to catch some 1 in a billion events

Exactly! We seem to process “unlikely” as “impossible”, but very unlikely events happen all the time. Just because there are also many, many opportunities for them to happen.

It’s also funny to see skeptics who think they cleverly avoid being manipulated when they see a cut off shadow fall into that trap because they are not skeptical enough of their own hypotheses.

Re: Aerobics instructor appears to capture Myanmar coup in dance video

#57

Post by 93po »

Traubenfuchs wrote: post #32

Is there really someone who believes this video was not planned / manufactured? Are you that gullible?

They're at one of the biggest attractions in the capital city of a country. It's not exactly a stretch to think someone would capture this in the background.

Re: Aerobics instructor appears to capture Myanmar coup in dance video

#58

Post by est31 »

est31 wrote: post #45
z92 wrote: post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Coup news takes time to reach the media. If this is not fake more likely this video is from the previous day afternoon, when they raided the parliament.

According to this comment the camera faces westwards: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25999725 The sun shines from the back towards the right so is more in the east. I'd put it somewhere around 10 to 12 AM local time (UTC+6.5). https://www.suncalc.org/#/19.7758,96.1326,15/2021.01.31/11:4...

Apparently the original post was done on 15:00 local time so that gives an upper bound: https://www.facebook.com/100005518668726/posts/1569283416598...

Re: Aerobics instructor appears to capture Myanmar coup in dance video

#59

Post by [deleted] »

michaelt wrote: post #54
minitoar wrote: post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean...what is the precise moment when a coup happens? I would argue that a military caravan to a central govt building is still pretty coup-esque.

I agree that a coup doesn't happen instantly - but this video has captured a unique moment of history if it's showing military forces bloodlessly capturing a government checkpoint. On the other hand, if it's merely showing military vehicles passing through a military checkpoint? There are probably hundreds of videos showing that.

[deleted]

Re: Aerobics instructor appears to capture Myanmar coup in dance video

#60

Post by gremlinsinc »

crispyambulance wrote: post #51
lazycrazyowl wrote: post #49

Perfect personification of “Ignorance (situational) is Bliss”

It's certainly funny after the fact but how could she, or anyone else, tell it was a military coup? It looks like some military vehicles politely entering a government complex at a rather brisk pace. Maybe an official wanted a joyride in the latest troop carrier thingy? It's not ignorance if there's no way you can tell something is up ! Certainly Jan 6th mayhem at the US capitol looked more like "a coup", and the rio…

well, imagine the military is with Trump, and says to the civilians: It's okay we'll take it from here and then a bunch of military vehicles show up to arrest all of congress who is against Trump. It's kinda like that a more "professional" coup.
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