Are you a “harbinger of failure”? (2015)

Post by captainredbeard » Sun, Jan 03, 2021, 5:34 PM UTC

cryptica wrote: post #38

I'm a harbinger of failure on the supply side. Whenever I join a company or new industry or make an investment or make a prediction, it does the exact opposite of what I anticipated because of some insane global event that has nothing to do with me. For example, I was working in a bootstrapped tech startup in online education industry which was delivering real value (really great product). But didn't really go anywhe…

Post by captainredbeard » Thu, Jan 14, 2021, 1:57 AM UTC

cryptica wrote: post #52

captainredbeard wrote: post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

After reading your post all I can offer you is this phrase: certainty is an emotional state, and you seem very certain about how the most complicated system in the world (economy) works.

The economy beat the optimism out of me. My sense of certainty these days is based only on my skepticism of alternative explanations (which I learned were incorrect, the hard way).