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Joining Apple 40 years ago

mondaynote.com

51–60 of 152 posts

Re: Joining Apple 40 years ago

#51
post #40
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But China is still rotten to its core. Eventually that'll backfire heavily on both Shenzhen and entrepreneurs trying their luck there.

And the states are not?

The US is a stable and functioning democracy. This is not to say it is perfect.

Re: Joining Apple 40 years ago

#52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Did this change as Apple got bigger and then fell on hard times? Also are you adding those proper quotation marks by hand?

I made the post from my iPad. I suspect it did the quotes. Let's "try" it from my computer... Nowadays, people sneer at me for "working for The Man." Being an Apple programmer has meant many years of being sneered at. No way to win...

I think you can toggle the smart quotes. I don't like them either. And if they happen to end up in code, it's insanely irritating.

Re: Joining Apple 40 years ago

#53
> Microsoft will be designing its own processors for its Surface laptop line and its cloud servers.

I love Satya’s Microsoft. But every time Microsoft tries to copy Apple they have failed miserably. I wish they don’t and instead focus on their strengths. But you never know, Satya’s proven us wrong on several occasions. So maybe this time is different?

Re: Joining Apple 40 years ago

#54
post #48
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is it? Sounds orthogonal to the population, as the city could just expand vertically (more highrises/scyscrapers) or horizontally (more land).

Haven't Tokio already done both?

Yes, though there is still room in the Tokyo metro area for even more growth, both vertically and horizontally. Even though Japan's population is declining, Tokyo Prefecture and its neighboring prefectures were still growing pre-pandemic (although I remember reading that since the COVID-19 pandemic struck there's a growing interest in living in more rural parts of Japan.) Regarding horizontal growth, there is still plenty of agricultural land in the Chiba and Ibaraki prefectures east of Tokyo that can be developed. In fact, when I take the Narita Express from the Narita International Airport to Tokyo, I pass by plenty of agricultural areas before reaching the easternmost fringes of the Tokyo metro area's urban sprawl. Another area where urban sprawl could occur is the Izu Peninsula in Shizuoka Prefecture just south of Mt. Fuji, where the beach resort town of Atami is located.

Regarding horizontal growth, there are plenty of places in the Tokyo metro area being redeveloped horizontally, such as the Musashi-Kosugi area of Kawasaki, which is just a 20 minute train ride on regular commuter trains like the Tokyu Toyoko Line and the JR Shonan-Shinjuku Line to Shibuya, a major hub in Tokyo. Over the past 15 years there has been a lot of development of high-rise residences in the area. Futako-tamagawa is another area of Tokyo that has seen much horizontal growth, starting with the Rise shopping center and nearby high-rise residences that opened around 2011. Rakuten moved its headquarters from Shinagawa to Futako-tamagawa sometime in the late 2010s, which has further boosted the desirability of Futako-tamagawa and neighboring areas such as Mizonokuchi just across the river in Kawasaki.

Disclaimer: I live near Silicon Valley but I travel to Japan roughly once every other year.

Re: Joining Apple 40 years ago

#55
post #39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Being rotten, never stopped anyone. The biggest problem is that money can get easily into China, but not so easily out of it.

They love to export goods, so it's still easy enough. That will have complications in the future, but that's the next generations issue, not the person making the decision today that wants a nice bonus.

When they export, money gets in. But they don't import much , if you look at china's trade balance, it's at + 421 billion dollars [1] (money going in) while USA is at -616 B [2].

So it's in fact hard to get money out of china.

[1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/263632/trade-balance-of-...

[2] https://www.statista.com/statistics/220041/total-value-of-us...

Re: Joining Apple 40 years ago

#56
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Tokyo’s population has increased 50% over the last twenty years and property prices have been flat That's because most live in glorified living room space, and many in "comfortable elevator" size houses...

Even hotel rooms are in Tokyo are tiny compared with US hotel rooms.

On the other hand, roughly $50-100/night gets you a clean, though tiny, place to stay at a business hotel in the Tokyo metro area. (For those of you unfamiliar with Japan, a business hotel is a type of hotel that offers rooms primarily for people on domestic business trips. The rooms are tiny [think the size of a college dorm room, sometimes even smaller], but at the hotels I've stayed at, the service is friendly and the staff does a great job with cleanliness.) By comparison, there are parts of the United States where you have to pay more than $100 per night for a dodgy motel in an unsafe area. I generally stay at business hotels whenever I take a trip to Japan, whether it is for business or for vacation.

Re: Joining Apple 40 years ago

#57
post #41
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's the compromise you have to make to live in the biggest city in the world (metro population: 37 million people).

Is it? Sounds orthogonal to the population, as the city could just expand vertically (more highrises/scyscrapers) or horizontally (more land).

Na issue is that with expansion distances increase. Thus you lose the benefit of being in the city (close to work, close to friends, close to cultural offerings, close to shops, close to ...) While Japan did a few things to help, like reliably working high speed railway, which allows commute over wide distance, while central places are crowded during rush hour and can't take much more.

Re: Joining Apple 40 years ago

#58

Can you imagine moving to the Bay Area in the 80s? To grow up when land was still cheap, before college competition was cutthroat and unaffordable, when relatively simple competence could get you a solid job and VC/PE firms weren't plundering and incentivizing the latest 30-second attention-span app to reach $1B? It would be me living in Los Altos now, instead of the old rich people who I curse for refusing to die or…

there's always an untapped place somewhere. in the 80s people were saying this about someplace else probably.

I'm curious about the untapped potential of other parts of California. Now that the pandemic has made remote work a necessity, I'm wondering if regions of California outside Silicon Valley will benefit from remote tech workers having more options in terms of residences. For example, Sacramento is a very popular destination for ex-Bay Area residents, and it appears to be a good location for people working remotely for Silicon Valley companies who (post-pandemic) may need to make occasional trips to the office. Sacramento is still affordable, though it's becoming more expensive each year.

Other areas that are intriguing to me include San Luis Obispo County and some of Southern California's exurbs like the Antelope Valley area and Lake Elsinore, where it's possible to buy a nice single-family house in a safe neighborhood for less than $500,000.

California gets a bad rap in some circles due to its high cost of living and its taxes, but not everywhere in California has the Bay Area's high housing costs. There are many other areas of the state where people can still reasonably make a day trip to the Bay Area to enjoy its amenities while living in a place that is affordable on an average engineer's salary.

Re: Joining Apple 40 years ago

#59
post #55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They love to export goods, so it's still easy enough. That will have complications in the future, but that's the next generations issue, not the person making the decision today that wants a nice bonus.

When they export, money gets in. But they don't import much , if you look at china's trade balance, it's at + 421 billion dollars [1] (money going in) while USA is at -616 B [2]. So it's in fact hard to get money out of china. [1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/263632/trade-balance-of-... [2] https://www.statista.com/statistics/220041/total-value-of-us...

But the total import of China in 2019 is $2.09 trillion. Which is 5 times the surplus you mentioned.

If your think that surplus is a lot, then 5 times that is definitely not "they don't import much"

Re: Joining Apple 40 years ago

#60
post #27

Can you imagine moving to the Bay Area in the 80s? To grow up when land was still cheap, before college competition was cutthroat and unaffordable, when relatively simple competence could get you a solid job and VC/PE firms weren't plundering and incentivizing the latest 30-second attention-span app to reach $1B? It would be me living in Los Altos now, instead of the old rich people who I curse for refusing to die or…

I moved to the Bay Area in '84, bought a house in ~89 - house prices had just run up to what people considered then as high levels - Real Estate then leveled out and stopped rising for half a decade - it's done that on and off for 40 years - it was never 'cheap' at the time. Prop 13 was already in place in '84 - the only way to get rid of it is to vote it out, it's long past time

I had a couple companies interested in recruiting me to the Valley in the mid 90s or so. One of the reasons I decided not to pursue was cost of living relative to the not inexpensive Boston area. And the companies even acknowledged that was the case.
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