April Is Canceled • Hacker News Board

Re: April Is Canceled

#51

Post by op00to » Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 11:09 PM UTC

ecopoesis wrote: post #20

Honestly? Fuck this. Millions of people are going to die. It's very likely some of your friends and family will be in that number. It's okay to mourn. It's expected that we will all mourn. The world we get out of this is going to be different and it's going to be a worse one for almost everyone. You don't need to write King Lear or invent gravity. Just surviving will be a miracle enough.

How do you know it will be worse for almost everyone? Parents will die, children will inherit windfalls (family farm? Dads truck?). Boomer politicians die, we see new blood in politics.

Re: April Is Canceled

#52

Post by johnmarinelli » Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 11:09 PM UTC

wpietri wrote: post #46

johnmarinelli wrote: post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> millions wat

It's not at all absurd. Napkin math: 1% fatality rate * 60% infection rate * 7.8 billion people = 46.8 million deaths. You can plug in all sorts of adjustments, but millions is totally plausible. Or another way to look at it is that the US could easily see 100k deaths. [1] The us is about 1/20th of the world population, so scaling up we get 2 million deaths. [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/31/world/coronavirus-li…

a world where we trust napkin math for fatality rates is a world i don't want to live in

(before you downvote, please appreciate the subtle dark pun)

Re: April Is Canceled

#53

Post by hodgesrm » Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 11:10 PM UTC

mcv wrote: post #18

I wish I had time for any of that. I keep reading ideas for how to deal with the boredom of self-isolation, but nobody writes about the stress. My wife and I have to homeschool two kids while also doing our own jobs from home. We're lucky of course that we have jobs, and we can do them from home, and we have two awesome and healthy kids. But homeschooling while we work really is a bit much.

My feelings really go out to you. Hope you all come through healthy and caring for each other. Meanwhile, it's even tougher for people with kids at home who still have to go to work. Not all of us are lucky enough to be able to work with zoom and github.

Re: April Is Canceled

#54

Post by scrooched_moose » Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 11:10 PM UTC

readme wrote: post #42

ecopoesis wrote: post #20

Honestly? Fuck this. Millions of people are going to die. It's very likely some of your friends and family will be in that number. It's okay to mourn. It's expected that we will all mourn. The world we get out of this is going to be different and it's going to be a worse one for almost everyone. You don't need to write King Lear or invent gravity. Just surviving will be a miracle enough.

At the time you wrote this comment, approximately 45k people have died as a result of the coronavirus worldwide. Glass is half empty for you then, right?

And the Trump administration's estimates from today are 100,000 to 240,000 deaths in the US alone:

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/01/coronavirus-could-kill-more-...

Several million worldwide seems very possible. People downplaying this for too long is a large part of why it's gotten so bad already.

Why worry? There's only 15 cases in the US. Why worry? There's only 15 cases in my state. Why worry? There's only 15 cases in my county.

Who knows what it will look like in 2 weeks.

Re: April Is Canceled

#55

Post by mdavidn » Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 11:10 PM UTC

rabryan wrote: post #37

ecopoesis wrote: post #20

Honestly? Fuck this. Millions of people are going to die. It's very likely some of your friends and family will be in that number. It's okay to mourn. It's expected that we will all mourn. The world we get out of this is going to be different and it's going to be a worse one for almost everyone. You don't need to write King Lear or invent gravity. Just surviving will be a miracle enough.

Millions? Where and when? Plus why criticize something thats advocating staying home in order to save lives.

The US expects at least 100,000 deaths. Extrapolated to the world population at the same rate, that's 2.4 million deaths.

Re: April Is Canceled

#56

Post by lemonberry » Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 11:10 PM UTC

faitswulff wrote: post #8

01100011 wrote: post #3

Eh, some of us just have to keep working. No time to work on our magnum opus, because we're trying to remain productive in the ersatz offices we've cobbled together at home.

Some of us are stay at home parents.

I feel for the parents. Some of my coworkers are struggling. Thankfully we're all lucky enough to still be working now but it's definitely tough. I'm the primary care giver for my father. While that's meant preparing his meds, preparing meals, and taking him to doctor's appointments, etc. With the closing of the senior lunch and his few friends unable to visit I'm now full time social director. Much more stressful than I'd have anticipated. On the other hand, he isn't a child and generally stays out of my way while I work.

Best of luck to you all. The number and variety of stressors right now is off the charts. Hope you and your families come out the other side stronger for it all.

Re: April Is Canceled

#57

Post by blattimwind » Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 11:10 PM UTC

poletopole wrote: post #27

I already found a new transcendental number in my research and it has only been three weeks.

Well, almost all reals are... I would be more impressed if you found a new number that isn't!

Re: April Is Canceled

#58

Post by soperj » Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 11:11 PM UTC

readme wrote: post #42

ecopoesis wrote: post #20

Honestly? Fuck this. Millions of people are going to die. It's very likely some of your friends and family will be in that number. It's okay to mourn. It's expected that we will all mourn. The world we get out of this is going to be different and it's going to be a worse one for almost everyone. You don't need to write King Lear or invent gravity. Just surviving will be a miracle enough.

At the time you wrote this comment, approximately 45k people have died as a result of the coronavirus worldwide. Glass is half empty for you then, right?

45k was 21k a week ago, and under 10k a week before that. Today it'll be ~+5k more. That number is increasing every day.

Re: April Is Canceled

#59

Post by JauntyHatAngle » Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 11:11 PM UTC

ecopoesis wrote: post #20

Honestly? Fuck this. Millions of people are going to die. It's very likely some of your friends and family will be in that number. It's okay to mourn. It's expected that we will all mourn. The world we get out of this is going to be different and it's going to be a worse one for almost everyone. You don't need to write King Lear or invent gravity. Just surviving will be a miracle enough.

I can't say I agree there. The intent of the website is to motivate people to make the most of what they've got.

Does it work for everyone? No. Of course not.

But a "fuck this"? Why? If it works for people, good, if not, move on. No reason to bring down someone for trying.

Re: April Is Canceled

#60

Post by pesfandiar » Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 11:11 PM UTC

While the quarantine could provide a great opportunity for some to achieve great life goals, things could be quite different for parents working and caring for young children. With two working parents and a toddler at home, I'd be so happy to accomplish bare minimum work and home duties; pulling an Isaac Newton be darned!