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What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

vicki.substack.com

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Re: What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

#51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem here isn't oil but simply the power of the global elite. I went into this article thinking "So what? The world runs on oil, and oil has a lot of money. Welcome to learning about the economy." But yeah, it is concerning that private interests that don't share our same niceties about democracy and human rights have power over us.

You willingly put up with the ‘global elite’ though.

Define "willingly".

Re: What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

#52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem here isn't oil but simply the power of the global elite. I went into this article thinking "So what? The world runs on oil, and oil has a lot of money. Welcome to learning about the economy." But yeah, it is concerning that private interests that don't share our same niceties about democracy and human rights have power over us.

You willingly put up with the ‘global elite’ though.

"willingly" is a bit of a stretch considering the difficulty of doing so, and gives off a different connontation.

Re: What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

#53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem here isn't oil but simply the power of the global elite. I went into this article thinking "So what? The world runs on oil, and oil has a lot of money. Welcome to learning about the economy." But yeah, it is concerning that private interests that don't share our same niceties about democracy and human rights have power over us.

You willingly put up with the ‘global elite’ though.

Yeah, but I'm putting off "taking down the global elite and reworking our entire system" for next Tuesday because I've got some other things on my to-do list.

Re: What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

#54
post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The average cost for an offshore oil drilling rig is now about $650MM. The ones that can go really deep are even more expensive.

I didn't know they were that cheap. A new refinery starts at about $5B.

What kind of things go into a refinery that form that price?

Re: What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

#55
post #12

One thing to point out: Oil is still _huge_ when it comes to investment and sheer amount of financing available. Anything involving large-scale finance will have oil money involved in it in some way. Frankly, even at the height of the tech boom, the tech industry has never had significant capital available compared to the oil industry. I've worked in both... Folks in tech think 100 million in capital is a lot. In oil…

I was at an iron works a while back where I learned that an industrial grade blast furnace was, ballpark, $100 billion. This was built 100 years ago. That day I decided I just didn’t and wouldn’t ever understand capital markets.

Off by a couple orders of magnitude. Capital cost of a blast furnace, rule of thumb, is ~$200 per ton of pig iron per year: https://www.quora.com/How-much-would-it-cost-to-set-up-a-bla...

The largest blast furnace in the world is about 5 million tons of iron per year (and was upgraded to that capacity in 2013): http://www.donga.com/en/List/article/all/20130610/406398/1/P...

...so that means the biggest blast furnace in the world has a capital cost of approximately $1 billion.

More than likely the cost (in today's dollars) of that blast furnace you're referring to is $100 million, not $100 billion.

Side note: direct reduction furnaces furnaces are usually cheaper from a capital cost perspective and can use natural gas or even hydrogen for producing steel... We may use more of this tech in the future as we move away from coal for sustainability reasons.... The US now produces about 10% of its raw iron/steel using DRI and 90% by blast furnaces and the rate of DRI growth is fantastic (going from 2 million tons in 2017 to 3.4 million in 2018, pdf page 10): https://www.worldsteel.org/en/dam/jcr:96d7a585-e6b2-4d63-b94... A few years ago, virtually no steel was made via DRI in the US. The fracking boom has changed a lot.

Re: What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

#56

Comes close to an important point, and then misses it completely. The problem is not that Saudi money would get them influence at new U.S. tech companies. The problem is that Saudi money is getting pushed into "tech" companies that have unsustainable business models, and this is sucking all the oxygen (e.g. available developers) from other projects that could accomplish more. Imagine two startup ideas. One, could be…

Well that just means that a rational investor would make a killing amid this chaos, wouldn't he? So, we have to assume that for the last decade, not a single VC in the industry have been rational enough to pick up easy money everybody else is overlooking?

Well, if the available resources are being bid up by billions going into goofy ideas, then the cost to the "rational" investor has gone up. The resources for the $40billion startup didn't get created out of thin air by the Softbank money, they got taken from a finite pool, and thus are unavailable for other startups. Softbank pushed money into the startup space, but didn't add any real resources, so it just distorted the ability of the market to allocate them appropriately.

Re: What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You willingly put up with the ‘global elite’ though.

Yeah, but I'm putting off "taking down the global elite and reworking our entire system" for next Tuesday because I've got some other things on my to-do list.

and we might fear for our lives and the lives of our children.

Re: What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

#58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You willingly put up with the ‘global elite’ though.

"willingly" is a bit of a stretch considering the difficulty of doing so, and gives off a different connontation.

Of course it’s difficult, but we all have the means to build social movements, companies or sue if we feel that there’s something terrible going on. But we all like our flights, our cars, our cheaper and cheaper phones, stable policy in the West and perceived security. It’s hard but you can go against it. Just always saying ‘it’s the elite’ and then sitting it out seems really easy to me. Everyone has a conception of injustice, it just depends on how badly you crave that justice.

Re: What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

#59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem here isn't oil but simply the power of the global elite. I went into this article thinking "So what? The world runs on oil, and oil has a lot of money. Welcome to learning about the economy." But yeah, it is concerning that private interests that don't share our same niceties about democracy and human rights have power over us.

You willingly put up with the ‘global elite’ though.

I don't understand anti-elitism, given the alternative.

Re: What does it mean for American innovation to be backed by oil wealth?

#60
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I don’t see it being so negative that it comes from oil. I don't believe that's the actual problem. If it was Norway investing its oil money, this wouldn't be an issue. It's oil money from a state that is very much not aligned with the values SV companies claim.

I guess you and I have different ideas about SV company values! I think that SV has very lax attitudes on censorship and data collection, and frankly I think that some of these companies practices would be much better accepted by the ruling parties Saudi Arabia than in most of America

Possibly. But the values they claim are very different from the Saudi values. I'm not here to judge whether they are virtuous or not, just pointing out that the article wasn't about "oil money" as "money made from oil" but specifically about oil money coming from countries that are openly opposed to the values SV claims to stand for. I'm sure that the argument would be the same if the money SA invests didn't stem from their oil exports but from Hajj tourism.
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