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Ask HN: What tech companies do you invest in?

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Re: Ask HN: What tech companies do you invest in?

#51
I previously had a modest amount of stock in a handful of midsized and larger tech companies, but I'm in the process of selling it off.

Something that was an eye opening experience for me was watching my own employer go public. All of the sudden the rest of the world is trying to understand and make sense of your business.

From the individual investors talking about our business on twitter or seeking alpha to the analyst reports from the massive investment houses, other people's conjecture about our market and our strategy is often just way, way off base.

This experience made it painfully clear that most investors, even "professionals", are operating in an extreme vacuum of information. They know almost nothing about our future prospects relative to what the employees living in the space every day know.

It's half because they are spreading themselves too thin, and half because they aren't living in our space, talking to our customers every day.

Long story short, I'm realistic that as an individual investor who isn't an insider, I'm at a huge disadvantage. So I hold a lot of employee stock, and I'm moving more and more toward boring old index funds.

Re: Ask HN: What tech companies do you invest in?

#52
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Somebody investing $1,000 in Apple who only has $1,000 to invest is the same as somebody investing 10M who has 10M to invest. It's really not. You can't really meaningfully diversify with a portfolio of $1k, but you sure can with $10M. It makes more sense for the $1k investor to pick one stock they feel good about it and hope to get 10-20% or more return on that, rather than for that $1k investor to try to find ten…

> It makes more sense for the $1k investor to pick one stock they feel good about it and hope to get 10-20% or more return on that If you're going to invest $1k, does it even make sense to do it at all even for that 10-20%? I recently for the first time bought some stocks (about 5k), and I don't like that I'm refreshing my etrade account all the time. In the end it would have been better I feel to spend it on somethi…

It doesn't have to be so black and white - you don't need to invest small or go all in. I setup an automatic transfer which happens the day after I get my paycheck. Over time it's added up to be quite a lot of money.

Re: Ask HN: What tech companies do you invest in?

#53
post #49

Biggest tech holdings: - TSLA - same reasons mentioned below - NVDA - GPUs could eventually replace CPUs, machine learning / autonomous vehicles, data storage, great core business (gaming) - AMD - similar reasons to NVDA, Epyc is making waves and taking market share from INTC - AMZN - $1 of every $2 on the internet is spent here, AWS alone is probably a $100 BN+ business, they have their hands in every imaginable coo…

> IF you had invested in FAANG Sounds like a big if, and sounds like you missed that boat yourself. Not to mention over the last 5 years you'd have to avoid investing in Microsoft, Oracle, Adobe, VMWare, Intuit, etc.

MSFT? It has gone from ~$30 per share to ~$70 per share over the past 5 years.

Re: Ask HN: What tech companies do you invest in?

#55
post #41

I used to not pick tech stocks because of the diversification argument. However, I stopped that and now invest a good bit. Why? People in tech are going to be better at predicting the future than the equity research analysts at investment banks. Have confidence in yourself and make some picks.

I'd actually suggest that the typical software engineer and typical equity analyst are equally bad at forecasting the market. I wouldn't expect either of them to be more than one standard deviation from the broader population (and probably not even that much).
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