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The H-Bombs in Turkey

newyorker.com

51–60 of 145 posts

Re: The H-Bombs in Turkey

#51
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, the US doesn't export its armaments with any sort of remote disabling functionality, who would buy arms like that?

Actually it should be a simple as expiring whatever API key the jets use to communicate back to the US-based control servers. So when it POSTs to a StartEngine endpoint or whatever, it wouldn't start.

Lol.

No government would buy unreliable weapons.

Re: The H-Bombs in Turkey

#52
post #26

I'm skeptical that the PALs are as easy to bypass as this article says. It's possible that the arming code includes critical information necessary to properly detonate the bomb, such as timing info for firing the various detonators. Even if it doesn't, the critical PAL hardware is deep inside the bomb, requiring the bomb to be disassembled to get to it, then reassembled afterwards, and that's not quite as easy as swa…

Are those the same PALs that were (allegedly) set to 00000000 for most of the Cold War?

Re: The H-Bombs in Turkey

#53
post #7
post #2

Quote "...it does not have any American or Turkish aircraft equipped to deliver them. " What kind of aircraft would be that?

F15s, F16s, and many aircraft that the Navy uses. Still I would think that its high time to get them out of Turkey with the stability of the region in question, let alone the debate on whether or not the coup was staged

>let alone the debate on whether or not the coup was staged

I don't understand why you are being downvoted for this. A decent number of military analysist and Turkish civilians have come to this conclusion.

-No government buildings were seized, only bridges and airports.

-Normally within the first 30 minutes of a coup a Turkish Military General was on TV directly addressing civilians as to why this had taken place, and what was going to happen.

-The past 5 coups took place in -The Turkish Air Force established air superiority over Istanbul but never shot down the president's plane.

-Turkish troops weren't equip for crowd control, or even for fighting most were lacking body armor and helmets.

-Turkish troops didn't set up fire-hoses, or wear riot gear for crowd control like previous coups.

-More Judges have been fired from their posts in Turkey then Military Officers post coup.

-Most military units blatantly weren't involved. In the coup or even scrambled to defend against it.

Turkey has had 5 successful coups in the past 100 years why did this one differ so extremely from the previous ones?

Incompetence is a simple defense, but this is a NATO trained and drilled military. Officers education requires they be able to switch between nations, and officer sharing programs are common. Saying the Turkish military is incompetent is really damning to the whole of NATO, and it's attempts to standardize education/training across member nations.

Re: The H-Bombs in Turkey

#54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>it does not have any American or Turkish aircraft equipped to deliver them. This is a lie. B-61's mount on to any NATO MIL-STD-8591 hard point. Any F-15, F-18 can mount and fire B61's without any modification.

My take was the author meant no aircraft with the range to drop them on Russian targets. The New Yorker is pretty obsessive about fact-checking, so I think calling a statement like this a lie is an uncharitable reading.

What if the Turks decide to take the weapons and attack the Armenians who are protected by the Russians?

In addition to that the Turks view the Armenians as their enemy, they have basically sealed off the borders to them for decades because of that.

Re: The H-Bombs in Turkey

#55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Turkey has the largest standing army in the region. 600K or so. Those 2000 troops wouldn't last long enough to get the weapons out.

I think you're vastly underestimating 1st world intelligence capabilities. By the time anyone is brainstorming how exactly they want to take the base the big players in NATO already have guys sitting in jets idling on the taxiway, an aircraft carrier is taking a hard turn into the wind and an aide is popping popcorn and cracking a beer so Mr. Putin can enjoy the spectacle. When nukes are involved things get taken ver…

You mean the same intel which said Iraq / Iran / Libya / Syria has weapons of mass destruction? There is also a chance Israel or Russia would bomb the site, before those bombs get in wrong hands.

Re: The H-Bombs in Turkey

#56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think it was actually "00000000" ;-) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Permissive_Action_Link#Develop... Edit: Unless you mean that bike locks that the UK used to secure nukes, these days we just trust our submarine crews not to do anything rash.

Ah, thank you. Some faulty bits in my memory caused an early nul termination.

As long as there are no premature detonations! ;-)

Re: The H-Bombs in Turkey

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you're vastly underestimating 1st world intelligence capabilities. By the time anyone is brainstorming how exactly they want to take the base the big players in NATO already have guys sitting in jets idling on the taxiway, an aircraft carrier is taking a hard turn into the wind and an aide is popping popcorn and cracking a beer so Mr. Putin can enjoy the spectacle. When nukes are involved things get taken ver…

Then how come they are still there? If what you write is true they should have had clear warning about that coup attempt. It might have succeeded.

> If what you write is true they should have had clear warning about that coup attempt. It might have succeeded.

Or, the relevant intelligence agencies had clear warning, a good estimate of capabilities and what it would take to defeat it, and were able to intervene to assure that the Erdogan government was capable of putting down the coup

Or they had clear warning, sufficient intelligence about the intentions and orientation of the coup plotters that they were comfortable that the weapons would be no less safe even if the coup succeeded.

Or...

Re: The H-Bombs in Turkey

#58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Turkey has the largest standing army in the region. 600K or so. Those 2000 troops wouldn't last long enough to get the weapons out.

Why would the weapons need to get out? Why wouldn't the weapons be equipped with a self-destruct, or self-disablement mechanism? Why wouldn't the US destroy the facility if there was a risk of the weapons being used?

> Why would the weapons need to get out?

Non-proliferation, for one. If Turkey goes hardline Islamic and it would get its hands on those weapons that would make it yet another hard to predict factor in Middle-East politics.

> Why wouldn't the weapons be equipped with a self-destruct, or self-disablement mechanism?

Anything that can be added can be removed and likely such mechanisms would not work (for obvious reasons) by remote control.

> Why wouldn't the US destroy the facility if there was a risk of the weapons being used?

Because they were too busy saving their asses? Because raining bombs on Turkey would probably not be a better solution than getting those weapons out while it was still possible?

Re: The H-Bombs in Turkey

#59
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>My take was the author meant no aircraft with the range to drop them on Russian targets. This is likely true. It's about ~5Mm from Incirlik to Russia (across the Black). Edit 1: s/Baltic/Black/g

What's a Mm? Edit: Apparently it's 5000km, Mm seems a bizarre choice of unit given mm exists as something else entirely and km is far more common.

Mega is a standard SI-prefix. It is denoted with a capital 'M' as opposed to Milli which is denoted with a 'm' prefix.

I'm just following the standard :|

Re: The H-Bombs in Turkey

#60
post #28

While Turkey has conflicts with some groups who want to grab part of the land or overthrow the government, they are FWIW a useful ally in the region because they have mostly-friendly dealings with UAE, Saudis, Iran, parts of Africa and also Israel. The degree of diplomacy varies, but there aren't many NATO members in that region who are as compatible when it comes to diplomatic ties with the region's powers. Russia,…

That's the complicated viewpoint.

The simple viewpoint is that it is completely nuts.

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