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Gemini 3 Deep Think

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Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#491

Earlier quoted context omitted.

François Chollet, creator of ARC-AGI, has consistently said that solving the benchmark does not mean we have AGI. It has always been meant as a stepping stone to encourage progress in the correct direction rather than as an indicator of reaching the destination. That's why he is working on ARC-AGI-3 (to be released in a few weeks) and ARC-AGI-4. His definition of reaching AGI, as I understand it, is when it becomes i…

> His definition of reaching AGI, as I understand it, is when it becomes impossible to construct the next version of ARC-AGI because we can no longer find tasks that are feasible for normal humans but unsolved by AI. That is the best definition I've yet to read. If something claims to be conscious and we can't prove it's not, we have no choice but to believe it. Thats said, I'm reminded of the impossible voting tests…

This comment claims that this comment itself is conscious. Just like we can't prove or disprove for humans, we can't do that for this comment either.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#492

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Worth keeping in mind that in this case the test takers were random members of the general public. The score of e.g. people with bachelor's degrees in science and engineering would be significantly higher.

Random members of the public = average human beings. I thought those were already classified as General Intelligences.

Average human beings with average human problems.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#493
post #378

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Everyone is already at 80% for that one. Crazy that we were just at 50% with GPT-4o not that long ago.

But 80% sounds far from good enough, that's 20% error rate, unusable in autonomous tasks. Why stop at 80%? If we aim for AGI, it should 100% any benchmark we give.

I'm not sure the benchmark is high enough quality that >80% of problems are well-specified & have correct labels tbh. (But I guess this question has been studied for these benchmarks)

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#494

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I unironically believe that arc-agi-3 will have a introduction to solved time of 1 month

Not very likely? ARC-AGI-3 has a nasty combo of spatial reasoning + explore/exploit. It's basically adversarial vs current AIs.

We will see at the end of April right? It's more of a guess than a strongly held conviction--but I see models improving rapidly at long horizon tasks so I think it's possible. I think a benchmark which can survive a few months (maybe) would be if it genuinely tested long time-frame continual learning/test-time learning/test-time posttraining (idk honestly the differences b/t these).

But i'm not sure how to give such benchmarks. I'm thinking of tasks like learning a language/becoming a master at chess from scratch/becoming a skill artists but where the task is novel enough for the actor to not be anywhere close to proficient at beginning--an example which could be of interest is, here is a robot you control, you can make actions, see results...become proficient at table tennis. Maybe another would be, here is a new video game, obtain the best possible 0% speedrun.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#495

Arc-AGI-2: 84.6% (vs 68.8% for Opus 4.6) Wow. https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/ge...

Am I the only one that can’t find Gemini useful except if you want something cheap? I don’t get what was the whole code red about or all that PR. To me I see no reason to use Gemini instead of of GPT and Anthropic combo. I should add that I’ve tried it as chat bot, coding through copilot and also as part of a multi model prompt generation.

Gemini was always the worst by a big margin. I see some people saying it is smarter but it doesn’t seem smart at all.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#496
I just tested it on a very difficult Raven matrix, that the old version of DeepThink, as well as GPT 5.2 Pro, Claude Opus 4.6, and pretty much every other model failed at.

This version of DeepSeek got it first try. Thinking time was 2 or 3 minutes.

The visual reasoning of this class of Gemini models is incredibly impressive.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#497

Arc-AGI-2: 84.6% (vs 68.8% for Opus 4.6) Wow. https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/ge...

Am I the only one that can’t find Gemini useful except if you want something cheap? I don’t get what was the whole code red about or all that PR. To me I see no reason to use Gemini instead of of GPT and Anthropic combo. I should add that I’ve tried it as chat bot, coding through copilot and also as part of a multi model prompt generation. Gemini was always the worst by a big margin. I see some people saying it is sm…

I find the quality is not consistent at all and of all the LLMs I use Gemini is the one most likely to just verge off and ignore my instructions.

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#498

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree with you and have similar thoughts (maybe, unfortunately for me). I personally know people who outsource not just their work, but also their life to LLMs, and reading their exciting comments makes me feel a mix of cringe, fomo and dread. But what is the engame for me and you likes, when we finally would be evicted from our own craft? Stash money while we still can, watching 'world crash and burn', and then go…

Yeah, that's a good question that I can't stop thinking about. I don't really enjoy much else other than building software, its genuinely my favorite thing to do. Maybe there will be a world where we aren't completely replaced, we have handmade clothes still after all that are highly coveted. I just worry its going to uproot more than just software engineering, theoretically it shouldn't be hard to replace all low ha…

If you want to know where it's headed, look at factory workers 40 years ago. Lots of people still work at factories today, they just aren't in the same places they were 40 years ago and now req an entirely different skill set.

The largest ongoing expense of every company is labor and software devs are some of the highest paid labor on the planet. AI will eventually drive down wages for this class of workers most likely by shipping these jobs to people in other countries where labor is much cheaper. Just like factory work did.

Enjoy the good times while they last (or get a job at an AI company).

Re: Gemini 3 Deep Think

#500

Is it me or is the rate of model release is accelerating to an absurd degree? Today we have Gemini 3 Deep Think and GPT 5.3 Codex Spark. Yesterday we had GLM5 and MiniMax M2.5. Five days before that we had Opus 4.6 and GPT 5.3. Then maybe two weeks I think before that we had Kimi K2.5.

They are spending literal trillions. It may even accelerate
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