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What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

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Re: What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

#491
post #163

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's hard to be sure, but he is now surrounded by (ex?) multibillionnaires who have all of a sudden lost much of the ability to enjoy their airplanes, yachts, houses etc, ONLY because of voices in Putin's head telling him about his historic mission (or whatever those voices are telling him). I think his life expectancy has gone down as of about a week ago.

>It's hard to be sure, but he is now surrounded by (ex?) multibillionnaires who have all of a sudden lost much of the ability to enjoy their airplanes, yachts, houses etc, ONLY because of voices in Putin's head telling him about his historic mission (or whatever those voices are telling him). On paper they are still billionaires because the stock exchange was shutdown. I really don't know how much power they have exa…

It’s the siloviki who might do something if they have a rival group that could take over the administration

Re: What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

#492
post #409

Earlier quoted context omitted.

there is recruitment to regional defense everywhere right now.

This might be why they are starting to bomb everywhere now.

now. residential area in kharkiv https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FM33LeNXwAsuKHy?format=jpg&name=...

Re: What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

#493
post #274

Earlier quoted context omitted.

maybe they were avoiding in few first days, but gloves are off now because they are failing to advance. planes are bombing cities in residential areas (i have relatives in kharkiv). heavy artillery, etc. there is footage that looks like footage from WWII, of residential neighborhoods of apartment complexes in rubble and half collapsed buildings on fire.

This is destroying Putin's legitimacy in Russia too

nothing of it reported. use google translate to browse ria ru

Re: What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

#494

They are afraid of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buk_missile_system a very good technology that the Soviet Union developed which punches above its weight in situations like the Ukraine war because the mobile radars are hard to suppress with these methods https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suppression_of_Enemy_Air_Defen... I have seen a huge number of Buks in various conditions in video footage from the war, one of them wa…

Buk isn't a "cheap and cheerful" alternative to S-300. Soviet air defense doctrine was a multilayered approach featuring systems at almost every organizational level from infantry squad up to theater. Buk and S-300 serve at different organizational levels. Both are competent systems and ironically are probably more effective against Soviet derived air forces than western ones. Starting in WW2 and moving forward each…

It's wild how many anti-air systems they have deployed, for an almost non-existent enemy air force. At this point they must be effectively supplying the enemy their SAM systems. Very expensive, too - saw a $15M system ditched in a field because the shitty KAMAZ truck carrying it broke its axle.

Re: What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

#495
post #421

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Russias military budget is only slightly higher than that of the UK (61.7 billion vs 59.2 billion), even though Russia has a bit more than twice the UK population. France and Germany aren't far behind - 52.8 billion and 52.7 billion respectively. I believe Germany recently pledged to raise it's military spending to 100 billion (a lot of flashy headlines but couldn't find details), so soon it will far outspend Russia.

>I believe Germany recently pledged to raise it's military spending to 100 billion (a lot of flashy headlines but couldn't find details), so soon it will far outspend Russia. Not to 100 billion, by 100 billion. Euros that is. https://www-tagesschau-de.translate.goog/inland/innenpolitik...

They want to do a one time invest of 100bn and raise permanently to 2% of GDP.

Re: What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

#496
post #467

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Russia doesn't have a big track military track record in recent years, but there's one thing that they have proven to do really well: leveling a city to the ground while slaughtering the civilians who didn't flee. Having the Ukrainian legitimate government agree to surrender to save Kiev (or “just” Khariv) from such a fate isn't completely impossible to imagine. And giving infantry weapons isn't going to be enough to…

That thing is only really useful against static, or near static high value targets. Against insurgents dispersed across the countryside with Javelins the weapon itself is effectively useless while the aircraft delivering it is still vulnerable.

I think the implication is it might be used against civilian population in a city.

Re: What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

#497
post #467

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Russia doesn't have a big track military track record in recent years, but there's one thing that they have proven to do really well: leveling a city to the ground while slaughtering the civilians who didn't flee. Having the Ukrainian legitimate government agree to surrender to save Kiev (or “just” Khariv) from such a fate isn't completely impossible to imagine. And giving infantry weapons isn't going to be enough to…

That thing is only really useful against static, or near static high value targets. Against insurgents dispersed across the countryside with Javelins the weapon itself is effectively useless while the aircraft delivering it is still vulnerable.

> That thing is only really useful against static, or near static high value targets.

Exactly, like the the capital of your country for instance. Noting that I'm not talking about defeating an insurgency with it, just overthrow the legitimate government and put a pro-russian dictatorship in charge. Exterminating the insurgents would then be the job of the local dictator. Obviously it's not guaranteed, but torture, kidnapping, and assassination have proven an effective mean of counter-insurgency… In real life the bad guy sometimes win…

Re: What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

#498

I think part of why Russia looks so inept is because everyone is comparing against the US. However, the US military has the finest logistic operations in the world. Also, there is no substitute for fighting an actual enemy. Part of the reason the US (especial Air Force and Naval Aviation) is so good is that they have actually been fighting. From Libya(Reagan), Gulf War I, Serbia, Gulf War II, Afghanistan, Libya (Obam…

Russia fought a lot too, Georgia, Chechnya, Syria, Crimea

Re: What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

#499
post #116

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm guessing all the engineers you know are web software pukes. There are loads of people who could build these today.

Oh, I'm pretty sure the stuff we "web software pukes" have to work with would drive all those old-timer Real Engineers crazy in its own way. It's a bit like how a middle school teacher doesn't necessarily have an easier job than a prestigious professor.

Preface: I used to work in embedded control systems, now I shovel ads for a living.

nah fam, we've got it so much easier. You should kick up your feet and enjoy it, or you'll drive yourself crazy.

Re: What happened to Russias Air Force? U.S. officials, experts stumped

#500

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> convivial weapon I had a quick chuckle at that. It reminds me of an old joke: a bullet has your name on it, a hand grenade is addressed "to whom it may concern", and a mortar shell is posted general delivery.

What does that make nuclear warfare, a comprehensive spam campaign?

Sputnik: A brief alarm heard around the world, followed by an infinitude of silence.
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