Live data from Hacker News

Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

wired.com

481–490 of 766 posts

Re: Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

#481
post #474

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If California is serious about this, they need to reign in the utilities to reduce prices and or stop the attacks on solar installation. Why do you think electricity prices are high?

A combination of: mismanagement and corruption. To pay for all the people that PGE murdered with their negligence? Why do you think electricity prices are high? Why should the rates be 4x the rest of the country?

Because of regulations and higher costs (labor)

Re: Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

#482

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I had my heat pump installed in Dec. The contractor really screwed up where they wired the zoning incorrectly - the upper floor thermo controlled the lower damper and vice versa, meaning that the pump would run almost indefinitely because the thermostat would never register the temp of the opposing floor. It took me a full week to troubleshoot this (what helped was I bought a thermometer and placed it next to the the…

> the upper floor thermo controlled the lower damper and vice versa I have 2 floors with multiple units and I was running around with a wall thermometer taking measurements. This was actually my guess as well since the temperatures seemed to align this way. But the installer assured me it was wired correctly .... I might need to find someone else to check things.

My system is a Trane with a 1050xl thermostat and a companion thermostat. If you have one of those (or a related thermostat model), you can get into the service menu by going to "service" and holding down the tech access button for a period of time. There should be a damper check option in the menu which will allow you to trigger specific dampers and there are some other buttons that show you which dampers are hooked to what thermostat.

Re: Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

#483
post #387

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Its a wash when gas prices are at historical lows: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/hist/rngwhhdm.htm

That isn't the table you actually care about because it doesn't hit the residential customer like that. The nominal $/therm in my area has been stable for the last 10 years which might be artificial but to my bank account it's all the same.

Obviously depends where you are & your use, but most of the gas bills here are everything but the actual gas. Transportation, distribution, storage, taxes, standby charges...

Re: Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

#484
post #476

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Income-based base billing is indeed terrible, but it is not an attack on solar. You'd pay it whether you have panels or not. Also, legislators have apparently come to their senses and are looking to repeal it. [1-2] As for the pricing for power sent to the grid, I did mention the changes to net metering, which offer grandfathering for existing installations. 1: https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-progressive-california-ep…

The high fixed monthly cost regardless of utilization means that compared to previous, my total costs for solar go up, even if my total costs for PGE supplied power don't. That will cause many fewer people to switch to solar or solar + battery.

It doesn't change the calculus for switching. It's the same fixed cost either way. The price is simply going up for customers who are not poor. I don't see how this makes someone more or less likely to switch to solar, since the dollar amount they can save stays the same.

An analogy: your kid's preschool has an option where you can volunteer once a month and save $50/month. One day, they announce that they are going to institute a new fee that ranges from $10-100, depending on your income.

How does that new fee cause fewer people to decide to volunteer?

Re: Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

#485
post #468

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Perhaps you know already, but a lot of the price is often the installation labor, not the device itself. Just as a data point, $20K is right in the ballpark for estimates you'll get for professional installation of a modern ≈3-ton forced-air 17SEER heatpump + air handler in the Seattle area.

Even in the expensive Bay Area, I got a quote of only $10k to install a heat pump. It was basically the same price to install a new gas furnace + AC for summer.

But what kind? For instance, a mini-split in an apartment is quite different from the 3-ton forced-air system I described.

People use the term "heat pump" to sometimes describe quite different things, so it's hard to know what's apples-to-apples.

Re: Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

#486
post #477

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Like, a new power pole costs (say) $1000 regardless of how many watts are going through the wires attached to it. Someone has to pay the person that cut down the tree and hauled it to its final location money. That pole is carrying the power for, say, 100 people. Half of them use a below-average amount of electricity. If you stick them with a $100/month fixed fee, they don't need a large solar/battery system to get…

There's a pole in my backyard. It generously connects 8 houses. There is another pole a few hundred feet down the road, also connecting 8 houses.

There is also a pole closer to the substation which is carrying the power for 5000 people.

Meanwhile if four of the eight people near your house decide to disconnect from the grid because the fixed fee is too high, you still have to cover the cost of that pole with half as many people, some of whom might then decide that the higher fixed fee is too much and disconnect too, etc.

Re: Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

#487

I have NEM2 solar, so obviously a heat pump is a big win. But I'm convinced the heat pump I installed a couple years ago would save money even without the solar: I pay $0.30-$0.40/KWh for electricity, and $0.08/KWh for natural gas ($2.35/therm) *. My heat pump has a COP of 3.62 when the outdoor temperature is 47F: it uses 1KWh of electricity to move 3.62KWh of heat into my home. The old gas furnace was 80% efficient…

Is your $0.30-0.40/kwh rate based on your Solar cost? The non-solar rates[1] in Bay Area right now range starting from $0.42/kwh on tiered plan which you will blow through if you elect heat-pump heating and going all the way to higher than 50 cents per KWh if you are on one of the Time of US plan. [1] https://www.pge.com/assets/pge/docs/account/rate-plans/resid... As much as i love the efficiencies offered by heat pu…

> Is your $0.30-0.40/kwh rate based on your Solar cost?

It's just out of date from the math I did two years ago, I should have mentioned that.

> heat pumps are too expensive to operate with CA electrical rates.

It depends on your furnace. Typically it's going to be 80AFUE. $2.54/therm is $0.087/KWh-gas. If you pay $0.42/KWh-electricty, a heat pump with a COP >= 3.7 saves you money. Heat pumps with COPs above that at bay area temperatures are widely available.

If you have a 96AFUE furnace, the necessary COP is 4.6. That's a lot harder to find: I'm no expert on the heat pump market, but it seems like the standard units are mostly 3.5-4.0. I can find mini splits up to 4.5 (like [1]), but they're more expensive.

[1] https://www.homedepot.com/p/GREE-Sapphire-9000-BTU-0-75-Ton-...

Re: Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

#488
post #254
post #174

One of the big problems with heat pumps in New England is that our electricity costs 1.7x the US average ( https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.ph... ). If you're in the South, a heat pump makes perfect sense. You're going to want AC anyway and it'll be way more efficient and save a ton of money when you want heat. In most of the country, even if it gets cold your electricity prices are still a t…

Yeah, I made this mistake this year. I pumped $20k into a heat pump system, coming from what used to be Natural Gas. I wasn't given any kind of relief because I live in Oregon where most relief is income based. Then at the beginning of the year PGE announced a 20% rate hike. My house is covered in trees, so solar isn't really an option. I really regretted my decision once I got a $300-$400 bill for heating three mont…

For those installation comparing costs, the subreddit has a Heat Pump Quote Comparison Survey:

https://www.reddit.com/r/heatpumps/comments/raocha/heat_pump...

Re: Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

#489
post #174

One of the big problems with heat pumps in New England is that our electricity costs 1.7x the US average ( https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.ph... ). If you're in the South, a heat pump makes perfect sense. You're going to want AC anyway and it'll be way more efficient and save a ton of money when you want heat. In most of the country, even if it gets cold your electricity prices are still a t…

We tried one in the south and it was a pretty horrible experience, because of our high humidity in the cold.

The outside unit constantly froze up, which even ideally requires a defrost cycle (wasting energy pumping heat back outside), or worse, uses heating element outside just to make operable.

While those cycles run, heat couldn't. Except that even emergency heat (heating element inside) would disable the outside defrost, supposedly to meet EPA set energy budget, not technology limits.

That's not the kind of BS you want to put up with on frozen nights, whether from a technology or policy standpoint.

Re: Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps

#490
post #311

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In MA this actually does work at first glance: a 23% efficient Generac 7171 is rated for 9kW at full output on natural gas, and uses 127 ft3/hr (1.37 therms). This is $0.30/kWh at $2/therm, compared to the $0.323/kWh I pay the power company. If you were doing this for real you'd put in the work to find something more efficient than this unit, which would then be enough to make up for the cost of the generator and the…

Why isn't it legal? Is that an MA thing? If you plumb the radiator to your home you get >100% efficiency

I had found some things saying you were limited in how many hours per year you could run standby generators outside of emergencies [1] but possibly this only applies to larger systems? [2]

[1] https://www.ehs.harvard.edu/sites/default/files/emergency_ge...

[2] https://www.mass.gov/doc/310-cmr-700-air-pollution-control-r...

Post reply on HN