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US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

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Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#471
post #206
post #162

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I can't think of a single way in which the United States came out ahead in the war. I wouldn't jump to conclusions yet. The war is not over. I wouldn't even be so sure as to say Iran is in a good place right now. Iran can absorb more pain than the US, but even that has a deadline. For the US, the only pain is inflation, which is more a matter of political capital than anything tangible. Trump is a lame duck preside…

“ For the US, the only pain is inflation” That is not correct and the comment you replied to even pointed out several ways it hurt the US other than that Inflation is the only Immediate pain. The other harms will play out over years. While war games already predicted we’d run out of basically all defensive and offensive weapons almost immediately in a confrontation with China, that wasn’t demonstrated yet. Now it has…

[deleted]

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#473
post #305

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I don't believe you. Do you have proof? Iran is pretty damn closed off from the rest of the world so I have a hard time believing that you have some great insider knowledge about this. They are not entirely closed off. Apparently there is a communication going on around closures, because I have seen fairly inside Iran info in French media (about executions, about people leaving Teheran etc etc). They are more guard…

Why did the Islamic government import militias from Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan and put them on the streets if they already have organic support that wants to fight for Iran? That makes no sense, especially when the Islamic government is running short on funds, hiring foreign enforcers that they don't need would be a waste of limited funds.

Ukraine import mercenaries from all over the world. So, you mean that they have no organic support for fighting?

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#474
post #226

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> For the US, the only pain is inflation That and its trust and geopolitical influence even among allies being quickly eroded to the benefit of countries like China. Inflation and ammo stockpiles are easier to fix.

> That and its trust and geopolitical influence even among allies Yeah but all of that is orthogonal to the war itself. It's not like Trump needed to threaten to invade Greenland to go to war with Iran.

Orthogonal? Every ally saw the US jumping into a war at a single country's calling, and only for their benefit, failing to protect its Gulf allies, and causing hardships for everyone in the world hanging on those oil prices. I have no idea how you could interpret this as unrelated to the war.

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#475
post #403

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Using less of any resource because it’s been blocked doesn’t mean the demand is destroyed. The demand can remain perfectly the same or even go up. My point was that the OP was myopically focusing on fossil fuel do demand when the real demand that would lead to switching to renewables is the demand for energy.

I suggest revisiting the definition [0]. IMHO, your understanding is at odds and I suspect you're intending to say people will replace with energy from elsewhere (which still qualifies as demand destruction). [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand_destruction

Alright I guess this is a preexisting term but it seems as poorly named as the academic definition of racism when it comes to using existing English words in highly specific contexts.

Recursing back up to the original level then I’d say who cares if demand for oil specifically goes down? We still get energy from renewables and there will still be an oil industry working at a reduced capacity for the products that are oil derived like fertilizers.

Honestly I’d be more worried about niche resources that are a minor side effect of fossil fuel extraction like helium that might skyrocket in price if the extraction was being done only to acquire.

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#476
post #475

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I suggest revisiting the definition [0]. IMHO, your understanding is at odds and I suspect you're intending to say people will replace with energy from elsewhere (which still qualifies as demand destruction). [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand_destruction

Alright I guess this is a preexisting term but it seems as poorly named as the academic definition of racism when it comes to using existing English words in highly specific contexts. Recursing back up to the original level then I’d say who cares if demand for oil specifically goes down? We still get energy from renewables and there will still be an oil industry working at a reduced capacity for the products that are…

[deleted]

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#477
post #475

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I suggest revisiting the definition [0]. IMHO, your understanding is at odds and I suspect you're intending to say people will replace with energy from elsewhere (which still qualifies as demand destruction). [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand_destruction

Alright I guess this is a preexisting term but it seems as poorly named as the academic definition of racism when it comes to using existing English words in highly specific contexts. Recursing back up to the original level then I’d say who cares if demand for oil specifically goes down? We still get energy from renewables and there will still be an oil industry working at a reduced capacity for the products that are…

> I’d say who cares if demand for oil specifically goes down?

"How" it happens is the nuance.

The point above was that people would get priced out (not by choice), lowering (read: destroying) demand. They experience lower quality of life, can't afford fertilizer for crops, lack capital to build reliable renewables, lose jobs, etc.

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#478

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How does an Iranian nuke curb Israeli aggression or change Israel's behaviour in Gaza? The vast majority of Israel's 'aggression' is against armed groups in neighbouring countries that Iran funds. If a country has a peace treaty with Israel and the monopoly on violence in their territory, they experience no Israeli aggression. Iran can't credibly threaten to nuke Israel over a threat that isn't existential to Iran. A…

Israel has been committing war crime after war crime as far back since it started: https://www.reddit.com/r/israelexposed/

What's your point? Iran can't credibly threaten to nuke Israel over war crimes.

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#479
post #466

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the principle was free trade Trade was free in the gulf, pre-war. > and some mixture of "we dont negotiate with terrorists" Negotiate for what? Iran was making no demands. Pithy or not, you seem to be just being obtuse. You're taking as a prior that there was a threat, something for which you (and the administration) have absolutely no evidence. And to repeat, in a PRACTICAL sense, even nodding to your incorrectly…

You're ignoring Iran's negative effects on the world, and their increasing harassing of shipping, and their support of Russian wars and terrorist actions throughout the middle east (at least). Those are worth opposing, and fall under the "peaceful" part of the statement. The effect is to (at least temporarily) cause a war, which has diminished trade. If trade was the only thing anyone cared about, we'd acquiesce to a…

> You're ignoring Iran's negative effects on the world, and their increasing harassing of shipping, and their support of Russian wars and terrorist actions throughout the middle east (at least).

Literally none of which have been addressed by this ridiculous adventure! In fact that "harassing of shipping" has been amplified immensely, with no apparent recourse on our part except to just surrender and bribe them to open Hormuz again.

Again, EVEN ADMITTING YOUR "PRINCIPLE" ARGUMENT IN GOOD FAITH, a correct (!) implementation of that principle would have been not to start slinging bombs around without an exit strategy.

Your point amounts to "This would have been a good war if we had won it." But we lost it. So it wasn't.

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#480
post #479

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're ignoring Iran's negative effects on the world, and their increasing harassing of shipping, and their support of Russian wars and terrorist actions throughout the middle east (at least). Those are worth opposing, and fall under the "peaceful" part of the statement. The effect is to (at least temporarily) cause a war, which has diminished trade. If trade was the only thing anyone cared about, we'd acquiesce to a…

> You're ignoring Iran's negative effects on the world, and their increasing harassing of shipping, and their support of Russian wars and terrorist actions throughout the middle east (at least). Literally none of which have been addressed by this ridiculous adventure! In fact that "harassing of shipping" has been amplified immensely, with no apparent recourse on our part except to just surrender and bribe them to ope…

> Why did you punch the bully

> He was being a bully

> But he's still alive!!

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