Earlier quoted context omitted.
"Suddenly" in this case does not mean tomorrow. It means that, today, a lot of enterprises begin pondering the question, and then about a year from now, they start seriously studying and prototyping it, and then "suddenly" in 2029 Microsoft starts seeing a deluge of defections. It means a whole bunch of peopling finishing the conversion all at once, relatively speaking, even if that "all at once" is 3-4 years away. T…
> 20 years is way too large a minimum estimate. i disagree. unless intuit is also rewriting quickbooks, dassault systèmes is rewriting solidworks, every bank is rewriting their custom windows-only software, every government branch is rewriting their custom windows-only software, etc. and every company is willing to retrain 95% of their employees on a new operating system, have increased support requirements for a few…
Autodesk Fusion runs in browser, and even SolidWorks has an online version. You were saying?...
> every bank is rewriting their custom windows-only software
This has been happening for a while, actually. Typically they rewrite software as webapps, with a microservice-based backend.
> not even touching the capital required for such a transition that in many cases has questionable benefits (from a business perspective).
Software gets rewritten all the time, often in the "Ship of Theseus" way. The next rewrite will just focus on moving stuff away from MS.