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Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

unusualwhales.com

471–480 of 493 posts

Re: Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

#471
post #456

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Most people don't This is the crux of the issue. If you have $100 million and you can't think of a single worthwhile use for any of it besides making more money, that's either a literally unbelievable lack of imagination, or incredibly cruel. It is so, so easy to do a huge amount of good with that much money. It's not easy to figure out how to do the most amount of good possible, that's probably an unsolvable probl…

I'm all for people donating money, but they don't have to. It's theirs and they get to do what they want with it, without the burkamans of the world guilt tripping them. If they want to invest their savings until such a time as they have something better to do with it, more power to them. After all, you wouldn't want me telling you how to spend your money.

I think a reasonable amount of guilt tripping is healthy for a society. Obviously hoarding money shouldn't be illegal, but it should feel like anti-social behavior that most people disapprove of. It's like signing up to be an organ donor, or getting vaccinated, or being friendly to your neighbors. You shouldn't be forced into anything, but you should be socially pressured to make the choice that benefits your community.

Re: Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

#472
post #427
post #217

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I fully agree, and I'd like to extend it to their families as well. But... you ask "why not" and the simple reason is that only they could enact such a law. And even when the laws are in place -- Trump ran roughshod over the foreign emoluments clause, and there were zero consequences. Why would the richest and most powerful Democrats set such a precedent, only to have it turned around when they're in power and stand…

Are you advocating that if a relative of mine runs for office and is elected (whether I supported their candidacy or not), I should be prohibited from owning stock?

I'm mostly thinking of spouses, parents and children, and I think that a blind trust should probably suffice (you could own stock, just not have direct control over it).

Re: Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

#473

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s not insider information. You might consider it material non-public information, which you can’t trade on in Europe, but in the US insider trading has a much more narrow definition: roughly it has to come from the insiders of the company. If your friend at Microsoft tells you that they won some massive contract, you can’t trade on it. If you overhear that news in a café, you can. If your friend at the government…

Honest question: If I work at Microsoft and I know we'll launch a product that will kill competitor X, am I allowed to short the X stock? That more analogous to the politician trading. They do have inside information, but it's not from inside the company they're trading.

No, because that would be considered "stealing" from Microsoft. (I think it's a stupid way to define it.)

Re: Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

#474
post #427
post #217

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I fully agree, and I'd like to extend it to their families as well. But... you ask "why not" and the simple reason is that only they could enact such a law. And even when the laws are in place -- Trump ran roughshod over the foreign emoluments clause, and there were zero consequences. Why would the richest and most powerful Democrats set such a precedent, only to have it turned around when they're in power and stand…

Are you advocating that if a relative of mine runs for office and is elected (whether I supported their candidacy or not), I should be prohibited from owning stock?

The rule sounds fair for direct family members (wife, husband, children under 18, etc.).

Re: Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

#475

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Whatever the behind-the-scenes truth, I think the appearance of conflicting interests is a problem regardless. For a lot of elected offices and high public service positions, I think their wealth should be put into a blind trust, one constrained by law to buy broad, boring things like index funds. That would surely be a problem for some individuals. But I don't think it's a systemic problem. We only need to find 0.00…

Would it really help? You can't restrict their complete social circles as well. All it takes is 1 willing friend who will happily accept your stock tips ahead of large announcements and who's willing to give you a share of the profits in return.

In practice, I agree we need more. In particular, I think requiring that their finances be completely transparent the rest of their lives would be a huge step forward.

Re: Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

#476
post #9

The very people whose job it should be to stop this sort of thing are the ones who are profiting from it. How do you change this? No really, how can we force congress to change the rules so that elected officials can't profit from inside information? Why would they ever vote for such a bill?

Someone should turn it into comedy, make a parody of it.

Re: Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

#477
post #15

> For example, Pelosi in Dec 22 was against more stimulus. Her husband buys deep ITM TSLA and AAPL calls that day. December 23rd, she is suddenly for stimulus again, with those same companies ralling 5%, giving her an instant +30 return. > Congressman Gottheimer is absolutely an incredible options trader. He’s been selling calls at peaks on $MSFT all 2021, & seemingly buying back the contracts on dips. This in blocks…

Whatever the behind-the-scenes truth, I think the appearance of conflicting interests is a problem regardless. For a lot of elected offices and high public service positions, I think their wealth should be put into a blind trust, one constrained by law to buy broad, boring things like index funds. That would surely be a problem for some individuals. But I don't think it's a systemic problem. We only need to find 0.00…

Politicians should take a vow of poverty, agreeing to never spend more in a year than the average American. Great way to weed out all of the sharks and keep only the people who actually care and want to lead the country in the right direction, whatever that takes.

Re: Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

#478

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Could you at least pick one so we can talk specifics?

No, because you already have made up your mind that big government is good and will associate any market friendly economy with big government automatically in your head instead of looking at it on a global/historical scale. So there's no real reason to waste my time.

You make broad pronouncements and avoid talking about specifics because your argument is incorrect and indefensible. You say a statement is true of most western countries but can't name one in which you would be willing to dig deeper. You use glib pronouncements to hide the fact that your words lack substance. It's not your time that is being wasted.

Re: Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

#479

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You cannot. As long as there are rigged markets and cadres of elites, we can truly do nothing. Sad, really. Not helping the matter is half of the US is below average intelligence and will elect crooks because they say the right things. If only there were more Ron Wydens and AOCs. But you see red states electing nutjobs who barely have high school degrees (Boeber) because they shout the loudest.

AOC won’t be immune to the same pressure that eventually corrupts longtime politicians. She’s just barely begun her second term. I’m certain she’s already begun to make perfectly legal deals and investments that are going to look shady to average people. Also, one person’s “shouting nutjob with barely a highschool degree” is someone else’s “passionate populist who represents the common people.”

Nice false equivalency!

But you're right: flat earth society is real, so I guess they could elect a nutjob.

After 4 years of Trump, your "both sides are the same" bullshit is DOA.

Re: Unusual Stock Trading by Whales in US Congress

#480
post #15

> For example, Pelosi in Dec 22 was against more stimulus. Her husband buys deep ITM TSLA and AAPL calls that day. December 23rd, she is suddenly for stimulus again, with those same companies ralling 5%, giving her an instant +30 return. > Congressman Gottheimer is absolutely an incredible options trader. He’s been selling calls at peaks on $MSFT all 2021, & seemingly buying back the contracts on dips. This in blocks…

To provide an additional example. Unelected ex-senator Kelly Loeffler's husband is chairman of the New York Stock Exchange. She made trades using non-public information. How is this sort of conflict of interest legal?

https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/31/raphael-wa...

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