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US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

reuters.com

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Re: US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

#461
post #445
post #406

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> This research creates deadly diseases that may not have existed otherwise. This seems like a supremely bad idea.

Not if your point is to understand what can go wrong when viruses mutate.

That certainly doesn't preclude research that's useful (and essential) to developing new pathogens; all of these things are by nature dual-use technologies.

Re: US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

#462

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The specific thing that they said they were trying to do was predict emerging pathogens and develop treatments and potentially vaccines for them in advance of them actually making a zoonotic jump. They were creating chimeric Coronaviruses to simulate natural recombination events, then infecting humanized mice with them to assess their potential for human emergence.

Right, playing with fire, by creating an environment that would hyper-evolve virus better than random natural species interactions.

SARS-CoV-2 is a really contagious virus, but as long as the biosecurity is perfect, there is no risk.

Re: US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

#463

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If they had just responded to the outbreak instead of trying to cover it up initially and been a little more open with the international community they would have been lauded for their handling of the situation Are we talking about China or the Trump administration?

I'm no fan of the Trump administration or their handling of COVID, but they didn't throw doctors in jail or censor their research. Entirely different level of screwup.

At the state level you had that dashboard whistleblower scientist jailed.

Re: US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

#464

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Suppose you find that hypothetical mutation. What next? What would you do to prevent the current situation?

Start working on a vaccine.

It took two days to create a vaccine for COVID-19. How much more lead time do we need?

Re: US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

#465

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Personally, I kind of like the idea that we could know in advance if a tiny mutation could turn a known disease into something that wipes us all out. Only inside level four labs, of course. But early warning (and this work on mitigation) seems important.

Maybe in BSL-5 labs? Must be in rural isolation, NOT a city. The administrators and janitors and everyone has to sleep inside the fence. Getting out requires spending 40 days in a quarantine hotel in a different nearby fenced area. Armed guards patrol the fence. (EDIT: To be clear. BSL-5 doesn't exist yet... but it should.)

You’re not going to get any good researchers to live in a quarantine bubble for their whole lives.

Re: US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

#466
post #53

First gen Chinese, grew up in NA. Have contact with relatives "on the ground". My own experience: Don't ever trust the Chinese government on issues that could potentially involve the reputation of the party. Note that I'm not saying don't trust what CCP says, ever (sometimes they actually do good things) - just not on issues that involve anything to do with how the world might perceive them. Which is exactly what thi…

There's a real possibility that a gain-of-function experiment created SARS-CoV-2: "Lipsitch’s activists (calling themselves the Cambridge Working Group) sent around a strong statement on the perils of research with “Potential Pandemic Pathogens,” signed by more than a hundred scientists. The work might “trigger outbreaks that would be difficult or impossible to control,” the signers said. Fauci reconsidered, and the…

Although I am there with you in spirit, a global ban is effectively meaningless.

It is unenforceable from the start. All the major world powers would continue their research (perhaps slightly less openly) simply from a MAD angle (it is irresponsible to ignore the value of a pathogen that no one else has seen and you have the antibiotics for).

We are living in dark times in terms of our technological capability and the aggressiveness of state actors.

I would argue that the only chance we have is to reign in the behaviours of our states. Crazy and seemingly impossible, but stopping science/tech is far beyond reach.

Re: US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

#467

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe in BSL-5 labs? Must be in rural isolation, NOT a city. The administrators and janitors and everyone has to sleep inside the fence. Getting out requires spending 40 days in a quarantine hotel in a different nearby fenced area. Armed guards patrol the fence. (EDIT: To be clear. BSL-5 doesn't exist yet... but it should.)

You’re not going to get any good researchers to live in a quarantine bubble for their whole lives.

Do the good researchers themselves need to be near the viruses? Debt they just need some people to handle the work?

Re: US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

#468
post #53

First gen Chinese, grew up in NA. Have contact with relatives "on the ground". My own experience: Don't ever trust the Chinese government on issues that could potentially involve the reputation of the party. Note that I'm not saying don't trust what CCP says, ever (sometimes they actually do good things) - just not on issues that involve anything to do with how the world might perceive them. Which is exactly what thi…

Is it just me or is there a deep irony here? I find it interesting that one of the oft maligned attributes of religious communities, especially those in authority in said communities, is this same behavior. Do good things and be open, but also very much protect the brand. As a naive westerner I've hear/learned/assumed that Chinese communism/society was areligious. When described as you (OP) put it, it seems that abst…

There is a reason why totalitarian societies try to substitute religion with stare propaganda and the personality cult. There's a reason why the CCP banned Falun Gong - it had more followers than the CCP.

Re: US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

#469

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It disingenuous and lazy to make broad statements of equivalence like this. There are very obvious differences in how the world’s governments operate.

> It disingenuous and lazy to make broad statements of equivalence like this. It's also disingenuous and lazy to ignore a century or more of empirical evidence. > There are very obvious differences in how the world’s governments operate. Are there? https://www.amazon.com/All-Governments-Lie-Times-Journalist/...

I’m not here to give a history lesson, as there are many better sources. What I will do is call out fallacies when I see them.

Re: US raises ‘deep concerns’ over WHO report on Covid’s Wuhan origins

#470

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's a real possibility that a gain-of-function experiment created SARS-CoV-2: "Lipsitch’s activists (calling themselves the Cambridge Working Group) sent around a strong statement on the perils of research with “Potential Pandemic Pathogens,” signed by more than a hundred scientists. The work might “trigger outbreaks that would be difficult or impossible to control,” the signers said. Fauci reconsidered, and the…

It could be. But that I find extremely unlikely A failed experiment? Maybe a bit more likely, but still I don't think so Sars-Cov-2 looks like pretty much what it is: a zoonotic virus that "doesn't know what's going on" Hence why only the recent mutations made its transmission more efficient. Now, if it escaped unbeknownst from a research lab, that I would put on the plausible category. Would be more possible if it w…

How about this possibility: (1) You've got this lab that uses a lot of animals and does experiments. (2) There is a 'wet' market nearby that deals in animals from A to Z. (3) Maybe some animal from the lab carrying a zoonotic virus (origin unknown) somehow got disposed of for cash in the market? How could WHO or anyone uncover such an occurrence a year or more later? Would it be possible that such a thing had happened and no one ever had had any idea that it had happened?
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