Earlier quoted context omitted.
That is ridiculous and impossible. Don't kid yourself thinking that it will go away. It's not going to happen.
Other countries have achieved it. Why can’t the US do it?
The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
461–470 of 893 posts
Re: The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
#462Earlier quoted context omitted.
You could argue it the other way from the same data. Given that public health officials jumped on it early and got us such a low death rate, maybe we should keep trusting their judgment and let them decide when it's safe to reopen.
Unless the data shows that states/countries which did not lock down have almost the same cumulative health outcomes, minus the voluntary economic destruction.
Re: The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
#463Earlier quoted context omitted.
The hive mind is terrifying in general. It's bad here, too. There are mindless zombies arguing for endless quarantine and nothing else will do. There are mindless zombies arguing that lockdown must end immediately or their freedoms will be irrevocably harmed. What happened to reason? What happened to recognizing that this lockdown is awful, but useful, and we need to make an intelligent decision about when it ends? T…
They key thing to remember is that the bulk of the voices contributing to comment sections on the Internet are those of people who spend a lot of time time posting comments on the Internet. (Yes, I know what that implies about mine, too.)
Re: The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
#464Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yes, they're temporary. The concern is that if the shut down ends soon (seems unlikely but who knows) then it will delay an economic recovery until the temporary benefits expire. For a faster economic recovery we would want as many people getting back to work as possible. If you make more money not working, the rational choice is to wait for the temporary benefits to expire and then go back to work.
Again, unemployment requires you to actively search for work and accept offered employment or you lose benefits. Higher benefits don't create an incentive to voluntarily stay out of work since you can't have them if you do that.
Re: The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
#465Earlier quoted context omitted.
As usual, American leaders are choosing OPTION 3 which is the worst option: OPTION 1. (SWEDEN) Control spread just enough to not overwhelm the health care system, but no more than that, in order to get to herd immunity as quickly as possible. This assumes that the area-under-the-curve will be very similar to any option that spreads the time-frame out. This level of lockdown is possible to implement for long periods o…
We already missed the boat on options 1 and 2 due to various governmental incompetencies. Did you not notice that a full third of all cases globally have been in America?
Total deaths IMHO is much more comparable statistic between countries. By that metric it looks a little better for the US, since we have slightly less than a third of the world death total.
Re: The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
#466I'm surprised we're not seeing plans for some businesses to reopen with restrictions. I think it will be a while before we allow haircuts and manicures again, but I see no reason why we can't increase the types of businesses allowed open. Limiting occupancy, requiring PPE, and enforcing social distancing appear to be reasonable requirements. I hope the politicians and government workers are busy trying to find a midd…
Re: The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
#467Earlier quoted context omitted.
State and local governments have far greater abilities to issue orders like this than the federal government. What, exactly, is unconstitutional about a city issuing an order that revokes the ability of a business to operate due to a health emergency?
On the surface there's not much constitutional protection for engaging in business but there would be some serious schadenfreude if Wickard v. Filburn showed up to defend individuals from state prosecution for once. edit: To expand on this, for an individual's right to do something to be protected from the states that right must be protected under the 14th amendment. Over the years the court has found that the 1st, 2…
Could not agree more about this.
Re: The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
#468Earlier quoted context omitted.
But is anyone seriously advocating keeping a $600/week around after the quarantine? If we can get out the other side without millions of bankruptcies, foreclosures, and evictions, certainly that will contribute to a faster economic recovery. Sure, some white collar workers will be disincentivized from working... as long as the CARES act stays in effect. And you don't get unemployment if you quit, so no one will activ…
> But is anyone seriously advocating keeping a $600/week around after the quarantine? Yes. Or something close to it: https://www.businessinsider.com/americans-would-receive-2000... "The Emergency Money for the People Act, introduced by Reps. Tim Ryan and Ro Khanna, would give $2,000 a month to Americans over the age of 16 who make less than $130,000 a year." "The payments would continue for at least six months and wo…
Well, it was a horrible way for the US to get to experiment with a wide-scale UBI system and create a viable model. One that was previously thought to be unfathomable, but honestly I'll take it.
And maybe because of my age, but 2008 was way worse than this. This doesn't seem like it will create waves of lost generations, for startes no one is being evicted from their Homes (yet) and no eviction systems are in place in many parts of the US.
> The bill comes as the IRS is about to begin mailing out checks approved by the recent COVID-19 relief package. Those will come printed with President Donald Trump's name on them, it was revealed this week.
Lets see what we learn from this, I'm personally cautiously optimistic on a Human level if this is the step being proposed. I'm just having a hard time internalizing how this is all being done while a clown like Trump is in office... I mean if this Andrew Yang, of course, maybe even Sanders, but Trump?!
Re: The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
#469Earlier quoted context omitted.
Other countries have achieved it. Why can’t the US do it?
Which ones, other than SK the other good example (japan, china, singapore) all turned out to not be testing.
Re: The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
#470Earlier quoted context omitted.
> How is it moral to order people to shelter in place when their risk of death is 0.01% for 18-45 year olds The data from your second source indicates that the case fatality rate in New York for 18-45 yr olds is 0.833% (14 deaths in 1705 confirmed cases). Where are you getting 0.01% from?
the number of cases (infections) is at least an order of magnitude higher than the reported numbers.
0.1% of the population of New York City has already died from Covid. The only way to get the CFR much lower is if virtually everyone is an asymptomatic carrier.