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Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

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Re: Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

#451

From the Waymo blog... > the pedestrian suddenly entered the roadway from behind a tall SUV, moving directly into our vehicle's path. Our technology immediately detected the individual as soon as they began to emerge from behind the stopped vehicle. The Waymo Driver braked hard, reducing speed from approximately 17 mph to under 6 mph before contact was made. > Following contact, the pedestrian stood up immediately, w…

This is great.

what about all the traffic violations though?

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46814583

Re: Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

#452
post #154

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yup. And to add > Waymo said in its blog post that its “peer-reviewed model” shows a “fully attentive human driver in this same situation would have made contact with the pedestrian at approximately 14 mph.” It's likely that a fully-attentive human driver would have done worse. With a distracted driver (a huge portion of human drivers) it could've been catastrophic.

> It's likely that a fully-attentive human driver would have done worse. We'd have to see video of the full scene to have a better judgement, but I wouldn't call it likely. The car reacted quickly once it saw the child. Is that enough? But most humans would have been aware of the big picture scenario much earlier. Are there muliple kids milling around on the sidewalk? Near a school? Is there a big truck/SUV parked th…

Your opinion of "most humans" is vastly overinflated. The median human driver would be going 5 over the speed limit, on their cell phone, and paying fuck all attention. Humans never drive as slow as 17 mph, even in the context of being directly in front of schools with visible children.

Re: Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

#453

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you should slow down relative to the posted speed limit why not change the speed limit to reflect that directly?

Usually the reason is the "slow down" portion is very small, and it's confusing to shift down the actual speed limit for a 200 foot stretch of road then increase it again.

FWIW, it seems less confusing to me than longer speed limits, but with "Slow Down".

Re: Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

#454

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It was going 17 mph. That is rather slow. To put it another way. If an autonomous vehicle has a reaction time of 0.3 seconds, the stopping distance from 17 mph is about the same as a fully alert human driver (1 second reaction time) driving 10.33 mph.

>It was going 17 mph. That is rather slow. There's a case to be made that it wasn't slow enough.

A small child jumped out in front of it, which is about the worst case scenario you can have... and the kid was fine. So it sounds like it was slow enough?

Re: Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

#455

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think it makes sense to lump some drivers better than waymo and worse than waymo. A human brain automatically thinks of all the scenarios, where Waymo has pre-programmed ones (and some NN based ones). So it's scenarios by scenario. Consider this scenario: 5 kids are walking on the sidewalk while you're driving past them. But suddenly a large dumpster is blocking your view of them just as you pass. You saw the…

> A human brain automatically thinks of all the scenarios I don't think this is true. There are infinitely many scenarios in a complex situation like a road with traffic, cars parked, pedestrians about, weather, etc. My brain might be able to quickly assess a handful, but certainly not all.

> like a road with traffic, cars parked, pedestrians about, weather

Not all of those need to be done "quickly". That's where LLMs fail

You note the weather when you leave. You understand the traffic five minutes ahead. You recognize pedestrians far ahead of time.

Computers can process a lot in fractions of a second. Humans can recognize context over many minutes.

The Waymo may have done better in the fraction of a second, but humans can avoid being in that situation to begin with.

Re: Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

#456
post #441

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How many human drivers do under 20mph, like ever?

Plenty. Have you ever driven on a freeway at rush hour? Have you driven in a pickup/dropoff line at a school or an airport? You may or may not want to go 100, but when there's a vehicle in front of you going 20mph or less, you're kind of stuck.

Yes, I have seen how people struggle to drive at low speed and can only do start/stop, accelerating to a way too high speed only to slam on brakes, repeating endlessly.

But really, did you seriously read my post as meaning people literally can't go slower than 20 so just plough into whatever is in the way? I'm obviously talking about an open road situation. Hardly any human drivers go under 20 by choice.

Re: Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

#457
post #212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

According to the article the car was traveling at 17 miles an hour before it began braking. Presumably this was in a 25 mph school zone, so it seems the Waymo was already doing exactly what you describe - slowing down preemptively.

A 25mph school zone? That seems fast. 15mph would be more the norm, which is in line with the 17mph the car believed itself to be traveling. FYI, unless you are a commerical truck, a cop, or a racer, your speedometer will read slightly fast, sometimes as much as 5 to 10%. This is normal practice for cars as it limits manufacturer liability. You can check this using independant gps, ie not an in-dash unit. (Just imagi…

It does seem fast to me -- school zones are 20 mph in Seattle, at least when children are present. But Google suggests 25 is the norm in Santa Monica, where the incident occurred.

Re: Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

#458

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It was going 17 mph. That is rather slow. To put it another way. If an autonomous vehicle has a reaction time of 0.3 seconds, the stopping distance from 17 mph is about the same as a fully alert human driver (1 second reaction time) driving 10.33 mph.

>It was going 17 mph. That is rather slow. There's a case to be made that it wasn't slow enough.

Maybe. That level of safetyism seems pretty unreasonable when humans are 100x worse and still allowed on the road.

Re: Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

#459

From the Waymo blog... > the pedestrian suddenly entered the roadway from behind a tall SUV, moving directly into our vehicle's path. Our technology immediately detected the individual as soon as they began to emerge from behind the stopped vehicle. The Waymo Driver braked hard, reducing speed from approximately 17 mph to under 6 mph before contact was made. > Following contact, the pedestrian stood up immediately, w…

> reducing speed from approximately 17 mph

Isn't the speed limit normally 15 mph or less in a school zone? Was the robotaxi speeding?

Re: Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica

#460

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think my problem is that it reacted after seeing the child step out from behind the SUV. An excellent driver would have already seen that possible scenario and would have already slowed to 10 MPH or less to begin with. (It's how I taught my daughter's to drive "defensively"—look for "red flags" and be prepared for the worst-case scenario. SUV near a school and I cannot see behind it? Red flag—slow the fuck down.)

This is generally the problem with self-driving cars, at least in my experience (Tesla FSD). They don't look far enough ahead to anticipate what might happen and already put themselves in a position to prepare for that possibility. I'm not sure they benefit from accumulated knowledge? (Maybe Waymo does, that's an interesting question.) I.e., I know that my son's elementary school is around the corner so as I turn I'm…

Tesla FSD is leagues behind Waymo; generalizing based on your Tesla experience doesn't make sense.
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