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More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

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451–460 of 640 posts

Re: More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

#451
post #337

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The SPY and QQQ charts zoomed out are starting to look like the biggest parabola of all time in markets. 1999 is just a blip on this monster. Seeing all kinds of warning signs from family members who never traded or got into crypto until just this past 6 months.

> Seeing all kinds of warning signs from family members who never traded or got into crypto until just this past 6 months. That's just jealousy, Those who sit on the sidelines complain the most. Like I said in my previous post if you didn't see it. I see it as that the barrier to entry for making money has never been lower. Right now, it’s one of the best times in history for anyone to start earning, not just the Wal…

Chat Jippity is that you?

Re: More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

#452
post #386

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Good, what’s your plan of resolution?

I answered you in the other comment, but my "resolution" would've been not carving out a chunk of a number of middle eastern former colonies and turning it into a Jewish ethnostate. But that's done now, and now Israelis have lived there for so long that simply "packing it up" and moving them elsewhere is now also, if not equally IMO, problematic as an action. Israel is itself a project of the latter end of colonialis…

Israel is not the product of "the latter end of colonialism". It was the product of the Holocaust, which occurred just three years before its founding.

Should Europe have used Palestine for this purpose, that is debatable. But to lump it into the same colonial endeavors such as England's occupation of India or Belgium's occupation of the Congo just doesn't add up.

Re: More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

#453

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A year is pretty extreme. If you cut a lump sum into a series of transactions over a couple weeks or even days it is just about the least expensive way to exchange earning potential for reduced volatility. You miss out on like 2 weeks of earnings in exchange for a huge reduction in the chance that you buy in and are immediately down 2% or something.

There's just as much probability that you miss out on a big swing up as there is that you miss a big a drop.

It's not the big swings you're trying to avoid, you're just trying to average together a bunch of interday minor ups and downs so your starting price is not as volatile.

Re: More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

#454

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's funny because 9-5 is still a great way to actually enrich yourself. The best way to grow your wealth is to increase your income, and a salary+benefits is the juiciest way to do that. Sadly, I've seen many male friends of mine obsess with the stock market but not have anything going career-wise. They just hope they hit big and "make it." Better to just stack salary for years the boring way and save yourself the t…

9-5 is definitely not the way to enrich yourself, that's an unfortunate message. Have you noticed how housing costs have consistently beat inflation for decades? At least if you live in a VHCOL area. It's easy - check the FRED report on the median salary and compare that with a graph showing the median housing price. OK so the most important thing is out of reach with 9-5, independence from rent. The next set of fact…

Dunno about everyone but my 9-5 salary is awesome. I do Vulnerability Research at an MIT lab. Working there is amazing. Much rather my situation than one where I am forced to “trade” and make it big in order to eat and or anything else in life. Great 9-5 jobs are out there and it’s funny because I used to think of them as “awful slave” jobs. Used to think having to do a 9-5 was something to avoid at all costs. Came to realize I enjoy guaranteed income and job security over anything else. Sorry for bad grammar; typing on phone..

Re: More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

#455
post #440

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's normal for 13 year olds to have strong opinions on such topics - they have plenty of time to refine them or even change their mind. I would be more worried about those who by this age didn't develop any interest in geopolitics - it affects them all the same but they typically don't understand why and pick whatever source tells a more compelling story.

When I was 13 (in the US in the 1970s) none of my classmates or friends ever expressed any interest in geopolitics or international relations.

No one had an opinion about Vietnam? I was 13 in 2003, plenty of people had an opinion about 9/11, civil liberties, and Iraq.

Re: More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

#456
post #367

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem is that I have been seeing some version of the “crash imminent, sell everything” thesis for my entire life. Almost nobody who “saw the crash coming” in the case of the dotcom bubble, or covid, or the subprime crisis made any money, because almost nobody gets the timing or magnitude of the crash right. You can find YouTube channels that have been warning people that a crash is imminent for the last two yea…

Agreed this sort of advice is standard - but many people don’t follow it because it’s boring. One way to make this sort of advice “not boring” is to apply the advice to 90% of your net worth (or cash flow), but then give yourself permission to “gamble” with the other 10%. For me, that has fulfilled my personal interest in playing around in the markets for fun while still building/growing a traditional “safe” portfoli…

This is the way. Boring is, well, boring. Slice off some small percentage to do high risk investments with to sate your FOMO. Buy GME, sell it for Doge, and short TSLA with that pool after inhaling too much r/WSB because you want to think you're a genius.

Re: More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

#457
post #26

I remember a controversial scamming figure in Italy that made millions by selling lucky numbers for lotteries or exploiting people's stupidity to part them with their life savings. Her motto was "idiots _have_ to be scammed". While this figure was morally and ethically deplorable, it always made me think how her motto essentially implied that there was an element of pure natural selection happening and she saw hersel…

One of the justifications that psycopaths and sociopaths use is exactly this - If their victims weren't so stupid, they wouldnt be victims. (Often mixed with the "if I didnt exploit them, someone else would"). Its an excuse to rationalise and try to justify their bad behaviour. NATURAL selection is built to deal with NATURAL problems, and they move and change and evolve at the same speed, natual selection changes at…

Yup. It’s just an excuse for their awful behavior.

Re: More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

#458
post #455

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When I was 13 (in the US in the 1970s) none of my classmates or friends ever expressed any interest in geopolitics or international relations.

No one had an opinion about Vietnam? I was 13 in 2003, plenty of people had an opinion about 9/11, civil liberties, and Iraq.

I don't recall any opinions about Vietnam and would probably have remembered if someone had expressed an opinion to me.

And the war or whatever we call the situation in Gaza would be something I'd want to shield my 13-year-old child from having any knowledge of if I were a parent -- for basically the same reason I'd want to shield them from learning about sadomasochistic sex as long as possible.

Re: More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

#459

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, buying stock in a company because you like their product is precisely the kind of bad stock picking strategy I'm talking about. The quality of a company's product is public information, so you should expect it to be priced in. Whether or not to pick any individual stock should be made on the basis of whether that stock is over-valued or under-valued in the market, not if it's a good company overall. Amazing com…

>Amazing companies can be highly overvalued, and crap companies doing garbage work can be undervalued. I'm sorry, but how does value matter? I'm not being flippant - the Mag 7 are not 'value' companies. Are Nvidia, Apple, etc., overvalued? And so we should avoid them or short them? Is Tesla 'priced-in'? There's all sorts of psychology in the market. What does 'priced-in' even mean? What wouldn't be priced in. "Water…

If you compare the forward PE ratio to the regular PE ratio on most of these stocks you will see their profits are growing extremely fast. NVDA has a trailing PE of 55 but a forward PE of 32. TSM has PE of 33 but a forward of 23! A business growing profitability that fast is going to be valued at a premium.

Re: More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market

#460
post #27

Gambling addiction is so unrelateable to me. Likely real drugs sure, obsessive gaming, done that too. I think I'm to anxious to enjoy gambling with like that or something.

Likewise! I can understand drugs and such… But gambling? At least with drugs you have a guaranteed reward. You purchase heroin and you use it, you’re high. Task accomplished gambling it like “here’s money so I might possibly get high if I’m lucky.”
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