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Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

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Re: Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

#451

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Right, it's a deduction, not a credit, so it only partially pays for itself on a direct tax basis, but generally the expense is money the business would have spent anyways on its business. But the point is that a business with a higher tax rate has a greater incentive to spend money, and to spend more of it. And as a practical matter, history has demonstrated that businesses actually invest less during periods of low…

We haven’t seen a protracted low tax period under modern economic circumstances. Certainly considered in isolation this investment sounds attractive. In conjunction with the benefits of paychecks and dividends being spent elsewhere in the economy it’s less certain.

Just to be clear, we're talking about 2 different types of taxes: you're talking about personal income taxes, and I'm talking about business income taxes (aka business profit taxes).

Changing personal income tax rates has a lagging effect on economic spending, because they're spread out over time so that effect ends up being very small on a monthly or bimonthly basis (i.e., the periods over which a person generally receives a paycheck). Generally, consumers don't even notice the change until the file the taxes for the year.

Businesses have had low taxes since the Reagan administration, albeit brief periods of higher taxes during the Clinton and Obama administrations. Notably, business investment was at its highest levels during those periods of high taxes, and the economy grew at its highest rates since the post-WWII reconstruction era. During the periods of low taxes, US businesses actually accelerated off-shoring labor to foreign facilities, and the decline of Detroit and the Rust Belt can be directly correlated with the Reagan tax cuts.

Re: Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

#452
post #410

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Don't buybacks benefit long term investors, not bigger investors precisely for tax reasons. Historical equities compound growth almost entirely comes from constantly reinvesting dividends to buy more shares which compounds to increase future dividends. So as an example, take a company that returns 5% of their share price and an investor pays a 20% tax rate allowing them to reinvest 4% after tax money to buy more shar…

Your example doesn't make any sense. With a buyback, you have fewer shares after the buyback. If you "reinvest" in the company you give up all the proceeds you received to buy back the shares that you just sold to the company. But you've paid taxes as a result of the initial buyback so you have less money than you received to reinvest, and now presumably the shares are all more expensive as well. Your position is eco…

> With a buyback, you have fewer shares after the buyback.

Not sure who "you" is but the company will have fewer shares outstanding, investors who don't sell will have the same and those investors will also now own a greater % of the company as well as a greater earnings per share.

> If you "reinvest" in the company you give up all the proceeds you received to buy back the shares that you just sold to the company

I am 100% not saying that as that would eliminate the benefit. The benefit is to long term investors who buy, hold and reinvest dividends and reinvesting dividends to buy more stock is key as that is where the historical exponential returns are because it increases your ownership share and future dividends.

That is where my example numbers come in because you can only reinvest to buy more shares and thus your ownership % the dividend amount minus tax amount whereas the company can spend the entirety of a dividend buying shares to remove them from the outstanding market. The difference between those two numbers (1.05 and 1.04 in my example) then compounds and effectively goes towards increasing share prices which do eventually get taxed but they get the benefit of compounding while the owner holds.

Also, while you need quite a few shares, you can estimate and sell the percentage of shares a company is buying back in order to keep the same % ownership thus acting like a dividend so I myself would prefer all companies I invest in to never give out dividends and only do buybacks unless their P/E ratio is truly absurd.

Re: Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

#453
post #434

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Actually, history bears out that higher tax rates result in corporations re-investing more of their profits in the company and less in tax-avoidance accounting. The difference being that the former is low risk and can grow the business, while the other has a good chance of triggering penalties that wipe out the savings and could even result in jail time for one or more executives. Consider that the historically highe…

>...Actually, history bears out that higher tax rates result in corporations re-investing more of their profits in the company and less in tax-avoidance accounting. Can't speak for all companies, but higher tax rates generally means more money invested in tax avoidance. If for example, your tax rate was 95% of your income it would be rational for you to put a lot more effort into finding ways to avoid those taxes tha…

Can't speak for all companies, but higher tax rates generally means more money invested in tax avoidance. If for example, your tax rate was 95% of your income it would be rational for you to put a lot more effort into finding ways to avoid those taxes than if the taxes were 1%.

It's funny because I'm a tax consultant for a living, and that's simply not been my experience. Businesses want to avoid paying taxes when possible, but it's generally not worth their effort to play tax games. A business doesn't pay taxes unless it's making profits, and it would have to be making sufficient profits that the millions they'd spend on consultants and maintaining tax avoidance strategies every year exceeds the actual tax liability by a material amount. For most businesses, that's not worth it.

Tax rates don't drive business decisions. The only time they matter is when a business is choosing between multiple otherwise equal or similar options and tax issues are the primary differentiators.

There are no penalties or jail time associated with tax-avoidance - you probably mean tax evasion which is a crime.

There are penalties associated with numerous tax avoidance strategies if the tax authority disagrees with your position; it's not necessary for the position to rise to the level of tax evasion. But on that note, there have been a number of tax avoidance strategies that were legal for years but deemed to be tax evasion after the fact, resulting in hefty fines and criminal sentences for those involved.

The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has identified small business and sole proprietorship employees as the largest contributors to the tax gap between what Americans owe in federal taxes and what the federal government receives.

No citation was provided for that statement in wikipedia. Additionally, that statement conflicts with what the IRS has actually said about the tax collection gap being approximately $500 billion. https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/the-tax-gap. Based on Propublica reporting, at least $100 billion of that $500 billion is wealthy individuals like the Sackler family.

Even though corporate misdeeds grab a lot of press, corporate underreporting accounts for only $67 billion of the tax gap, or 14.8 percent.

True, but I wasn't saying that corporate tax evasion is higher than other types of tax evasion. I was comparing corporate tax evasion now to corporate tax evasion in other times. Measured against itself it's at historically high rates.

Re: Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

#454
post #428

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In both of your 1950s examples, those expenditures flowed into the greater economy resulting in multiple additional taxable transactions while also supporting the livelihoods of one or more other economic participants. In other words, exactly what we want. But on a further note: these expenses never went away, many companies still do these kinds of things today. The present day shenanigans were Apple and Amazon (note…

>In both of your 1950s examples, those expenditures flowed into the greater economy resulting in multiple additional taxable transactions while also supporting the livelihoods of one or more other economic participants. You're shifting the goalposts. First you were claiming that taxes don't generally spur avoidant behavior. Now you're claiming they do[1], and we want that. Which is itself dubious. I'm pretty sure "we…

First you were claiming that taxes don't generally spur avoidant behavior. Now you're claiming they do[1], and we want that.

We're talking about different types of avoidance. I'm talking about real business spending, i.e., on facilities, equipment, employees, etc., as a means of tax avoidance. High taxes encourage this type of spending because (a) businesses that are growing are going to do this anyway and (b) they effectively get a discount for this anyway if they're making enough money to actually pay taxes.

But most people are referring to tax avoidance strategies like IP shifting, off-shoring, etc. I'm saying, that based on my professional experience as a tax advisor for a decade, that these activities are not motivated by high tax rates, and indeed were highest during periods of lower tax rates. (In the examples I mentioned above in the earlier comment, the companies weren't engaging in tax avoidance strategies, they were making business investments. The difference is that tax avoidance is entirely or primarily motivated by avoiding taxes and is pursued despite the lack of an actual business need; business investment may be motivated in part by avoiding taxes but is primarily driven by actual business needs and will not be pursued absent a business case for the spending.)

Which is itself dubious. I'm pretty sure "we" don't want people to unilaterally exempt themselves from taxes by relabeling consumption as a business expense

I don't understand where you're going with this. You brought up examples that are considered legitimate business expenses by the tax code, and have been for decades. Hell, they're the basis for all the in-office perks tech companies gave their employees pre-COVID. If you have an issue with whether they should be deductible on moral grounds, that's a separate discussion.

And again, my argument is based on how my clients, and US businesses in general, have actually responded to tax cuts and tax increases, and not to how they were theoretically expected to behave by people who aren't actually running successful businesses.

Re: Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

#455

I'm not wealthy enough for a wealth tax to apply, but a wealth tax is a colossal privacy and administrative burden on _every single taxpayer_. Assets must be accounted for when calculating wealth, so the tax service will be required to track and value assets including vehicles, homes, and material good etc. for every citizen to see if the wealth tax would apply to them -- if we didn't report material goods, the wealt…

Wow.

Only in the US would non-wealthy people actively and aggressively advocate on behalf of the ultra-wealthy.

Re: Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

#456

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Land doesn't depreciate, only structures and improvements to the land. The structures are generally the majority of the value of the property. > Mortgage interest is not included in the basis of real property or in depreciation. It's just another deductible expense. Nonetheless it's a major expense and fully deductible. They also get to deduct property maintenance etc. > Most real estate companies are partnerships…

The structures are generally the majority of the value of the property. Depends, unless you're talking about very large structures like office buildings, factories, or malls in which case the structures are definitely worth more than the land. For most residential and small-to-midsize commercial plots, it depends on where the land is. In states like HI, CA, NY, and NJ, the land is worth more than the structures on to…

> Depends, unless you're talking about very large structures like office buildings, factories, or malls in which case the structures are definitely worth more than the land.

Or large apartment complexes. But isn't that where most real estate investing goes? Detached single family homes are mostly owner-occupied.

> Generally, no. Under a triple-net lease, they would not get to deduct these costs because they're not paying them. Most commercial properties are leased on a triple-net basis, so the tenant is paying maintenance costs.

But then the tenant is paying correspondingly less rent, which means less taxable income to the property owner. It's a wash either way.

> Also, I'm not sure if you are aware of this but an S-Corp does not pay corporate income taxes

You're right, I meant C-Corp.

My point being that if the investor is a "corporation" in the sense that it's paying corporate income tax itself, that has little to do with the thing it's investing in. If it buys ownership of a REIT and the REIT itself doesn't pay corporate income tax, and the corporate tax rate is high, that's more advantageous than the same corporate investor buying shares of Union Pacific, whether or not the entity doing the investing then pays corporate income tax on the income it receives from the investment.

> Yes, that's the point, but more to the point, that's the entire point of real estate investing.

It's one of the two options. Option one, you zero out your taxable income while building equity, and then sell to liquidate. Option two, you zero out your taxable income while building equity, then once the loan is paid off you get to keep the rental income, which can be used as down payment on additional properties if you prefer to invest further rather than pay the tax and spend the money.

> Right, but the flip side of you divesting is someone else investing, at appreciated costs from you paid.

The point being that high turnover during periods of low taxation isn't a result of people wanting to get into the real estate market, it's a result of people wanting to get out. So it tends to cause housing to become more affordable rather than inflating a bubble because people hold who would rather sell if not for selling incurring a major tax bill.

> They have actual businesses, and correspondingly tend to spend more on upgrades during periods of higher taxes.

That's evidence of what I'm saying -- when corporate taxes are high, people move investment from businesses to real estate. Making improvements to real estate is investing in real estate. Lower taxes and they stop because they make more to invest the same money in other businesses.

Re: Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

#457
post #325

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hoarding wealth is bad for the economy, as it lowers the velocity of money. See: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V Our current policy is to paper over bank liquidity or other problems by printing money. Big institutions and the mega-rich are hoarding massive quantities of cash. The economy as a whole would be better off if billionaires were doing stuff with their money rather than hoarding shares.

You do realize that nobody keeps that cash on hand, right? It’s in banks where it gets lent out, thus participating and contributing to the economy. "Hoarding" is nonsense.

How are the nearly $2 trillion of bank reserves at the Fed contributing? That’s a significant portion of the total money supply.

Most of the corporate cash isn’t in equity funds, it in US Treasury debt. Apple holds >$50B of treasury securities, for example.

The low inflation monetary policy has some benefits, but combined with our ass-backwards tax system also makes for strong disincentive to do anything with excess cash.

Re: Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

#458

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hoarding wealth is bad for the economy, as it lowers the velocity of money. See: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V Our current policy is to paper over bank liquidity or other problems by printing money. Big institutions and the mega-rich are hoarding massive quantities of cash. The economy as a whole would be better off if billionaires were doing stuff with their money rather than hoarding shares.

Do you think big corps convert their retained earnings to cash and stuff it under their mattress?

“BigCorp Ireland, Ltd” buys a bunch of treasuries.

Re: Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

#459

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah citation needed, other then tariffs taxes have only gone down in the past 30 years...

Federal receipts as a percentage of GDP haven't meaningfully changed since WWII. (Which means that they've only gone up in real dollars per capita, because GDP per capita has increased.)

Yeah so taxes have gone down. If you measure taxes with real metrics they've gone down to their lowest level ever.

Re: Media Owned by Wealthy Are Quick to Tell You Wealth Taxes Are a Bad Idea

#460

I'm not wealthy enough for a wealth tax to apply, but a wealth tax is a colossal privacy and administrative burden on _every single taxpayer_. Assets must be accounted for when calculating wealth, so the tax service will be required to track and value assets including vehicles, homes, and material good etc. for every citizen to see if the wealth tax would apply to them -- if we didn't report material goods, the wealt…

One way to mitigate that is to not tax “wealth” arbitrarily. Instead imagine something more targeted like a land value tax. Property rights could be changed so that some assets that are in limited supply and posses capital value such as land, simply can’t just be owned, but are instead leased. I mean wealth per se isn’t an issue. In the grand scheme of things what material goods you have matter little. It’s the unrea…

If property (land + building) taxes are significant, then property is already leased.

E.g. in NZ you buy property, but the local government taxes it, so you are essentially paying a small lease. Enough so that some retirees with no income have to downsize because the rates are a significant burden.

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