Live data from Hacker News

U.S. workers have gotten less productive – no one is sure why

washingtonpost.com

441–450 of 751 posts

Re: U.S. workers have gotten less productive – no one is sure why

#441

This could easily be an accounting anomaly. Productivity is defined as real GDP / hours worked. If you shrink the denominator - say, by causing 25% unemployment with lockdowns - while also boosting the numerator with government spending, you get high productivity, which we had during the pandemic. If you then shrink the numerator (say, with high inflation, which translates a given nominal GDP to a smaller real GDP) w…

Per-capita wealth probably a more accurate, better indicator of how well the economy is doing compared to productivity.

Re: U.S. workers have gotten less productive – no one is sure why

#442
post #427

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My remote employers have - and continue to - effectively subsidized a lot of my personal ventures in the last decade. Personal projects (software and art), learning skills (programming, instruments, video editing), improving at video games and sports. Not to mention leisure. All done "on the clock." To be honest, maybe the majority of the 40hrs I get "paid" for is actually used for this instead of company output?

Just one guy's opinion, but to me it sounds like you're making intelligent, healthy, and entirely logical choices about your life and how you choose to spend your limited time.

absolutely - your consciousness is your most precious resource!

the hardest part is the tension with the external guilt - but that is the point of the guilt after all

Re: U.S. workers have gotten less productive – no one is sure why

#443

I've read that doctors now spend as much as 50% of their time documenting their work. Companies such as Epic, which provide the software that hospitals use to build databases of patient data, have been big winners in the new world of hospitals-depending-on-software. But did the doctors become more productive? By almost any measure, they became less productive. People in tech keep thinking more tech will solve problem…

You’re blaming tech for legal issues and requirements.

Re: U.S. workers have gotten less productive – no one is sure why

#444

I've read that doctors now spend as much as 50% of their time documenting their work. Companies such as Epic, which provide the software that hospitals use to build databases of patient data, have been big winners in the new world of hospitals-depending-on-software. But did the doctors become more productive? By almost any measure, they became less productive. People in tech keep thinking more tech will solve problem…

> I've read that doctors now spend as much as 50% of their time documenting their work. Companies such as Epic, which provide the software that hospitals use to build databases of patient data, have been big winners in the new world of hospitals-depending-on-software. But did the doctors become more productive? By almost any measure, they became less productive.

I'd ask another question: did lawsuits decrease? I'd imagine that a lot of this software is to avoid lawsuits. America is especially litigious and that's got to correlate strongly with the increase bureaucracy.

I also suspect that a factor at play is that people are losing trust in the whole system. Most people now know that productivity has skyrocketed while salaries have remained relatively flat. With increasing economic disparity (not even just the West) it is no wonder that people become less productive. Who tries hard at a game that they believe is rigged against them? (doesn't matter if it is or isn't, just the belief)

> People in tech keep thinking more tech will solve problems

Because historically it has. But there are different types of tech. Tech enabled the modern world. It is the new medicines we have to cure illnesses that devastated populations. It is the chemicals that enable us to grow enough food to sustain our populations. It is everything from a wheel to the computers we use to make more efficient wheels that use less resources. But it is also naive to think that tech alone can solve every problem. It is also naive to think that tech can't create new problems. To create tech that solves problems we need to think long and hard about the intricate complexities involved and gather the expertise from relevant domains (an often missed, but essential, component). The other problem is that people hand wave away things like climate change saying "tech will solve it" rather than investing in said technology and waiting for it to magically appear. I do think tech is an important tool in solving many of the problems we face, but you're right that they are not all technology dependent (which is a continuous scale of weights, not a binary option).

Also, we're a tech forum. Peoples' expertise here is in tech. So they see things through that lens and it is also very likely that the most we/they can contribute to solving these problems is, in fact, through technological means. The trick is to remember that tech isn't a cure-all and that the problems we face are exceedingly complex. Over simplifying is often harmful.

Re: U.S. workers have gotten less productive – no one is sure why

#446

I've read that doctors now spend as much as 50% of their time documenting their work. Companies such as Epic, which provide the software that hospitals use to build databases of patient data, have been big winners in the new world of hospitals-depending-on-software. But did the doctors become more productive? By almost any measure, they became less productive. People in tech keep thinking more tech will solve problem…

I talk a lot about this flexibility gap in my day job in UX. Getting an organization onto a digital platform is great but a lot of them don’t recognize all the small ways that their current system’s flexibility is helping them.

With big systems though I honestly think GUIs can only go so far, even at their very best, and any system that is required to be complex at some level will require expert knowledge of the system itself. That’s extra work and an extra burden for someone with the critical experience that an organization relies on.

For doctors and the like it would make sense to try a system where the critical person/expert has an assistant who is a systems expert and does a lot of the needed data entry and the like. Doctor doesn’t have to worry about the system, they can talk to the assistant who manages all the extra work. If the system needs to change for any reason the assistant manages that and the doctor doesn’t have to worry about it.

I think of this assistant role as the human API layer. It’s not far off from some social programs like insurance navigators, who help individuals find health insurance, including working through options and even—critically—filling out forms for folks.

ETA: It’s a thing! I didn’t know: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Medical_scribe

Re: U.S. workers have gotten less productive – no one is sure why

#447
post #400

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is a really good point about how we myopically understand the value stream of a process. Often, steps that we feel are bureaucratic waste provide a lot of value to someone else in the process. With that said, I think most healthcare is correct to take a "patient centric" approach. What the OP seems to be making is a "doctor centric" take and, if one was to be overly cynical (I'm not), your post may skew to the s…

I don't think documentation precludes doctors from caring for their patients, but it does limit the number of patients they can handle. This implies that healthcare is more expensive, which maybe seems like a bad thing for patients, but I think it's more of an indicator that we need to find a way as a society to pay for the societal good that is data collection and research--"medicare for all" is one conceivable inca…

>but it does limit the number of patients they can handle.

Or, by extension, it limits the amount of time with each patient if they have a throughput constraint to stay solvent.

Tbf, I’m not sure the data supports the claim that doctors spend less time with patients, but the increase in documentation does seem to correlate with doctor burnout.

Re: U.S. workers have gotten less productive – no one is sure why

#448

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> notably healthcare researchers use this data to improve patient care, develop new medicines, and to precisely identify which medicines are likely to help on a particular patient (and which medicines may even harm them!) The majority of the notes being written by doctors now is boilerplate. A lot of it is copy-pasted. It's written because of insurance companies (which have incentive to deny claims), because of liabi…

> But you could probably reduce the paperwork that doctors do these days by a factor of 4 and not loose anything of value. Maybe, but this sounds like some vague hunch based on ???. I very highly doubt the healthcare industry would tolerate doctors wasting ~37.5% of their time (75% of paperwork time is wasteful * 50% of doctors' time spent on paperwork = minimum 37.5% of doctors time wasted). Doctors are expensive ,…

Based on working in the industry, and hearing from healthcare practitioners not quite first-hand, but second-hand.

You mention profit efficiency, but all three of my points make sense even in light of that: (i) insurance is literally the way doctors get paid; (ii) lawsuits are hella expensive, and (iii) regardless of profit incentives you can't not follow the law.

The software that doctors use is terrible. It's a perfect combination of extreme complexity, domination by just a couple companies (Epic and Cerner), legacy software (some still written in mumps, I hear!), and tons and tons of regulation.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MUMPS

Re: U.S. workers have gotten less productive – no one is sure why

#449
post #349

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Please stop being the highlight of zero sum thinking. Let's make up a hypothetical example. The government says you have to install a safety rail and the amortized cost is $1 a year. You: OMG, this is going to cost $100 over the next century, a huge loss, I am destroyed. Reality: Johnny doesn't fall of the equipment being coming paralyzed (costing you an immediate $200 in lawsuit and payout fees) and is able to produ…

Here ya go (not a hypothetical example): https://slate.com/business/2022/10/san-francisco-toilet-mill... They beat out Seattle, that spent $250,000 on a portable toilet a few years ago. On my own street, the city water outfit installed a fire hydrant. It cost $10,000, including architectural drawings of the installation. When the crew came out to install the hydrant (the main water line runs under my property) I aske…

Anecdotes about corruption and mismanagement do not address the underlying point that government spending is not zero-sum.

That hydrant was probably too expensive (maybe; insufficient data to say for sure). The damage if a fire breaks out and no municipal fire system is available in a modern city is catastrophic.

Re: U.S. workers have gotten less productive – no one is sure why

#450

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They also fought it because they didn't go to medical school and survive residency to fill out forms all damn day—and they didn't used to have to, they had staff for that. Then the computerized systems "replaced" that staff but all that really means is they cut the human time needed low enough that full-time workers weren't needed, but didn't eliminate it, so now that's another thing doctors have to do themselves. AF…

But the doctors almost always were taking notes anyway. My step father (A doctor) fought a losing battle against electronic records because he had _decades_ of paper records stored in the "records" room of his office. That was largely the responsibility of the front desk to pull the patients records and have them ready for him to read/check before seeing the patient. Then clean them up and refile them. Long term pati…

I've never seen the same doctor twice in a row.

What I've noticed is that EMR has greatly reduced the amounts of screw-ups or delays caused by not having the right information at hand, or having to repeat tests. Also, since there's now a terminal in every examining room, I can see what amount of effort is required to use the EMR tool (Epic in the case of my provider), and it doesn't seem all that onerous. I can guesstimate the additional amount of time that they spend outside of clinic hours, completing their records for the day, and again, it doesn't seem onerous.

For a few years I had to fill out a lengthy medical history form, every time I visited a clinic, but that's pretty much gone today. My primary care doctor just retired, and her replacement took up the baton without skipping a beat. She can also easily delegate to her physician's assistant or nurse practitioner, so they can all work as a team, with instant access to the same information.

Now I have noticed something interesting. The urgent and primary care clinics all have a terminal in every examining room, and the clinicians perform their examinations while seated at the terminal, except when they actually have to poke around. That's where it seems quite efficient.

In the hospital wards, they still don't have a terminal in each room, meaning that each clinician has to look things up at centralized terminals, remember them (or not), and has no access to information. If they need some information, they will come back with it, next time their make their rounds, which might be the next day. And they screw up. My dad had an episode that took him through an ER, to a regular hospital bed for a few days, then to a rehab ward. I had all of his records at my fingertips thanks to MyChart on my laptop. The doctors and nurses were lost, they completely overlooked the documented diagnosis that was at the root of is condition, and didn't believe me about it.

Some of the nurses in the hospitals now have a terminal on a wheeled cart, that they bring on their rounds.

What I'm guessing is that in the days of handwritten records, the doctors were mostly winging it.

Post reply on HN