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Lesson of ivermectin: meta-analyses based on summary data alone are unreliable

nature.com

441–450 of 493 posts

Re: Lesson of ivermectin: meta-analyses based on summary data alone are unreliable

#441

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm glad that you mentioned HCQ. What happened with HCQ? Was it smart that the US bought stockpiles of it, and was it smart for doctors to be prescribing it for treatment of COVID, with a years hindsight?

I think one glaring problem is that two years into the pandemic we still don't know...and given the rigid taboo which has sprung up around HCQ and other treatments, frankly I don't really trust the data. Yes, the initial studies in support of HCQ were low quality, but the primary initial study which the media jumped on to "discredit" HCQ was laughably biased, completely disregarding the early stage/prophylactic dosin…

Well, with that attitude at least you can never be proven wrong, which must be nice and certainly isn't revealing about the logic of your position

Re: Lesson of ivermectin: meta-analyses based on summary data alone are unreliable

#442
The question of whether ivermectin treats Covid19 in humans is utterly independent of vaccines, HCQ, the state of modern science, whether ivermectin treats other diseases, ivermectin's use in animals, politics, any corrupt ivermectin studies (if you ignore them), and the price of cheese on the moon.

I have learned there are many idiots among us. Many, many idiots.

Re: Lesson of ivermectin: meta-analyses based on summary data alone are unreliable

#444
post #413

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I will re-post some thoughts I have previously shared from John P.A. Ioannidis who is a professor of medicine and thoughtful critic of medical research https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Ioannidis#COVID-19 > In an editorial on STAT published March 17, 2020, Ioannidis called the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic a "once-in-a-century evidence fiasco" and wrote that lockdowns were likely an overreaction to unre…

Your comment is the worst kind of ad hominem. You're simply dismissing one of the most-cited scientists in the world because he wrote something you disagree with. He was right about the IFR for Covid-19, by the way. Subsequent research has upheld the finding. The primary factor that influences average IFR is the age of the population you're looking at: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/eci.13554 > All syste…

If you are worried about ad hominems then you should also be worried about Ioannidis, who has taken to Twitter to criticize grad students with orthodox conclusions about COVID for their physical appearance and lack of publications relative to full professors.

Re: Lesson of ivermectin: meta-analyses based on summary data alone are unreliable

#445

Earlier quoted context omitted.

FiveThirtyEight weights its averages by pollster accuracy/methodology. Next, we determine how much weight to give each poll in our average. First, polls conducted by pollsters with higher FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings — a letter grade measuring how accurate and methodologically sound pollsters are — are given more weight https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-were-tracking-joe-b...

FiveThirtyEight is literally owned by Disney - and should be treated as such. How is FTE determining their "pollster rating"?

> should be treated as such

Ok

> How is FTE determining their "pollster rating"

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-death-of-polling-is...

Re: Lesson of ivermectin: meta-analyses based on summary data alone are unreliable

#446
post #162

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem I saw with the Ivermectin metastudies (which I did a fair amount of research on given that people close to me had decided to employ it as a prophylactic against Covid) was that the people who did the metanalyses were trained to read the results rather than grapple with the methodology and statistics. None of the study results were robust, but many of the study outcomes were positive. So they were counting…

In my mind, there is also underlying all this the idea that if a drug actually works, then there will be many doctors going on CNN to say that it totally works; that they're super excited by their patients recovering. In other words, the effect should be profound. If the effect is marginal, why bother, even if it is a real measurable effect in well conducted trials? I mean : that doctors observe that some therapy or…

This might be true except for the fact that news outlets follow a script to push a narrative (and CNN is not exempted from this):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ksb3KD6DfSI

Re: Lesson of ivermectin: meta-analyses based on summary data alone are unreliable

#447
post #413

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I will re-post some thoughts I have previously shared from John P.A. Ioannidis who is a professor of medicine and thoughtful critic of medical research https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Ioannidis#COVID-19 > In an editorial on STAT published March 17, 2020, Ioannidis called the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic a "once-in-a-century evidence fiasco" and wrote that lockdowns were likely an overreaction to unre…

Your comment is the worst kind of ad hominem. You're simply dismissing one of the most-cited scientists in the world because he wrote something you disagree with. He was right about the IFR for Covid-19, by the way. Subsequent research has upheld the finding. The primary factor that influences average IFR is the age of the population you're looking at: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/eci.13554 > All syste…

I'll go with the CDC data, which pegs it at about 0.6%:

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burd...

I was a fan of Ioannidis when he put out the estimates, but he has lost me since then. I'd rather go with the massive amount of researchers that have built their career studying these things, than the guy from a different field that feels he is better than everyone.

I mean, if your networks ops people are telling you the cause of a problem in your web application, and a manager comes in from another team and says he ran tcpdump and he thinks they are all wrong, and then the networks ops people show what he did wrong with tcpdump, but the manager sticks to his guns, who are you going to believe?

Re: Lesson of ivermectin: meta-analyses based on summary data alone are unreliable

#448

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think one glaring problem is that two years into the pandemic we still don't know...and given the rigid taboo which has sprung up around HCQ and other treatments, frankly I don't really trust the data. Yes, the initial studies in support of HCQ were low quality, but the primary initial study which the media jumped on to "discredit" HCQ was laughably biased, completely disregarding the early stage/prophylactic dosin…

Well, with that attitude at least you can never be proven wrong, which must be nice and certainly isn't revealing about the logic of your position

I think your point is the one that surprisingly is going largely unstated here. This entire thread reads exactly the same as the HCQ threads a year+ ago, except now with a new drug. The same complaining about the media, the medical establishment, the same clinging on to weak initial trials which in the case of HCQ that turned out to be nonsense. Will ivermectin turn out the same way?

Also it's interesting that the same political and pundit class now pushing ivermectin first pushed hydroxychloroquine. The same people on the same TV and radio shows. I've got to wonder, if HCQ was the miracle drug they claimed it to be, why aren't they still pushing it? It seems to me they just sort of... stopped talking about it one day. Did it not pan out as they said it would? If not, why are we to trust them this time with this new drug? How long until ivermectin joins HCQ as yesterdays drug-du-jour to fight Covid?

Re: Lesson of ivermectin: meta-analyses based on summary data alone are unreliable

#449
post #149

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People at my state university would occasionally toss out the catchphrase "Ds get degrees!". It made me sad. I agree at minimum more people need to fail classes. If you want to be nice, counter by allowing more attempts.

>>counter by allowing more attempts Excellent idea - retake any class once for nominal cost (and you've already got the textbooks).

I like it but the proposal either needs to be more persuasive toward universities' limitations or those institutions need to be allowed to fail and be replaced with something more aligned with a university's mission.

Generally, universities are insolvent, being propped up by infinite government-backed loans leveraged against students' future earnings. In turn faced with an endless supply of funding, they've become wastrels and signed up for too many bills which they must cover by incessantly demanding more funding from debtor students. The model created a feedback loop that most universities will find terminal once policy changes out of necessity.

I'm afraid they will likely only hear "retake classes infinitely" as booting students severs revenue. Failing students however, makes that revenue renewable. Corruption is cancer both financially and morally.

Re: Lesson of ivermectin: meta-analyses based on summary data alone are unreliable

#450
post #89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

#2 is for sure bviously preferable, but Good Luck With That. Once you get below the top N% in intelligence levels (5%-20% in my experience), the ability to 1) understand any kind of complex systems, 2) read, understand, contextualize and retain data, and maintain any rigorous logical thinking structure (e.g., keeping previously eliminated options eliminated) declines rapidly. The result is that, despite having absolu…

Is there any evidence that intelligence is genetic? I dont think your height was stopping you from getting to the NBA, nor is that even remotely obvious. You may find your height to be discouraging, but you could have very well possessed the potential to play professional basketball. You'd be 3 inches taller than Muggsy Bouges who played for 14 seasons, 1 inch taller than 13 year vet Earl Boykins, and the same height…

No, in fact IQ correlates more with child to adoptive parents than it does with their biological parents.
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