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Delta Variant

unchartedterritories.tomaspueyo.com

441–442 of 442 posts

Re: Delta Variant

#441

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The amount of cognitive dissonance here is intense. >I can only make this decision based on my own research. >Unfortunately I am not qualified to interpret the data meaningfully, You do your own research but admit that you are unqualified to do that research. > and I truly believe that if there was data suggesting that the vaccine was equally dangerous to the virus, it would be suppressed. You believe institutions ar…

> Nothing about your youth or fitness reduces your risk of transmitting this virus. This one surprised me. Doesn't the length of time you are symptomatic, and the viral load you're carrying, affect how likely you are to transmit the virus to others? That was my understanding, along with young fit people having shorter, milder bouts.

Not sure about the exact answer but wanted to note:

> Doesn't the length of time you are symptomatic... affect how likely you are to transmit the virus to others?

Infected people transmit the virus for a number of days prior to when they first (or ever) show systems.

Edit: following up, I found a recent study[1] that used a pretty extensive contact tracing effort to find

> Most transmission events occurred during the pre-symptomatic phase (59.2%). SARS-CoV-2 susceptibility to infection increases with age, while transmissibility is not significantly different between age groups and between symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals.

Your likelihood to become infected does depend on your age, but once you are infected your likelihood to transmit the virus is the same as everyone else's.

1. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-21710-6

Re: Delta Variant

#442
post #124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> wreaking havoc VS > the # of hospitalizations have stayed low Who shall I believe?

Check back in a week ;) The spike in cases is very recent, most hospitalizations occur between 3-10 days of onset. [1] reports 31 hospitalizations yesterday (preliminary), a 3-fold increase over last-week's average. [1] https://coronadashboard.rijksoverheid.nl/landelijk/ziekenhui...

5 deaths yesterday, for reference.
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