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u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

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441–450 of 554 posts

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#441
post #414

Earlier quoted context omitted.

After the sell-off, there’s a lot of cash (yes even more) washing around right? It has to go somewhere , and so it will come back into securities in probably a few weeks or max, months. The value represented isn’t exactly disappearing it’s still in the ‘system’. So why is a crash in equities prices such a big deal?

Money isn't conserved in the same way that matter is. Right now the market cap of gamestop is $22B, which is calculated by multiplying the share price times the number of outstanding shares. If some news comes out over the weekend that causes people to value the stock lower, we could see the first trade at $33/share instead of $330/share. $20B of money just disappears. It never really existed in the first place.

Right. At the same time, there would be a net loss of value because any shorts who were margin called on GME's meteoric rise will have blown up. Their investors will have lost (possibly all their) money at the same time retail investors found their asks unfulfilled at $330 because the bids crash landed at $33.

In this scenario both the short funds and the retail investors are fucked. A select few retail investors and some of the momentum-trading quants do well. But the majority of the money on either side just evaporates - rapidly.

In a more distant but plausible scenario, this hits a bunch of funds across a bunch of tickers, and it goes systemic. They liquidate their longs trying to survive, and when it's not enough it rolls up into their brokers who are left holding the bag.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#442
post #340

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The overall market is stressed, things are getting weird and I would not be surprised if this is the beginning of another stock market crash. GME short interest was still greater 100% of shares outstanding as of 1pm 1/29 (S3 Shortsight numbers). If forced to cover, short holders will have to liquidate other assets. Could those liquidations force more liquidations in a positive feedback loop? Hopefully no, but certa…

Short interest is high, but AFAIK, none of the reporting tells you what price the shorts sold for. If the shorts from $20 all got out, and you're seeing new shorts that got in wednesday, the dynamic is much different.

Is there any way to know if that has happened? I imagine if a big player knew this or it leaked from a credible source, the stock could crash.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#443
post #320

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The overall market is stressed, things are getting weird and I would not be surprised if this is the beginning of another stock market crash. GME short interest was still greater 100% of shares outstanding as of 1pm 1/29 (S3 Shortsight numbers). If forced to cover, short holders will have to liquidate other assets. Could those liquidations force more liquidations in a positive feedback loop? Hopefully no, but certa…

There is nothing special about being short more than 100%, they short shares that are borrowed multiple times. But it also means the “long” interest is more than 200%. Even if you own equivalent of 100% of float there are still other shares that can be used to cover. The only issue starts if someone has lent out more than 100% of float and tries to simultaneously recall all of them.

It does create an issue for the company of the stock, though.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#444

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No I’m not joking, nor am I harming my future. I don’t have to make an optimal amount of growth on my savings to afford my retirement. There is no harm in owning less money then if I had used them to swindle more workers out of their profits on the open markets. In fact, every dollar you make as a result of not working is a dollar somebody else worked for and didn’t get. You are harming workers by earning money on th…

I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a comment.

If you make money on trades and then spend it on food, it certainly does seem like some kind of magic trick to me. Whatever money you earned must have been lost by someone else. Or does the amount of money increase when stocks go up?

Whatever the confusion is, I have it too.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#445

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Statistically, in a zero sum game, where all players are equally skilled and the winner of each transaction is determined at random. The more transaction made, the more the wealth accumulates. What this means is, that unless you are already one of the richest person on the stock markets, your most likely outcome is that you will loose money by participating. So—unless you are already rich—your optimal strategy is not…

The stock market--just like the economy--is not a zero-sum game. I don't know what to tell you. The S&P500 over the long term has consistently performed quite well, for many decades. Maybe if your picture of participating in the stock market involves day trading, sure, statistically the majority of people who try will break even or come out with a loss. But that's not what financial advisers recommend average people…

Is there any particular reason to believe that financial advisors' advice for average people is in their best interest? (The average people that is)

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#446
post #115
post #89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Trying to figure out the "fundamental" value of anything is a fools errand. Im not saying GME wont drop eventually but there is no value on fundamentals of everything. Look at all the short-sellers of TSLA who made the same mistake. These companies are valued on what the market decides and we all know "The market is irrational".

Wsb can remain irrational longer than the market can remain solvent. That was a comment by a poster which I find funny.

Not quite accurate.

It's - WSB can remain retarded longer than you can remain solvent.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#447
post #236

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why is adding an incentive mechanism to "pinning" files on IPFS inherently wrong? If you find the right incentives to a tech problem, that pushes the tech forward right? Like Satoshi Nakomoto putting together the right type of incentive to be able to create an almost unhackable network in Bitcoin (along with Ethereum and others). I'm not yet saying that Protocol Labs will ultimately find the success they're looking f…

It's not dismissive. They already got their money. $257 million, to be exact. No one knows how Filecoin is going to make money except for Protocol Labs.

By providing value, therefore driving up the market price of the integral reward. Currently at $22, not bad for a random coin.

I.e, the value of the coin is driven by the interest in the tech it provides.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#448

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I hope one day we will see an IPFS link

https://ipfs.io/ipfs/QmTW7sdBbZ1BXau8Cmrpv5srf38GZi1AiWWBBkv... There you go. It's not perfect though because a lot of the links still point to live assets. But it captured the important bits.

Just a tip, I find the cloudflare ipfs gateway to be a lot quicker. Only need to change the domain name of the link. eg.

https://cloudflare-ipfs.com/ipfs/QmTW7sdBbZ1BXau8Cmrpv5srf38...

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#449
post #430

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you honestly believe that these are equivalent? Or are you just arguing in bad faith? I’m gonna assume the former and explain the difference. The interest you are paying when you take out a loan is a) compensating the creditor for money lost because of inflation, and b) paying for a service. The bank/credit union at the same time will at the same time a) compensate for inflation and b) reward savings accounts for…

It’s odd to me that you see the mutually beneficial transaction there but not in the stock market. I will state this once as simply as I can: stock market investors are rewarded for funding companies by taking on that risk in hopes that the companies they invest in produce a profit. It is overwhelmingly similar to the process you are describing with your credit union, but in a much more distributed way. > Workers don…

If I buy a stock of a company, how is that funding the company? Only the previous holder of the stock gets the money.

Re: u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

#450

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Basically applies to all media and startups.

How does it apply to all media?

Anyone who commands any appreciable number of eyeballs can parlay this into money and/or power. This has been true basically forever.
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