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US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

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Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#431
post #370

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The puppet couldn't even get Ukraine to surrender so idk how effective that's been

Removing sanctions on Russian oil, destroying America's standing in the world, humiliating Zelensky in the White House, holding a summit with Putin in Alaska, discrediting the interference in US elections, etc., etc. But you're probably right, an actual puppet wouldn't be so blatantly obvious about working for Putin. Edit: I know you'll be surprised but the current administration still hasn't spent the $400M allocate…

And despite all that Ukraine is holding and even accelerating the attrition of Russian soldiers and is destroying vast Russian oil infrastructure.

Interesting for someone you think won the cold war!

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#432
post #427
post #377

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Besides inflation, American has other problems like running out of missiles and bombs. This war is about attrition, and American weapons are being attrited faster than Iranian ones. The US doesn't need to fire more missiles, it just needs to blockade the strait and force Iran to cap its wells. > The war is not over, but I would not count out the Iranians going for another strategic goal not mentioned in the GP post…

Re: "I think Trump has already conceded the midterms. He's a lame duck president anyways so it's not his mess to clean up" - this is not a serious comment. Anyone on this planet remotely connected to daily news knows this is not the truth.

Well the Iran war's been going on for nigh 2 months now. By and large the long term ramifications set in around 2 weeks after the start, and everyone was very vocal that this would happen. A president who cared about the midterms and the next election would've pulled out, but Trump stayed in. He knows how unpopular the war is, he knows the effects on gas and the market predictions on the midterms, yet he stays in. That doesn't strike me as someone who puts political future above all else.

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#433
post #432
post #427

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Re: "I think Trump has already conceded the midterms. He's a lame duck president anyways so it's not his mess to clean up" - this is not a serious comment. Anyone on this planet remotely connected to daily news knows this is not the truth.

Well the Iran war's been going on for nigh 2 months now. By and large the long term ramifications set in around 2 weeks after the start, and everyone was very vocal that this would happen. A president who cared about the midterms and the next election would've pulled out, but Trump stayed in. He knows how unpopular the war is, he knows the effects on gas and the market predictions on the midterms, yet he stays in. Th…

> That doesn't strike me as someone who puts political future above all else.

He has no political future. He pillaged the country as best he could (top notch performance so far) and will continue to do so for the next 3 years and then off to Mar-a-Largo or wherever to live out the few remaining years he's got left

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#434
post #432
post #427

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Re: "I think Trump has already conceded the midterms. He's a lame duck president anyways so it's not his mess to clean up" - this is not a serious comment. Anyone on this planet remotely connected to daily news knows this is not the truth.

Well the Iran war's been going on for nigh 2 months now. By and large the long term ramifications set in around 2 weeks after the start, and everyone was very vocal that this would happen. A president who cared about the midterms and the next election would've pulled out, but Trump stayed in. He knows how unpopular the war is, he knows the effects on gas and the market predictions on the midterms, yet he stays in. Th…

(I am not sure if you argue for the sake of arguing, or something worse. In any case, this is the last time I reply to you. Feel free to have the last word).

What you wrote would make sense if Trump would be driven by rationale. But as everyone who has seen a news program in the past 12 months knows, Trump is driven by vanity and greed. Because of vanity and greed he will do whatever he can to win the midterms. Including doing all he can to gerrymander the red states to get more votes in the House.

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#435
post #431

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Removing sanctions on Russian oil, destroying America's standing in the world, humiliating Zelensky in the White House, holding a summit with Putin in Alaska, discrediting the interference in US elections, etc., etc. But you're probably right, an actual puppet wouldn't be so blatantly obvious about working for Putin. Edit: I know you'll be surprised but the current administration still hasn't spent the $400M allocate…

And despite all that Ukraine is holding and even accelerating the attrition of Russian soldiers and is destroying vast Russian oil infrastructure. Interesting for someone you think won the cold war!

Looks like Biden got just enough javelins out the door before the puppet was in power. Phew!

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#436

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you're misinterpreting me. The overall inflation increase attributed to food and fuel increases is 1%.

I still don't think that's right. You have food and fuel, which is some fraction of the economy - call that F. You have a rate of inflation in fuel and food - call that f. And you have a rate of inflation in everything else - call that e. Then you have 3.8 = e(1-F) + fF. You also have e = 2.8. I think what you're claiming is that fF = 1.0, so that e(1-F) = 2.8. And I think that's wrong. When they say inflation apart…

You're over complicating it because you don't need rates within subcategories when looking at the whole - e is given and f is useless.

3.8 - 2.8 = 1

The overall inflation is 3.8. Overall inflation without food and fuel is 2.8. The overall inflation attributable to food and fuel must then be 1 (this is different than rste of inflation within food and fuel as a category, f).

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#437
post #32

I can't think of a single way in which the United States came out ahead in the war. We have * Demonstrated that the US simply can't offer any meaningful security guarantee to it's middle east partners. * Permanently ceded de facto control over the straits of Hormuz to Iran * Significantly strengthened the hardliners in the Iranian regime and cleared the way for them to have absolute power by eliminating all moderates…

> middle east partners Well, European partners are looking, too - and they are drawing logical conclusions, such as producing more interceptors locally rather than wait years for the first batches of PAC-3.

I suspect Europe is looking at Ukraine mass producing enough $2K drones to bring the Russia to its senses, and thinking the worlds next big advanced arms supplier is right next door. And unlike the USA, is grateful for the EU's continued support in their hour of need.

Just like renewables, EV's and a lot of other technologies, the expensive toys the US arms producers are hawking are starting to look like relic from another era.

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#438
post #32

I can't think of a single way in which the United States came out ahead in the war. We have * Demonstrated that the US simply can't offer any meaningful security guarantee to it's middle east partners. * Permanently ceded de facto control over the straits of Hormuz to Iran * Significantly strengthened the hardliners in the Iranian regime and cleared the way for them to have absolute power by eliminating all moderates…

Such a bizarrely unnecessary loss of money, lives, etc...

Well for everyone but maybe Trump:

https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/255784560904773633

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#439
post #32

I can't think of a single way in which the United States came out ahead in the war. We have * Demonstrated that the US simply can't offer any meaningful security guarantee to it's middle east partners. * Permanently ceded de facto control over the straits of Hormuz to Iran * Significantly strengthened the hardliners in the Iranian regime and cleared the way for them to have absolute power by eliminating all moderates…

The saving grace is that China (well modern living CCP members) have never had an armed conflict. China's military ranks are people who got there by playing politics and bending exercises to their benefit rather than showing battlefield competence. There are no war vets or experienced players. So while they might have incredible man power and manufacturing capability, everyone in that first battle will be seeing batt…

China did send "observers" from state TV at the start of russian war in Ukraine.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/16/im-on-the-fron...

Afaik official pro russian Chinese TV report broadcasts stopped abruptly when their team got a front view of a tank turret toss on a road 100km away from official front.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/russian-tank-blown-up-...

After that they kept quiet recording tactics and occasionally producing some russia propaganda like this gem https://news.rthk.hk/rthk/en/component/k2/1810903-20250627.h... where dude on a front line in full camo complains being mistaken for a soldier.

Re: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

#440
post #284

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you're going to get technical, you need to pick apart the AUMF for Iraq. In any case, I personally don't think the US interventions in Bosnia or Haiti rose to the level of the colloquial understanding of "no more wars." This is to the extent that the public of 2024 was even broadly aware of those interventions. Major point is this: in the last 50 years, every GOP president has started a trillion-dollar boondoggle…

> Democratic presidents have initiated e.g. peacekeeping missions or the like with definite endpoints and missions. You can play word games all you want, this is what people care about: https://dcas.dmdc.osd.mil/dcas/app/summaryData/deaths/byYear...

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