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Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

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Re: Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

#431

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just offering normal jobs would generally be fine, doing a big group deal that also comes with IP licensing would generally not be fine. I'm not going to try to give you the exact line. > In other words, you do want the government to force employees to stay at a company when they could get a better offer? > Isn’t that what we wanted to prevent with outlawing non competes? That's way too general. You could use that sa…

So the law is now that they can’t license the technology to companies that higher former employees? You don’t see what kind of Kafkaesque mess these proposed laws are creating? Who are we benefiting again?

The benefit is the same kind as from blocking a very small fraction of acquisitions. If you don't think the existing rules there are kafkaesque, then the small expansion shouldn't be a huge change. If you do, I'm not the person to argue with.

And these rules would very rarely come into effect.

Re: Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

#432

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So the law is now that they can’t license the technology to companies that higher former employees? You don’t see what kind of Kafkaesque mess these proposed laws are creating? Who are we benefiting again?

The benefit is the same kind as from blocking a very small fraction of acquisitions. If you don't think the existing rules there are kafkaesque, then the small expansion shouldn't be a huge change. If you do, I'm not the person to argue with. And these rules would very rarely come into effect.

It’s the same for who? The employees? The company that is not allowed to make money by licensing it technology?

Re: Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

#433

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The benefit is the same kind as from blocking a very small fraction of acquisitions. If you don't think the existing rules there are kafkaesque, then the small expansion shouldn't be a huge change. If you do, I'm not the person to argue with. And these rules would very rarely come into effect.

It’s the same for who? The employees? The company that is not allowed to make money by licensing it technology?

If you don't understand why acquisitions might be blocked and the benefit of it then I'm not going to be the one to explain it.

I'm not here to defend the entire edifice of the FTC having control over acquisitions. I'm here to say that when they have that control, it should also include almost-but-not-quite-acquisitions.

Re: Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

#434

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s the same for who? The employees? The company that is not allowed to make money by licensing it technology?

If you don't understand why acquisitions might be blocked and the benefit of it then I'm not going to be the one to explain it. I'm not here to defend the entire edifice of the FTC having control over acquisitions. I'm here to say that when they have that control, it should also include almost-but-not-quite-acquisitions.

But you aren’t arguing about acquisitions. You are specifically saying that a company shouldn’t be allowed to license IP, shouldn’t be allowed to acquire the company and shouldn’t be allowed to hire the employees or some combination.

You specifically said that in some cases if a company hired employees it should then be prevented from licensing the technology

And still haven’t given a good reason why it shouldn’t.

The “bad” acquisition is usually considered Instagram . But who cares if a toxic social media site acquires another one? Who was harmed?

Re: Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

#435

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you don't understand why acquisitions might be blocked and the benefit of it then I'm not going to be the one to explain it. I'm not here to defend the entire edifice of the FTC having control over acquisitions. I'm here to say that when they have that control, it should also include almost-but-not-quite-acquisitions.

But you aren’t arguing about acquisitions. You are specifically saying that a company shouldn’t be allowed to license IP, shouldn’t be allowed to acquire the company and shouldn’t be allowed to hire the employees or some combination. You specifically said that in some cases if a company hired employees it should then be prevented from licensing the technology And still haven’t given a good reason why it shouldn’t. Th…

I'm saying that what google did is effectively an acquisition except it broke the equity and it avoided regulation.

You keep making examples that are less clear-cut, but whatever I agree there are things a company can do that aren't effectively acquisitions. I'm not saying how to write the rule, I'm just saying google is on the wrong side.

> You are specifically saying that a company shouldn’t be allowed to license IP, shouldn’t be allowed to acquire the company and shouldn’t be allowed to hire the employees or some combination.

They're totally allowed to acquire the company... as long as the FTC doesn't say no. And they can do lots of those other things too.

I don't know how you got the impression that I think acquisitions should be blocked more than a fraction of a percent of the time.

Even further, google SHOULD have acquired the company instead of doing what they did.

Re: Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

#436
post #386

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Private cartels are just bad governments with even less accountability or incentive to be efficient . It's kind of six of one, half a dozen of the other. You can't vote out a monopolist, but unless there is a law against competing with them, there is a threshold for how bad they can get before somebody actually does. The problem is that threshold can be way past the point of anywhere you want to be. Whereas governm…

> but unless there is a law against competing with them Ah, but that is why the monopoly uses its considerable resources to lobby passing laws that at least make it more difficult for someone to compete with them.

And then we're back to "the government should be restrained from passing that sort of economic regulation because otherwise that's what happens".

Re: Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

#437

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe that has something to do with the incumbents (and the laws) making it hard for them to build a sustainable independent new business.

So in what world are startups going to have the funding or the infrastructure to have warehouses worldwide to compete with Amazon or servers to compete with AWS? Or in Google’s case the infrastructure to design custom processors with the demand to actually buy enough slots from TSMC to make it affordable? You can’t make laws to undue scale efficiencies. A startup isn’t going to make a phone in their garage to compete…

> So in what world are startups going to have the funding or the infrastructure to have warehouses worldwide to compete with Amazon or servers to compete with AWS?

In a competitive market you don't have that. Instead of a massive conglomerate having a warehouse in every region, Alice, Bob and Carol each have a warehouse near New York, Dan, Erin and Frank have one near Houston, etc., and then a dozen independent aggregators each negotiate with a warehouse in each region to store goods for anyone who wants to offer fast delivery everywhere.

Meanwhile doing that, whether you're Amazon or not, is inefficient for anything that doesn't need to be delivered on short notice. If you have a recurring subscription to get a box of toiletries every month, it doesn't matter if it arrives on the 17th because they mailed it from a local warehouse on the 16th or a centralized warehouse on the 10th, and delivery companies offer discounts if you palletize shipments based on region even if they come from a central location, which removes the cost of having local warehouses for those regions.

> Or in Google’s case the infrastructure to design custom processors with the demand to actually buy enough slots from TSMC to make it affordable?

If there is aggregate demand for those processors then you sell them to the other people who want them regardless of whether they're within the same corporation, and then they don't have to be.

> You can’t make laws to undue scale efficiencies. A startup isn’t going to make a phone in their garage to compete with Apple no matter what magically thinking they have about the government passing laws.

The defect is in expecting one entity to make the entire phone.

One company makes a screen, one makes a battery, one designs a processor, another fabs it, another makes memory, another makes the OS (or it's open source), another lays out the system board to integrate the various components, another does final assembly, etc.

When you don't require the whole thing to be done under the same umbrella it doesn't take a trillion dollar company to do any given piece.

> Most startups can’t even pay the wages of a mid level employee at BigTech company that has been out of school for three years.

Suppose phone components were easily available as a fungible commodity, and had standardized interfaces so that integrating them was only a modest amount of work, i.e. a year of effort for a full-time engineer. Then you get a phone which sells as an also-ran -- a million units a year for three years, less than 0.5% of Apple's sales volume. The phone sells for $250, less than the cheapest new iPhone, and 0.5% of the retail price goes to pay the engineer.

Then they'd be making $3.75M for that year of work. Those numbers could be off by 10 fold and still be a competitive salary.

Except that the market is too concentrated and the standards don't exist, which means it's not that easy as things are now.

> Just like any other industry, if a startup can’t afford the free market price of labor, that’s a them problem.

The issue is, is it a free market, or a captured one?

Re: Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

#438

I think the Figma IPO proves Khan was right. $60B market cap today vs the $20B Adobe offered in 2023. There was some criticism about regulatory overreach when the deal got blocked. Now Figma employees are rich, the design tools market stays competitive, and we have another major independent tech company instead of just another Adobe product line. This is exactly why we need regulators willing to tell Big Tech "no" so…

It's 43 already. Let's look at their first quarterly call.

Re: Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

#439

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But you aren’t arguing about acquisitions. You are specifically saying that a company shouldn’t be allowed to license IP, shouldn’t be allowed to acquire the company and shouldn’t be allowed to hire the employees or some combination. You specifically said that in some cases if a company hired employees it should then be prevented from licensing the technology And still haven’t given a good reason why it shouldn’t. Th…

I'm saying that what google did is effectively an acquisition except it broke the equity and it avoided regulation. You keep making examples that are less clear-cut, but whatever I agree there are things a company can do that aren't effectively acquisitions. I'm not saying how to write the rule, I'm just saying google is on the wrong side. > You are specifically saying that a company shouldn’t be allowed to license I…

The FTC caused this issue with over regulation and by creating an environment of fear that every acquisition is going to be scrutinized.

Google had no fiduciary duty to do what’s in the best interest of WindSurf’s investors.

Google had every right to give the WindSurf employees offers to leave. The employees had every right to accept the offers. There is no world where the government should have been involved in that part.

At that point, the Windsurf equity owners had two choices - either not license or license.

Which part should have been illegal? The FTC could have said “Google you can’t both get the employees and license the IP”. Google would have said “fine, we will just hire the talent and have them create something similar”. Windsurf would have been worse off.

Alternatively, Google could license the technology. Then the employees could say I would rather just work for Google. Would you then be okay with enforcing non competes even though they are currently illegal in California?

There is no law that you can come up with that doesn’t make it worse for both the employees and Windsurf.

We actually saw something like that happen between Microsoft and OpenAI during the Altman fiasco. Microsoft had already licensed the technology and Altman was going to go to Microsoft and take OpenAI’s best people with him. Should the government have stepped in then and told Microsoft they can’t hire OpenAI employees?

Re: Lina Khan points to Figma IPO as vindication of M&A scrutiny

#440

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If it was known that Figma was worth more than Adobe was willing to pay, then why did Figma take the deal?

I think it's reasonable to formulate this as two outcomes (Figma independent and Figma bought by Adobe) and each firm's preferences. From Adobe's standpoint, outcome A has huge tail risk (Figma innovates and eats Adobe's business) so paying a lot for outcome B might be ok. From Figma's POV, they aren't really helped by that tail as much as Adobe is hurt by it (either way they're rich, unless they crash out and become…

But high IPO prices is evidence against the idea that Adobe was willing to overpay for Figma due to downside risk to Adobe that is not matched by upside benefit to Figma!
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