> You'll know AGI is here when the exercise of creating tasks that are easy for regular humans but hard for AI becomes simply impossible.
That's the most plausible definition of AGI i've read so far.
OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
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Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#432It is not exactly AGI but huge step toward it. I would expect this step in 2028-2030. I cant really understand why people are happy with it, this technology is so dangerous that can disrupt whole society. It's neither like smartphone nor internet. What will happen to 3rd world countries. Lots of unsolved questions and world is not prepared for such a change. Lots of people will lose their jobs I am not even mentionin…
> What will happen to 3rd world countries Probably less disruption than will happen in 1st world countries. > No one will have chance to be rich anymore It's strange to reach this conclusion from "look, a massive new productivity increase".
It is not strange at all, a very big motivation of spending billions in AI research is basically to remove what is called "skill premium" from the labor market. That "skill premium" was usually how people got richer than their fathers.
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#433We're speaking recently a lot about ecology. I wonder how much CO2 is emitted during such a task, as additional cost to the cloud. I'm concerned, because greedy companies will happily replace humans with AI and they will probably plant a few trees to show how they care. But energy does not come from the sun, at least not always and not everywhere... And speaking with AI customer specialist that is motivated to reject…
considering the fact that these systems, or their ancestors, will likely contribute to Nuclear Fusion research -- it's prob worth the tradeoff, provided progress continues to push price (and, therefore, energy usage) down.
If we feel like we've really "hit the ceiling" RE efficiency, then that's a different story, but I don't think anyone believes this at this time.
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#434I just want it to do my laundry.
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#435> You'll know AGI is here when the exercise of creating tasks that are easy for regular humans but hard for AI becomes simply impossible. That's the most plausible definition of AGI i've read so far.
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Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#436We're speaking recently a lot about ecology. I wonder how much CO2 is emitted during such a task, as additional cost to the cloud. I'm concerned, because greedy companies will happily replace humans with AI and they will probably plant a few trees to show how they care. But energy does not come from the sun, at least not always and not everywhere... And speaking with AI customer specialist that is motivated to reject…
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Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#437> You'll know AGI is here when the exercise of creating tasks that are easy for regular humans but hard for AI becomes simply impossible. That's the most plausible definition of AGI i've read so far.
That's a pretty dark view of humanity and human intelligence. We're defined by the tasks we can do?
Instrumental reason FTW
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#438> You'll know AGI is here when the exercise of creating tasks that are easy for regular humans but hard for AI becomes simply impossible. That's the most plausible definition of AGI i've read so far.
That's a pretty dark view of humanity and human intelligence. We're defined by the tasks we can do? Instrumental reason FTW
That implies that human intelligence is equivalent to AGI.
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#439Let me go against some skeptics and explain why I think full o3 is pretty much AGI or at least embodies most essential aspects of AGI. What has been lacking so far in frontier LLMs is the ability to reliably deal with the right level of abstraction for a given problem. Reasoning is useful but often comes out lacking if one cannot reason at the right level of abstraction. (Note that many humans can't either when they…
In order to replace actual humans doing their job I think LLMs are lacking in judgement, sense of time and agenticism.
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#440It sucks that I would love to be excited about this... but I mostly feel anxiety and sadness.
Humanity is about to enter an even steeper hockey stick growth curve. Progressing along the Kardashev scale feels all but inevitable. We will live to see Longevity Escape Velocity. I'm fucking pumped and feel thrilled and excited and proud of our species. Sure, there will be growing pains, friction, etc. Who cares? There always is with world-changing tech. Always.
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