431–440 of 855 posts
Jan Leike has said he's leaving too https://twitter.com/janleike/status/1790603862132596961
There goes the so called superalignment: Ilya Jan Leike William Saunders Leopold Aschenbrenner All gone
“I think AGI will probably be here by 2029, and could indeed arrive this year”
Kokotajlo too.
We are so fucked
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He showed exceptionally bad judgement, judgement is perhaps the most important characteristic of high level employees. He's brilliant, which means someone will take a leap of faith, but he badly, badly damaged his brand as a leader going forward.
Bad judgement? Sam Altman is a prolific liar who attempted to oust a board member by spreading different lies to different people. He's not even an engineer! He has established a cult of personality and popularity, and that's it. They were absolutely right to try to oust him. The only mistake was in doing so in such a ham-fisted manner.
> Sam Altman is a prolific liar who attempted to oust a board member by spreading different lies to different people
Correct, it would be bad judgement. Because if he really believe in that statement, that Sam Altman is a hyper competent liar and manipulator, doing what Ilya did just led to Sam getting the keys to the kingdom.
This shows extraordinary incompetence from him and the rest of the board.
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And none of them build AI companies in Toronto. I’m Canadian and disappointed at how ineffective we are at building successful companies.
Yeah Canada just spends a ton of taxpayer money to create great institutions like U of T and Waterloo, so that their graduates can all go to Silicon Valley and make 2-3x the money.
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What? How is this not saying "Well, it might be in the best interests of humanity for OpenAI to do [hypothetical thing that seems pretty bad that OpenAI has never suggested to do], and because they may consider doing said thing, we shouldn't trust them"?
I think OP is just pointing out that "acting in the best interests of humanity" is fairly ambiguous and leaves enough room for interpretation and spin to cover any number of sins.
Ilya will literally have a blank check from almost all the VC's in the industry.
Well, no. No VC who wants anything to do with OpenAI would invest in Ilya. Ilya represents the anti-OpenAI ethos. So it would only be a VC who would be comfortable publicly being an anti-OpenAI VC, which is not that many.
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10B$ says you're wrong.
10B is going to old mates mates. No new startups are getting it. It's also like pulling teeth trying to explain to people that if we don't offer compensation commensurate with what they get in the US people will just leave for the US. There is some form of brain damage where even people who know how to code assume that because you can get a crud developer for $80k a year you should get an AI researcher for $150,000.…
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There goes the so called superalignment: Ilya Jan Leike William Saunders Leopold Aschenbrenner All gone
Daniel “Quit OpenAI due to losing confidence that it would behave responsibly around the time of AGI” “I think AGI will probably be here by 2029, and could indeed arrive this year” Kokotajlo too. We are so fucked
I really, really doubt that transformers will become AGI. Maybe I am wrong, I am no expert in this field, but I would love to understand the reasoning behind this "could arrive this year", because it reminds me about coldfusion :X
edit: maybe the term has changed again. AGI to me means truly understanding, maybe even some kind of consciousness, but not just probability... when I explain something, I have understood it. It's not that I have soaked up so many books that I can just use a probabilistic function to "guess" which word should come next.
Why now?