Earlier quoted context omitted.
Gold does not have inherent value either. It's price is determined purely by a market and there are no other pricing mechanisms. You can't use discounted cash flow. You can't use comparables. You can use raw materials. It's a straight up rock that people price.
It's still an actual rock though. Cryptocurrency is less then that . Cryptocurrency is expended energy. You can't use a cryptohash for anything . Whereas I can melt down gold and make earings with it.
Crypto crash deepens, stocks slip
431–440 of 688 posts
Re: Crypto crash deepens, stocks slip
#432Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Bitcoin pricing is on a log scale. Dropping to $36k from $50k is not a concern on this scale. What is that even supposed to mean?
This has to be one of the funniest financial things I've heard. "Uhhh, you know when your account dropped 50%? Actually that is only like 10% if you pretend it's a log scale." Unfortunately for them, USD is not on a log scale and they'll be disappointed to discover that when they try to cash out.
I'm talking about long term positions. Cost averaging over time means you are immune to such a massive swing.
Re: Crypto crash deepens, stocks slip
#433Earlier quoted context omitted.
Thats the thing, they arent currencies, they are assets that can act like currencies when convenient.
> hey arent currencies, they are assets The irony here of course is that the only way that Crypto currencies would meet any standard definition of an asset would be if they were functioning currencies. Going with Investopedia's straightforward definition "An asset is a resource with economic value", how is a non-currency crypto coin in any way a resource or possess economic value?
Re: Crypto crash deepens, stocks slip
#434Earlier quoted context omitted.
To me, the argument that fixed supply is a good thing has always been worrisome. People just parrot that viewpoint without asking whether some amount of Keynesian economics is useful, because you know, government is evil. It got us out of the Great Recession and it’s been 12 years. Maybe the consequences haven’t fully manifest, but another Great Depression would have been guaranteed hell.
>People just parrot that viewpoint without asking whether some amount of Keynesian economics is useful, because you know, government is evil. This just isn't an accurate portrayal of any of the serious criticisms of Keynesian economics. >It got us out of the Great Recession and it’s been 12 years. Maybe the consequences haven’t fully manifest, but another Great Depression would have been guaranteed hell. It feels lik…
I will take this opportunity to throw this link up: https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2018/11/how-expensive-is-it-...
Re: Crypto crash deepens, stocks slip
#435Earlier quoted context omitted.
But when other vehicles give you 2x in a week while the index a mere .5% the angle changes. It really depends on what the appetite for risk really is.
bitcoin never went up 2x in a week except before 2013 . bitcoin hardly done much since jan 2018.
Re: Crypto crash deepens, stocks slip
#436Earlier quoted context omitted.
Is tether even a Ponzi scheme? My understanding is that returns are 0. And it's "pegged" to dollar, so you can't even make any money by buying it... Ponzi scheme would mean that some investors were getting returns...
Its a fraud in that the money/gold/intrinsic fiat that is supposed to be backing it has not been credibly proven to exist, at least at a value matching the current amount of USDT in supply. --- Let's say I decide to make NerdBucks. I offer to sell you n NerdBucks for n dollars, 1-to-1, and tell you I will always buy those NerdBucks back at the same price. This is how NerdBucks get "pegged" to a dollar -- if someone w…
I'm in general just against using Ponzi scheme to describe things that are not systems where previous investors are promised and paid profits with later investors money.
BTC is bubble or mania. But not really Ponzi. Tether is even less so, it's carnival token...
Re: Crypto crash deepens, stocks slip
#437Re: Crypto crash deepens, stocks slip
#438I don't know why, it is probably highly irrational, but I always rejoice when the Bitcoin crashes.
I mean the technology is highly damaging to society in a whole bunch of ways, damaging the environment, supporting fraud and ransomware, used for money laundering, funding crime, and if it gets integrated into the financial system like some want it to be, it could even destroy human civilization: https://benoitessiambre.com/specter.html (even Douglas Adams tried to warn us 40 years ago). So it's a relief when it look…
I think blockchains (esp. programmable ones) have or will have significant real value in making markets more efficient and transactions lower friction, but right now blind speculation is driving 99% of the market. IMO while this brings lots of useful funding to speed along development, it could also endanger the true purpose of the tech.
Re: Crypto crash deepens, stocks slip
#439Earlier quoted context omitted.
Bitcoin & Ether are both down -40% from a week to a month ago. Both of those are, in theory, large enough that investors "letting off some steam" shouldn't move them that much. If $SPY dropped 40% we'd all call it a crash. This isn't that different. Also unlike the stock market, crypto is under the delusion of being a viable currency. If USD or Euro dropped even 20% we'd start questioning if it's a recession, much le…
It doesn't seem like anyone believes cryptos are supposed to be currencies any more. All the talk around them is around them being a new, exciting, and potentially very lucrative investment class. If you go to Coinbase's front page, you see that you can buy and sell them, like you can with Robinhood. It's not trying to be a PayPal. The currency-ness does serve an important purpose. It helps bring in investment for th…
Re: Crypto crash deepens, stocks slip
#440Earlier quoted context omitted.
You know... what I am curious, does this logic make sense? Why wouldn't a given % be allocated to lotto tickets?! Quite curious from a risk/reward portfolio formula.
The argument to not buy lottery tickets, is if you have no need of the return so it's not worth giving up the 5% of your portfolio that could be reliably generating returns for you. Software engineers for example are easily capable of reliably earning six figures in the US, outside of the Bay Area. With stock compensation their earnings potential is that much higher. It's a solid multi-millionaire track if you grind…