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The political case for a blanket cryptocurrency ban

stephendiehl.com

431–440 of 630 posts

Re: The political case for a blanket cryptocurrency ban

#431

This article seems to intentionally ignore the core reason for cryptocurrencies; escaping inflation and control. The article then proposes to use the law to bring those people back within the control of fiat and government oversight. I no longer think the environmental argument is really plausible here. Clearly crypto mining is emitting using a lot of power and some of that is CO2. But the competition is fiat; backed…

>And if you want to contest ownership there's no one to invade, no one to attack; the best you can do is make a fleet and try to mine

Or with all the mining concentrated in China, you can, as the Chinese government, take state ownership of all those miners and don't have to spend a jet or nuke to do it.

Re: The political case for a blanket cryptocurrency ban

#432

This article seems to intentionally ignore the core reason for cryptocurrencies; escaping inflation and control. The article then proposes to use the law to bring those people back within the control of fiat and government oversight. I no longer think the environmental argument is really plausible here. Clearly crypto mining is emitting using a lot of power and some of that is CO2. But the competition is fiat; backed…

This is pretty damn incoherent. > the core reason for cryptocurrencies; escaping inflation and control Maybe in a whitepaper. In the real world, it's mostly about speculation and enabling crime. > Law and order stands on the backs of a lot of stuff and CO2. Bitcoin is an example of one little piece of this not needing all that stuff. Ok...? This is nonsensical. > Instead it's protected by this mining fleet. And if yo…

>enabling crime.

Is this about DNMs? Because last I checked their volume is tiny.

Re: The political case for a blanket cryptocurrency ban

#433
post #333

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've contemplated the idea of a coin that has a single wallet per person (sybil-proof identities must be implemented), these wallets have a max-limit of 1 billion coins, and coins are minted/staked and applied randomly to the lowest 5%, maybe it'd have a use-it-or-lose-it thing built in as well, where if you just sit on your coins and never have any transactions occur it just assumes you might be a "dead" account and…

> (sybil-proof identities must be implemented), I stopped reading at this point.

Just solve this one intractable problem and everything else is easy.

Re: The political case for a blanket cryptocurrency ban

#434

This article seems to intentionally ignore the core reason for cryptocurrencies; escaping inflation and control. The article then proposes to use the law to bring those people back within the control of fiat and government oversight. I no longer think the environmental argument is really plausible here. Clearly crypto mining is emitting using a lot of power and some of that is CO2. But the competition is fiat; backed…

First, I'd like to really understand why people say crypto "escapes inflation". The only argument has been the artificial scarcity mechanisms built in the currency. Scarcity is a seasoning to the concept of value, not the main course. I don't know of anyone in economics in the last 100 years that has ever pushed forward the idea that scarcity is all you need to create value... except for Youtube economic cartoons.

"Fiat currency" isn't backed by violence. It's backed by production in goods and/or services. You can see this easily play out in command-control economies. The resource rich, like Venezuela back in the day, was a prosperous country for a few years. Gov controlled oil meant that's how they made money. When the price of a barrel of oil is high, they just pump that oil, increasing the need of the international community to purchase their currency, bringing up the value. When their oil wasn't needed due to diversification of supply and the drop in price, no one "wants" said currency since the country had nothing anyone wanted. Thus, the value goes down and you have hyperinflation due to high economic specialization. All the military equipment they bought and posturing, which led to a hilarious wannabe propaganda-scare video, during the good years didn't amount to shit. You really think if Bitcoin magically became the almighty currency, war would disappear? I'm serious when I say this, quit watching Sesame Street and other children's shows. Be an adult. Read a history book. No good change will come from praying to unicorns.

On average, less than 1% of a country's population is active law enforcement in the western world. It's just a hair over 1% in the US according to Bureau of Labor numbers and that includes all the admin/support/not-arresting LE as well. Y'all need to quit looking underneath your beds and checking your closest for the blue boogey man. They do a whole hell of a lot more than just "protect the banks". That's what G4S does with their tactical muffin tops. At that, here's a good example of the difference between what a police officer can do and what a sheriff deputy can do: https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2011/06/06/137002727... This happens more often than you think throughout the country. We don't hear about it because banks and other financial institutions swiftly put gag clauses in settlements. Banks do a fantastic job of teaching you how you can't use the justice system in your favor when in reality, you have more power than you imagine. Stop watching them youtube videos and go to the local library to learn more about local laws and procedures.

Contest ownership... yea, still a problem with Bitcoin. Just look up "Bitcoin stolen" in your search engine of choice and there's article, after article, after article of theft and a cold day in hell's chance of retrieving it. There's nothing special there on that front. It's a preferred means of trade for the black market for a good reason.

On one level, I don't care about the crypto ponzi scheme being played out. Let it happen. Madoff tricked a whole hell of a lot of people for around 20 years. Good. What ruffles my feathers, pushing a political agenda because you want to be rich in monopoly money, then use it to buy ice cream. Then throwing a fit because the cashier won't accept it. Yea, the amount of excess CO2 created by crypto mining is a valid and big problem. It's another industrial sized country on the world grid because of it. You act like this is some magic cure for "the poors", to help distribute wealth and other fantasies. Because there's a magic mechanism for a rich cat in USD to not do the same in BTC? The same way they garnered wealth in USD, GBP, JPY or EUR will do the same thing in any other new currency, making the point to the "revolution" null and void. Oh wait, Musk already started that. What's that, they found a good way for a loophole in being able to issue refunds in USD or BTC according to how they see fit depending which is cheaper? Yea, that sweet sweet "for the people" currency not going into the hands of the, what is he now, 3rd richest? 2nd richest? But I guess that makes him a fellow poor too since he's not 1st. Great step forward for that great reset. Let me tell ya'.

Re: The political case for a blanket cryptocurrency ban

#435

This article seems to intentionally ignore the core reason for cryptocurrencies; escaping inflation and control. The article then proposes to use the law to bring those people back within the control of fiat and government oversight. I no longer think the environmental argument is really plausible here. Clearly crypto mining is emitting using a lot of power and some of that is CO2. But the competition is fiat; backed…

This is pretty damn incoherent. > the core reason for cryptocurrencies; escaping inflation and control Maybe in a whitepaper. In the real world, it's mostly about speculation and enabling crime. > Law and order stands on the backs of a lot of stuff and CO2. Bitcoin is an example of one little piece of this not needing all that stuff. Ok...? This is nonsensical. > Instead it's protected by this mining fleet. And if yo…

> Maybe in a whitepaper. In the real world, it's mostly about speculation and enabling crime.

Speculation I could agree with... however,

Crime? Really? Got anything to back this up? The vast majority of crime is performed using cash.

https://hodlhard.io/blog/bitcoin-crime/

Re: The political case for a blanket cryptocurrency ban

#436
post #251

>> "Bitcoin is the textbook speculative mania for our time" This misses the point of bitcoin entirely. People need to understand Bitcoin solves a problem: a very big problem. This problem was caused by the gov and fed defaulting on it's obligation to maintain a stable currency. As a result, cash can no longer be used as a store of value. And by artificially suppressing interest rates, the fed/gov has eliminated yet a…

Sure, people are using Bitcoin as a store of value, but I think a lot of those people think it will just keep going up. Which is not a super rational thing to believe about an asset whose value has no relation to anything in the real world, and nothing to prop it up but the people who believe the same thing. Bitcoin is up something like 800% for the year. It might be up another 800% in six months! Or it might go down…

>> Bitcoin is up something like 800% for the year. It might be up another 800% in six months! Or it might go down to $10000!

That was the case in 2017. Not anymore, things have changed.

the fundamentals of bitcoin are based on what people believe it will be worth and this has changed drastically in mid-2020. Mid 2020 is the year WallStreet "got" bitcoin. this fundamentally changed it's future path. You have all these hedge fund managers and institutions that are willing to pour trillions of dollars into this asset to gain some exposure. And now that, that's begun it's setting off a chain reaction.

You've got to remember, the impetus for all this. It's not that bitcoin is some ideal form of investment. The driver for bitcoin and equity growth is the destruction of an existing asset class: fixed income. That 100 trillion worldwide wealth of fixed income has to go somewhere (not that all of it has to get sold). either it will go into bitcoin or equities or gold. it could go to cash but then it'll get wiped out.

Re: The political case for a blanket cryptocurrency ban

#437

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Banning crypto is a gigantic overreach when the government won't even try the obvious solutions like carbon taxes (which would indirectly discourage crypto mining).

I see the situation in the exact opposite way. Passing a Carbon Tax, while sensible, would run in major opposition because it would basically effect every citizen. But banning cryptocurrency would be much easier since the majority of the population doesn't own any and it can be framed in very positive terms.

> But banning cryptocurrency would be much easier since the majority of the population doesn't own any and it can be framed in very positive terms.

How exactly do you ban or confiscate bitcoin? New bitcoin wallets are created without touching the internet access. Internet access is only needed when sending bitcoin but not when receiving bitcoin. By the time someone sends it, it’s too late, you can’t confiscate it because they don’t have it anymore. If the government bans or starts monitoring the bitcoin network for activity, people can still send slips of paper through the mail with the private and public key to one of their wallet.

Combine that with a brain wallet and you can literally store bitcoin in your brain. Try doing that with gold.

Re: The political case for a blanket cryptocurrency ban

#439
>> [cryptocurrency] entices masses of dumb money investors to pour their savings into what is effectively a unregulated speculative momentum investment untethered to any real economic activity.

As if that was different for the stock market or the rest of the economy... The entire economy is propped up by the money printers at this stage. Bitcoin and crypto are just better at getting hold of that freshly printed money for obvious reasons. If the government bans crypto, they will have to ban the stock market too.

Re: The political case for a blanket cryptocurrency ban

#440
post #432

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is pretty damn incoherent. > the core reason for cryptocurrencies; escaping inflation and control Maybe in a whitepaper. In the real world, it's mostly about speculation and enabling crime. > Law and order stands on the backs of a lot of stuff and CO2. Bitcoin is an example of one little piece of this not needing all that stuff. Ok...? This is nonsensical. > Instead it's protected by this mining fleet. And if yo…

>enabling crime. Is this about DNMs? Because last I checked their volume is tiny.

Ransomware is a key one, also.
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