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Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

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421–430 of 438 posts

Re: Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

#421
post #232

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They could bring the wired headphone jack back.

That would require a lot of courage

That would require them to accept it was the wrong decision.

I am doing the only thing I can: to vote with my wallet.

My current phone is a Sony Xperia and it has the headphone jack. I am listening to Hi-Fi music from Tidal right now, using the jack, and wired Crinacle earbuds.

Re: Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

#422
post #318

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Google themselves also did this with Gemini, we saw how quickly OpenAI's lead was erased. It could make quite a bit of sense to use this as a crutch so they (Apple) can overhaul their own efforts free of production pressures. I'm not really seeing it though. Apple is more hardware and holistic experience, they aren't traditionally pushing the boundaries of "web-scale" nerd software. As long as they can keep on top of…

At the end of the day the only way to get competence and capability is by doing things even if you don’t know how. And early failures is much more acceptable than I think most people expect.

Companies can (aqui)hire expertise as well.

Re: Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

#423

I read an article speculating that Ternus was up next in I think wsj and it sounds like a good decision but obviously time will tell. I've been super disillusioned with Cook for years now, I just hope Ternus's approach isn't just more of the same, and that he actually works to innovate/improve the apple ecosystem. Hell I'd KILL for them to just take the time to make Homekit like 10% better.

I think this is probably not very tin-foil, but I do believe the rumors we were hearing about Cook retiring and Ternus stepping in were less leaks and more intentionally preparing markets for the inevitable transition.

I don't think that's a crazy idea. The media plays a huge part in companies of this size and they definitely have people who think about these sorts of things. Not sure how necessary it'd be though, like they could probably get the same result by just doing what they were gonna do anyway.

Re: Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

#424
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It isn't innovation if you don't get 99 Vision Pro's per iPhone.

Exactly - Apple needs to be making MORE bets, not LESS. Apple VisionPro may turn out to be an iPod HiFi, iTunes Ping, eMate, Pippin, Newton, Macintosh Portable, Lisa.. etc. Or it may turn out in 5-10 years to be a contributor like AppleTV, Watches, etc. I don't even care which it turns out to be, I want to see them taking bets like this every year or two, not once per decade. The fact that the list of "Failed Apple P…

The current mature tech company scene doesn't nurture this. If you're worried about performance reviews, layoffs and a 5k mortgage bill each month, that doesn't exactly put you in an innovative mood.

To get that 90s, early 2000's innovation, Apple needs to somehow think like a small company (this is near impossible) or actually be multiple smaller companies.

If the new CEO is smart, he could start in-house startups with Apple funding and infrastructure.

Re: Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

#425
post #359

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> Apple doesn’t see factories purely as stores At Apple's scale, you basically can't operate like this. Placing an order for 50 million iPhone screens is not a consumer-grade request, you have to customize and coordinate your orders to get all 50 million delivered. It's hard to see the genius in this, the advantages you've listed are all courtesy of scale and liquidity.

Huh, courtesy of scale is because of 50 million customers were convinced that iPhone has quality enough to pay premium over 100s of other phone models. No one is stopping Dell, Acer, Asus, Samsung etc of the world to put order of 50 million widgets and get best quality at cut throat price.

> No one is stopping Dell, Acer, Asus, Samsung etc of the world to put order of 50 million widgets and get best quality at cut throat price.

That’s why I argue that’s something Apple does different. Dell, Acer, Asus, Samsung go to a manufacturer and ask them to make what they know they can make, preferably at cut throat price, while Apple goes there and says “we think you can make this, too; let’s discuss how we can get there, and how much money you’ll need for it”.

Of course, reality is more nuanced. Samsung, for instance, experiments a lot with folding displays (I expect Apple does, too, but is not satisfied with them yet), but I think it is correct in the large picture. Other manufacturers would say “we need a laptop body; let’s see who can build them, and what quality they have, Apple says “we want a laptop body made of one piece of aluminum; let’s see who we can work with to make that possible”.

And yes, having loads of money and high-margin products helps in that regard, but as I said and the post I reply to seems to acknowledge, that’s not sufficient.

Re: Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

#426
post #49

Apple owns the hardware, they own the ecosystem, and as mathematics and compression prevail, smaller param models will live on device via purpose built chips. The lack of action will in the end be apples saving grace. Even if they don't go that route, the data from icloud, cash on hand, and partnerships with sota labs, still position them as a frontier competitor that just hasn't launched yet. Anyway you shake it str…

There is a place for local models. Typing prediction, speech to text, etc. But I have yet to see uses of local LLMs that are all that compelling.

Imagine in 10 years where local models will be, we're still in the 1st inning.

Re: Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

#427

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Exactly - Apple needs to be making MORE bets, not LESS. Apple VisionPro may turn out to be an iPod HiFi, iTunes Ping, eMate, Pippin, Newton, Macintosh Portable, Lisa.. etc. Or it may turn out in 5-10 years to be a contributor like AppleTV, Watches, etc. I don't even care which it turns out to be, I want to see them taking bets like this every year or two, not once per decade. The fact that the list of "Failed Apple P…

The current mature tech company scene doesn't nurture this. If you're worried about performance reviews, layoffs and a 5k mortgage bill each month, that doesn't exactly put you in an innovative mood. To get that 90s, early 2000's innovation, Apple needs to somehow think like a small company (this is near impossible) or actually be multiple smaller companies. If the new CEO is smart, he could start in-house startups w…

Having worked at companies with 200 to 100,000 employees.. I agree some of it must be organizational big-co thinking/kpis/perf/politics.

Creating some sort of internal incubator that encourages experimentation enough to innovate but with enough accountability to not be a purely academic R&D lab is difficult I'm sure.

This is why I mentioned elsewhere in thread - Maybe an Alphabet "other bets" type setup?

Not sure if people with closer experience has an opinion on if that model actually works our not. I suppose we have gotten some real world output from it right?

Re: Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

#428
post #172

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think Tim Apple [sic] has made 3 major errors, 2 of which got corrected: 1. The mid-to-late 2010s Cult of Thinness as the last gasp of Johnny Ive was terrible for the Macbook range. Butterly keyboard, 12" Macbook, no Macbook Air, Touch bar... ugh. I personally believe Johnny Ive got gently shown the door over all that so was corrected; 2. The Apple Watch didn't know what it was at launch. Remember the $10,000 Apple…

Apple is way ahead in AI, since they are unique in offering a single switch that turns it off if you don't care for it.

It's so good, you won't even want to use it!

Re: Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

#429

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> HN has truly become one of the most toxically stupid places on the web Stupid and uninformed are different things. The constant stream of personal attacks and handwaving about abstract difficulty is not compelling.

Sure, but when you have people claiming Newton was overrated and everything invented was just easy, I think the term "stupid" does apply.

You're comparing a cellphone designer with some wins and a lot of losses in his portfolio to Isaac Newton...

Re: Tim Cook's Impeccable Timing

#430
post #387
post #202

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Samsung Galaxy Note 7 was a great phone as long as it didn’t spontaneously combust.

These keyboards did not pose safety risk and were nicer to type than whatever the normal mushy Apple stuff is. Mine lasted 6 years of daily use.

Good for you and I bet Apple had similar thoughts when they were introducing them.
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