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Estonia, allies to trigger NATO Article 4

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Re: Estonia, allies to trigger NATO Article 4

#421

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It was not accidental. A plane capable of caring nuclear bombs was in their airspace. I'm not comparing anything - I was referring to "end of the world". According to Turkish strategist, nuclear weapon is not usable, so they have no problem to retaliate. End of world is impossible.

>>End of world is impossible. I wish I had your confidence about this.

I should probably add "caused by a nuclear war between Russia and other country"

Re: Estonia, allies to trigger NATO Article 4

#422

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You’re assuming killing those troops would cause a world war. The US might just say, hey we’re not going to sacrifice more folks over this.

Yeah, and send a message that says "you can kill American troops without consequences"? And if that's your strategy - why send them there in the first place?

So.... Afghanistan? How many soldiers from several Western nations died there, and of the US in particular? Only to recently withdraw unconditionally and even hand over lots of military equipment to the enemy they had been fighting for decades?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_military_casualt...

Re: Estonia, allies to trigger NATO Article 4

#423
post #351
post #305

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Ukraine in NATO means US nukes on Russia border, tipping the balance. No, it does not. A number of Eastern European countries are in NATO and none of them have American nuclear weapons. Where does this silly idea come that after joining NATO, American missiles somehow appear in the new member? Modern-day NATO is a cooperation platform for joint exercises etc, not some missile club that starts delivering ICBMs every…

> Where does this silly idea come that after joining NATO, American missiles somehow appear in the new member? It is not silly idea, it is Russian misinformation. "The corrupt fascist gay West we are under constant attack by wants to put army on our borders," except in nicer words.

They have discussed putting nuclear missiles in Sweden, who isn’t even a member. Plus the US has already been arming Ukraine, hasn’t it?

Re: Estonia, allies to trigger NATO Article 4

#424

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> No, it does not. A number of Eastern Europe countries are in NATO and none of them have American nuclear weapons. Yet. There were murmurs about moving them from Germany to Eastern Europe. Additionally - US has DCAs (Defense Cooperation Agreement; straightly bilateral, nothing to do with NATO) with most EE countries. Nobody knows, what they brought there, US is certainly not telling anyone. The nukes might be alread…

I wonder why they are considering moving those? Hmm? You should be ashamed of parroting Russian propaganda at this time.

It is just you, who uses aggressive, emotive rhetoric in multiple comments in this thread ("parroting Russian propaganda").

Please engage based on arguments, and do not do personal attacks even if you don't like them.

Re: Estonia, allies to trigger NATO Article 4

#425
post #95

I'm curious, do folks here think Putin would have still invaded if Ukraine didn't consider joining NATO? While yes, Putin very much wants his old USSR back, it seems he's doing this in response to potentially having more NATO missiles on his borders. He's basically been saying "fuck around and find out" since 2008 when we said Ukraine would have the option of joining NATO.

Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania are all NATO members. If Putin takes Ukraine, and redraws his borders, he's just adding 4 NATO members. Wouldn't make much sense.

Just to be pedantic : three. Poland has a direct border with Russia in Kaliningrad Oblast.

Re: Estonia, allies to trigger NATO Article 4

#426
post #406

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In order to use nukes effectively, you need to have second strike capabilities. You know, the 'M' in 'MAD'. Ukraine in NATO means US nukes on Russia border, tipping the balance. It would be similar to Russia placing their bases and weapons into Canada or Mexico.

A historic example might be placing rockets in Cuba. iirc, that didn't go through smoothly with the U.S.and resulted in a small crises

And Turkey, do not forget Turkey. Cuba was the Soviet response.

Re: Estonia, allies to trigger NATO Article 4

#427
post #121

https://oec.world/en/profile/country/rus Russia’s exports are >50% oil and gas products. The biggest retaliation the West can make right now is a commitment to a rapid exit at unprecedented speed from the oil economy, in favor of renewables.

> in favor of renewables.

And less energy consumption, and nuclear.

Re: Estonia, allies to trigger NATO Article 4

#428

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't know about the trains but looking at shipping: -Nordstream 2 has a capacity to transport 55 billion cubic meters per year[1] -The biggest LNG transport ship "Mozah" built by Samsung Heavy Industries can transport a equivalent of ~162 million cubic meters in a single load This leads to a ~339,5 full loads per year needed to replace the pipeline volume. Nordstream 2 probably wouldn't run at full capacity initia…

They don't need to replace something that doesn't even exist?

Nord Stream 2 was finished last year, it just isn't used yet.

Re: Estonia, allies to trigger NATO Article 4

#430
post #260
post #121

https://oec.world/en/profile/country/rus Russia’s exports are >50% oil and gas products. The biggest retaliation the West can make right now is a commitment to a rapid exit at unprecedented speed from the oil economy, in favor of renewables.

This is happening because the west has no leverage and asymmetrical priorities. Russia -really- cares that Ukraine stays out of NATO, probably to the point where they would scorched earth the country before it joined, and the west only kinda cares about Ukraine comparatively, as demonstrated in 2014 and 2008. If they actually really care, sanctions don't mean much. Makes me wonder why the west thought the third time…

Putin said the Ukraine is not a real nation, so we can rest the whole nato nonsense.
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